Kelvin Cáceres
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%22.1%
BB%12.0%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB-0.8
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 14 | 10 | 47 | 203 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 71% | 3.4 | 10.7% | 11.1% | -0.4% | 3.4% | 4.98 | 5.49 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 14 | 10 | 47 | 203 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 71% | 3.4 | 15.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 4.98 | 4.27 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Angels | 10 | 6 | 35 | 159 | 34 | 26 | 1 | 60% | 3.5 | 14.5% | 20.4% | -5.9% | 0.9% | 3.82 | 4.94 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | AZL Angels | 10 | 6 | 35 | 159 | 34 | 26 | 1 | 60% | 3.5 | 21.4% | 16.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 3.82 | 3.75 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 8 | 48 | 241 | 65 | 47 | 2 | 50% | 3.0 | 18.9% | 23.6% | -4.7% | 0.9% | 6.19 | 4.96 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 8 | 48 | 241 | 65 | 47 | 2 | 50% | 3.0 | 27.0% | 19.5% | 7.5% | 0.8% | 6.19 | 3.87 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 36 | 5 | 77 | 340 | 117 | 54 | 5 | 14% | 2.1 | 25.5% | 18.7% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 3.84 | 4.67 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 36 | 5 | 77 | 340 | 117 | 54 | 5 | 14% | 2.1 | 34.4% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 1.5% | 3.84 | 3.01 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 54 | 0 | 56 | 252 | 86 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 4.18 | 3.89 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 54 | 0 | 56 | 252 | 86 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 34.1% | 12.3% | 21.8% | 1.2% | 4.18 | 2.39 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 30 | 0 | 36 | 179 | 42 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 16.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 5.50 | 4.29 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 30 | 0 | 36 | 179 | 42 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.5% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 5.50 | 3.74 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 41 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 14.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 4.90 | 4.42 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 206 | 0 | 200 | 896 | 174 | 131 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 14.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 4.90 | 4.42 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 160 | 29 | 300 | 1374 | 279 | 240 | 27 | 18% | 1.9 | 20.3% | 17.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.66 | 4.68 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 19 | 200 | 917 | 186 | 160 | 18 | 18% | 1.9 | 20.3% | 17.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.66 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kelvin Cáceres (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.61 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 21 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 84 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 78 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 78 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 78 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 77 |
| Dugan Darnell R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.55 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 3.24 | 24.5% | 15.5% | 94 | -1.31 | 2.35 | 238 | 77 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 77 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 77 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 77 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 76 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 76 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 76 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 21.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 156 | 76 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 76 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .298 | 3.09 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -1.00 | 1.97 | 682 | 76 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 76 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 76 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 75 |