Drew Rom — OGILVIE

Drew Rom P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 26 LHP 6'1" / 225 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104112vR 120

ERA4.35

FIP4.57

K%20.0%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1291.8

Whiff%

p6227.1%

p8528.6%

xwOBA vs

p150.354

SL-3.9

FB-10.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	10	9	31	121	28	6	1	90%	3.1	15.7%	6.2%	9.5%	1.2%	1.76	3.19	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	10	9	31	121	28	6	1	90%	3.1	23.1%	5.0%	18.2%	0.8%	1.76	2.28	—
2019	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	21	15	95	402	122	33	5	71%	4.5	22.5%	9.7%	12.8%	1.7%	2.93	3.38	—
2019	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	21	15	95	402	122	33	5	71%	4.5	30.3%	8.2%	22.1%	1.2%	2.93	2.26	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	20	108	438	120	26	12	87%	4.7	21.5%	6.7%	14.8%	3.0%	3.18	3.75	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	20	108	438	120	26	12	87%	4.7	27.4%	5.9%	21.5%	2.7%	3.18	3.04	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	120	531	144	47	10	96%	4.6	22.5%	9.6%	13.0%	2.0%	4.42	3.48	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	120	531	144	47	10	96%	4.6	27.1%	8.9%	18.3%	1.9%	4.42	2.96	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	28	131	610	150	69	15	97%	4.5	21.3%	10.5%	10.8%	2.7%	5.65	4.14	+1.2
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	28	131	610	150	69	15	97%	4.5	21.3%	10.5%	10.8%	2.7%	5.65	4.14	+1.2
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	28	131	610	150	69	15	97%	4.5	24.6%	11.3%	13.3%	2.5%	5.65	3.88	+1.6
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	23	92	24	6	2	100%	3.3	15.5%	9.2%	6.3%	4.3%	3.86	5.31	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	7	23	92	24	6	2	100%	3.3	15.5%	9.2%	6.3%	4.3%	3.86	5.31	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	7	23	92	24	6	2	100%	3.3	26.1%	6.5%	19.6%	2.2%	3.86	2.93	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			20	8	45	226	48	25	8	40%	2.2	21.2%	11.1%	10.2%	3.5%	7.60	4.94	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Athletics	47	0	58	245	81	19	2	0%	1.2	28.6%	7.2%	21.3%	0.9%	2.81	2.08	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Athletics	47	0	58	245	81	19	2	0%	1.2	28.6%	7.2%	21.3%	0.9%	2.81	2.08	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	OAK	35	0	46	189	65	13	1	0%	1.3	34.4%	6.9%	27.5%	0.5%	1.94	1.36	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	OAK	12	0	11	56	16	6	1	0%	0.9	28.6%	10.7%	17.9%	1.8%	6.35	3.02	+0.2
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	OAK	12	0	11	56	16	6	1	0%	0.9	28.6%	10.7%	17.9%	1.8%	6.35	3.02	+0.2
ROS	26	MLB MLE	OAK	4	0	5	19	4	2	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.4%	9.6%	3.4%	4.35	4.57	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	OAK	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.4%	9.6%	3.4%	4.35	4.57	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	62	264	85	21	3	—	—	32.1%	7.9%	24.2%	1.0%	2.92	2.26	+1.9
FULL	26	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	16	67	85	21	3	—	—	126.2%	31.3%	95.0%	3.9%	11.43	-1.44	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	OAK	53	0	56	235	47	25	8	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.7%	9.3%	3.3%	4.84	4.95	-0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	OAK	51	0	54	228	46	25	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.8%	9.4%	3.4%	4.91	4.98	-0.3
2027	27	MLB CTX	OAK	50	0	53	224	45	24	7	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.7%	9.3%	3.3%	4.84	4.95	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	OAK	49	0	51	215	43	23	7	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.8%	9.4%	3.4%	4.91	4.98	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		124	8	154	685	140	74	23	6%	1.2	20.4%	10.8%	9.6%	3.4%	5.66	4.61	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		161	10	200	891	182	96	30	6%	1.2	20.4%	10.8%	9.6%	3.4%	5.66	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		163	104	565	2439	537	217	54	64%	3.5	22.0%	8.9%	13.1%	2.2%	3.88	3.59	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	37	200	863	190	77	19	64%	3.5	22.0%	8.9%	13.1%	2.2%	3.88	3.59	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drew Rom (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	18.0%	10.8%	3.4%	—	4.96	20.1%	9.3%	110	-0.25	—	—	—
Ben Holmes L 2018 · 4.02 FIP	26	SW	4.02	19.1%	9.3%	2.5%	.264	5.57	19.7%	8.6%	61	+1.55	3.09	451	75
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	74
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	73
Nick Allgeyer L 2022 · 5.17 FIP	26	SW	5.17	18.6%	9.8%	4.4%	.284	5.70	18.2%	6.1%	81	+0.53	3.74	390	71
Adam Scott L 2022 · 5.27 FIP	26	SW	5.27	21.1%	13.5%	4.1%	.317	4.70	15.6%	-1.7%	46	-0.57	4.17	315	70
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	69
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	68
Zac Lowther L 2022 · 5.67 FIP	26	SP-	5.67	17.8%	10.6%	5.0%	.436	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	375	68
Brent Headrick L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	25	SW	4.54	22.6%	7.6%	4.3%	.299	2.87	28.1%	21.0%	138	-1.67	2.21	409	68
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	68
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	68
Matt Hall L 2019 · 4.86 FIP	26	SW	4.86	23.8%	9.2%	4.8%	.358	4.47	17.5%	2.8%	37	-0.39	2.60	535	68
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	67
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	67
Zack Thompson L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	25	SP-	4.50	22.8%	12.9%	3.1%	.355	4.69	23.0%	10.8%	107	+0.19	2.03	402	67
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	66
Samuel Strickland L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	24	SW	4.87	19.5%	7.3%	4.5%	.337	3.53	20.1%	14.4%	148	-1.34	2.91	292	66
Mitch Stallings L 2021 · 5.48 FIP	26	SW	5.48	16.8%	11.5%	4.3%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	2.18	108	66
Kyle Ryan L 2018 · 4.57 FIP	26	SW	4.57	20.9%	7.4%	4.2%	.231	4.32	20.4%	11.2%	115	-0.25	2.86	489	66
Edgar Barclay L 2023 · 4.71 FIP	25	SW	4.71	23.8%	12.1%	3.8%	.307	5.59	15.7%	5.5%	157	+0.88	2.06	402	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	19.4%	10.8%	1.29	4.91
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21