Victor Vodnik
P
Colorado Rockies
+0.4
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 216 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.08
FIP4.29
xFIP5.40
SIERA5.00
K%22.3%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.5%
IP58
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL3535
CMD4040
K†6060
SL+1.3 (26%)
SI (6%)
CT-0.8 (0%)
FB-1.2 (55%)
CH-1.5 (18%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 9.64 | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | 23 | 3 | 67 | 274 | 69 | 24 | 1 | 18.6% | 10.3% | 0.5% | 2.94 | 3.13 | +1.4 |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 11 | 11 | 34 | 150 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 22.1% | 16.1% | 5.1% | 5.35 | 6.05 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 31 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 24.0% | 13.9% | 1.8% | 2.34 | 3.84 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 48 | 0 | 62 | 275 | 81 | 33 | 5 | 27.0% | 14.1% | 1.2% | 4.04 | 3.26 | +1.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 65 | 0 | 75 | 323 | 67 | 36 | 7 | 20.3% | 11.2% | 2.1% | 4.22 | 3.98 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 54 | 0 | 52 | 223 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 1.9% | 3.27 | 3.64 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 6 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.57 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 55 | 26 | 6 | 25.2% | 11.8% | 2.6% | 4.26 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 58 | 248 | 60 | 29 | 7 | 24.0% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.06 | 3.77 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 59 | 28 | 7 | 24.0% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 4.38 | 4.39 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 58 | 28 | 6 | 23.9% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 4.40 | 4.42 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | COL | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 55 | 28 | 6 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.45 | 4.49 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | COL | 54 | — | 54 | 228 | 52 | 27 | 6 | 22.9% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | COL | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 49 | 26 | 6 | 22.3% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | COL | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 46 | 26 | 6 | 21.7% | 12.2% | 2.9% | 4.73 | 4.80 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | COL | 48 | — | 48 | 202 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.85 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | COL | 45 | — | 45 | 192 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 20.3% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | COL | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 19.6% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 5.13 | 5.22 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | COL | 40 | — | 40 | 169 | 32 | 22 | 6 | 18.8% | 13.0% | 3.4% | 5.28 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 242 | 14 | 337 | 1448 | 325 | 177 | 28 | 22.4% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 3.74 | 3.83 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 8 | 200 | 860 | 193 | 105 | 17 | 22.4% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 3.74 | 3.83 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Victor Vodnik (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 25.2% | 11.8% | 2.6% | — | 4.43 | 23.8% | 12.1% | 171 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2029 · 4.01 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.01 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.91 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.90 | 4.01 | 130 | 77 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.36 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .274 | 4.63 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 62 | +1.27 | 3.36 | 206 | 76 |
| Tyler Bashlor R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 3.6% | .258 | 4.07 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 38 | -0.74 | 2.55 | 253 | 76 |
| Tyler Kinley R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.72 | 25.0% | 10.3% | 2.6% | .295 | 3.80 | 25.0% | 11.7% | 140 | +0.08 | 1.58 | 544 | 76 |
| Brad Goldberg R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.86 | 18.1% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .269 | 3.87 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 89 | +0.01 | 3.14 | 197 | 76 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.50 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .205 | 4.26 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 211 | -0.24 | 4.02 | 328 | 75 |
| Brian Ellington R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.68 | 25.5% | 14.9% | 3.4% | .283 | 5.60 | 22.4% | 5.3% | 29 | +0.92 | 2.75 | 233 | 75 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.52 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .244 | 3.73 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.21 | 3.18 | 253 | 74 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2028 · 3.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.38 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 2.1% | .265 | 4.49 | 17.9% | 6.5% | 61 | +1.11 | 3.38 | 173 | 74 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 74 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.24 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .260 | 2.93 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 188 | -0.31 | 2.59 | 302 | 74 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2028 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 73 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 73 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.44 | 24.6% | 13.7% | 1.2% | .364 | 3.31 | 26.0% | 9.8% | 30 | -0.13 | 3.30 | 184 | 73 |
| Sean Reynolds R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.5% | 13.8% | 1.6% | .367 | 5.00 | 18.7% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.24 | 3.76 | 258 | 73 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.48 | 24.7% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.37 | 27.5% | 14.1% | 60 | +0.89 | 3.19 | 246 | 73 |
| Nick Robertson R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 20.6% | 11.4% | 3.2% | .342 | 4.78 | 20.5% | 6.4% | 52 | +0.23 | 3.43 | 281 | 73 |
| JC Ramírez R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.80 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .285 | 4.32 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 226 | +0.52 | 3.80 | 369 | 73 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 73 |
| Luis García R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.21 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 1.2% | .327 | 3.19 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 187 | -0.02 | 2.26 | 602 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.