Victor Vodnik
P
Colorado Rockies
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 216 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 41 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 96
ERA4.19
FIP4.21
K%21.0%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%8.4%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9098.5
Whiff%
p5025.3%
K%
p1316.8%
xwOBA vs
p390.325
SL+1.3 (29%)
SI (3%)
CT-0.8 (0%)
FB-1.2 (54%)
CH-1.5 (17%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 39.1% | 4.3% | 34.8% | 4.3% | 9.64 | 2.73 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Braves | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 39.1% | 4.3% | 34.8% | 4.3% | 9.64 | 2.67 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | 23 | 3 | 67 | 274 | 69 | 24 | 1 | 13% | 2.9 | 18.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 0.7% | 2.94 | 3.21 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | 23 | 3 | 67 | 274 | 69 | 24 | 1 | 13% | 2.9 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 0.4% | 2.94 | 2.31 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 11 | 11 | 34 | 150 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 3.1 | 22.1% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.35 | 6.31 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 11 | 11 | 34 | 150 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 100% | 3.1 | 27.3% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 3.3% | 5.35 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | 2.34 | 3.87 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.5% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 1.3% | 2.34 | 2.78 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 62 | 275 | 81 | 33 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 1.1% | 4.04 | 3.23 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 62 | 275 | 81 | 33 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.5% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 1.8% | 4.04 | 3.13 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 75 | 323 | 67 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 4.22 | 3.73 | +1.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 75 | 323 | 67 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 4.22 | 3.97 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 52 | 223 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 1.4% | 3.27 | 3.37 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 52 | 223 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 1.8% | 3.27 | 3.58 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 28 | 0 | 30 | 138 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 5.34 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 39 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 36 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 4.19 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | COL | 39 | 0 | 41 | 173 | 36 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 4.19 | 4.21 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 71 | 309 | 62 | 41 | 7 | — | — | 20.0% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 4.68 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | COL | — | — | 69 | 291 | 62 | 41 | 7 | — | — | 21.3% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 4.82 | 4.39 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 61 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 4.56 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 59 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 4.63 | 4.67 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 59 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 4.56 | 4.59 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 57 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 4.63 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 308 | 0 | 329 | 1418 | 299 | 171 | 31 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 4.42 | 4.05 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 862 | 182 | 104 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 4.42 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 264 | 14 | 360 | 1555 | 343 | 193 | 29 | 5% | 1.4 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 3.90 | 3.83 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 8 | 200 | 864 | 190 | 107 | 16 | 5% | 1.4 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 3.90 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Victor Vodnik (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.5% | 12.2% | 2.4% | — | 4.63 | 21.4% | 8.6% | 134 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Seth Halvorsen R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.15 | 23.0% | 12.9% | 2.5% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 111 | 79 |
| Alex Hoppe R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 22.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | .327 | 2.96 | 24.1% | 11.8% | 38 | -0.92 | 2.96 | 214 | 78 |
| Brad Goldberg R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 18.1% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .269 | 3.85 | 23.3% | 7.2% | 89 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 197 | 77 |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 75 |
| Hansel Robles R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 3.9% | .267 | 3.69 | 25.5% | 17.6% | 145 | -1.14 | 2.74 | 469 | 75 |
| Nefi Ogando R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.92 | 17.0% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .266 | 4.19 | 14.7% | 3.1% | 40 | +0.27 | 3.92 | 103 | 75 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 75 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 22.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .205 | 4.20 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 211 | -0.33 | 4.02 | 328 | 74 |
| Manny Barreda R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.91 | 21.2% | 14.7% | 3.2% | .286 | 3.68 | 19.6% | 9.5% | 186 | -1.23 | 3.19 | 376 | 74 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.28 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 1.5% | .274 | 4.56 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 62 | +1.28 | 3.28 | 206 | 74 |
| Thyago Vieira R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 311 | 74 |
| Austin Adams R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .331 | 3.39 | 21.1% | 15.0% | 56 | -0.08 | 3.39 | 162 | 74 |
| Tyler Bashlor R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.91 | 20.7% | 11.7% | 3.8% | .258 | 3.97 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 38 | -0.94 | 2.59 | 253 | 74 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2028 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 74 |
| Brian Ellington R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.81 | 25.5% | 14.9% | 3.6% | .283 | 5.60 | 22.4% | 5.3% | 29 | +0.79 | 2.75 | 233 | 73 |
| Sean Reynolds R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 23.5% | 13.8% | 1.5% | .367 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 1.8% | 55 | +1.49 | 3.70 | 258 | 73 |
| Robert Stock R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.33 | 17.2% | 11.1% | 0.5% | .293 | 3.75 | 23.3% | 12.1% | 120 | +0.42 | 0.76 | 348 | 73 |
| Bruce Rondón R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.45 | 24.6% | 13.7% | 1.3% | .364 | 3.31 | 26.0% | 9.8% | 30 | -0.14 | 3.31 | 184 | 73 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 73 |
| Yosver Zulueta R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.47 | 24.7% | 13.0% | 1.5% | .339 | 4.39 | 22.9% | 7.5% | 129 | +0.92 | 3.20 | 314 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 22.1% | 12.5% | 0.94 | 4.50 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |