Jack Rogers — OGILVIE

Jack RogersLF Harrisburg Senators

Age 28 L/L 6'0" / 205 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .244 / .249

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP295

ISO71

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	68	64	12	1	1	3	3	32	0	1	0	188	224	375	599	188	300	47	4	258	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	75	62	6	1	1	0	12	29	1	3	2	97	253	145	398	48	182	39	16	208	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	283	253	72	17	5	10	25	104	4	4	2	285	358	510	868	225	443	37	9	379	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	421	368	95	23	6	13	44	142	8	11	9	258	350	459	809	201	383	34	10	358	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	242	226	42	4	1	4	13	76	2	2	0	186	237	265	502	80	259	31	5	229	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	187	168	42	9	0	3	14	60	1	0	1	250	311	357	669	107	364	32	7	297	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	163	140	36	7	2	1	22	42	0	1	2	257	358	357	715	100	357	26	13	326	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	137	117	19	5	0	0	16	48	3	4	0	162	279	205	485	43	271	35	12	237	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	68	65	8	1	1	2	2	44	0	1	0	123	149	262	411	138	254	65	3	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	75	65	5	1	1	0	9	35	1	3	2	77	200	123	323	46	156	47	12	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	283	261	51	11	4	7	17	139	4	4	2	195	255	349	604	153	374	49	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	421	382	76	16	5	10	30	185	8	11	9	199	271	346	617	147	349	44	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	242	230	37	3	1	3	9	92	2	2	0	161	199	222	421	61	248	38	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	187	172	35	7	0	2	10	74	1	0	1	203	251	279	530	76	332	40	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	163	148	35	6	2	1	14	51	0	1	2	236	302	324	627	88	342	31	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	137	122	17	4	0	0	11	58	3	4	0	139	228	172	400	33	260	42	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	68	65	8	1	1	2	2	44	0	1	0	123	149	262	411	138	300	65	3	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	68	64	12	1	1	3	3	32	0	1	0	188	224	375	599	188	300	47	4	258	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	358	326	56	12	4	7	26	174	5	7	4	172	244	298	541	126	336	49	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	358	315	78	18	6	10	37	133	5	7	4	248	336	438	774	190	393	37	10	343	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	421	382	76	16	5	10	30	185	8	11	9	199	271	346	617	147	351	44	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	421	368	95	23	6	13	44	142	8	11	9	258	350	459	809	201	383	34	10	358	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	242	230	37	3	1	3	9	92	2	2	0	161	199	222	421	61	250	38	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	242	226	42	4	1	4	13	76	2	2	0	186	237	265	502	80	259	31	5	229	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	321	71	14	2	3	23	125	1	1	3	221	275	305	581	84	347	36	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	350	308	78	16	2	4	36	102	1	1	3	253	333	357	690	104	361	29	10	310	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	137	122	17	4	0	0	11	58	3	4	0	139	228	172	400	33	262	42	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	137	117	19	5	0	0	16	48	3	4	0	162	279	205	485	43	271	35	12	237	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	68	66	8	1	1	2	2	44	0	1	0	121	149	258	407	136	254	65	3	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	358	324	56	12	4	7	26	174	5	7	4	173	244	299	543	127	328	49	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	421	380	76	16	5	10	30	185	8	11	9	200	271	347	619	147	349	44	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	242	229	37	3	1	3	9	92	2	2	0	162	199	223	422	61	248	38	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	323	71	14	2	3	23	125	1	1	3	220	275	303	579	84	337	36	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	137	122	17	4	0	0	11	58	3	4	0	139	228	172	400	33	260	42	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	242	229	37	3	1	3	9	92	2	2	0	162	199	223	422	61	248	38	4	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	350	323	71	14	2	3	23	125	1	1	3	220	275	303	579	84	337	36	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	137	122	17	4	0	0	11	58	3	4	0	139	228	172	400	33	260	42	8	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	200	183	34	7	1	1	13	75	2	2	1	183	244	250	494	67	295	38	6	228	40	-14	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	WSH	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	183	244	249	493	67	295	33	0	227	40	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	WSH	23%	243	223	41	8	1	2	16	90	2	2	1	183	245	251	496	68	293	37	7	228	41	-17	+0	-1	-3	+5	-1.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	WSH	23%	55	51	9	2	0	0	4	20	0	0	0	183	245	251	495	67	293	36	7	228	41	-4	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	55	51	9	2	0	0	4	20	0	0	0	176	236	216	452	39	290	36	7	228	44	-4	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	107	24	0	0	47	236	0	0	0	177	237	217	454	40	292	36	7	228	44	-46	+0	-4	-7	+14	-4.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1989	1825	335	64	15	28	128	832	22	30	18	184	246	281	527	98	315	42	6	233	44	-29	+0	-1	-4	+9	-2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	110	21	5	9	42	272	7	10	6	185	246	282	528	97	318	42	6	233	44	-46	+0	-2	-7	+14	-4.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Rogers (OGILVIE)	28	40	40	45	40	181/242/248	67	295	1	2	37%	7%	40	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Galli Cribbs Jr. 2021 · AA	28	40	39→40	51→50	35	186/251/275	89	313	6	7	40%	6%	50	-2.3	191/240/279	88	325	6	11	41%	5%	45	-2.7	143/182/196	53	261	2	10	44%	3%	3	-1.8
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40	44→45	42	188/257/280	92	287	8	6	35%	8%	53	-2.1	216/270/329	113	305	11	6	31%	6%	69	-0.9	229/278/357	129	302	14	2	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Ryan Ripken 2021 · AA	28	43→41	41→40	45→40	35	212/242/304	92	288	9	4	30%	3%	51	-2.2	196/241/280	84	304	6	7	35%	5%	46	-2.6	144/183/194	50	234	2	3	38%	4%	1	-1.6
✕Chandler Seagle 2024 · AAA	28	39	38→40	43→45	35	189/240/267	78	288	6	7	35%	5%	43	-2.8	179/223/255	76	296	5	7	39%	4%	34	-3.5	131/167/182	51	232	1	2	42%	3%	-7	-1.5
✕Sharif Othman 2017 · AA	28	39	38→40	48→30	37	189/231/265	75	272	6	3	32%	5%	38	-3.2	188/232/279	91	273	9	5	33%	5%	43	-2.8	164/208/246	82	235	10	2	34%	4%	24	-1.6
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	39→32	39→40	43→50	39	188/247/271	83	296	7	8	37%	7%	47	-2.5	223/298/326	103	303	10	19	28%	9%	79	-0.2	241/324/345	105	302	11	25	23%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Scott Burcham 2021 · AA	28	41	39→30	46→50	41	198/253/281	83	282	7	11	31%	6%	51	-2.2	205/249/297	92	329	7	8	38%	5%	53	-2.1	174/198/228	55	305	2	0	43%	3%	15	-1.1
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→45	46→50	39	192/245/267	75	277	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	219/257/323	104	313	12	17	33%	5%	62	-1.4	225/250/332	107	324	14	23	34%	3%	58	-1.1
✕A.J. Zapp 2006 · AAA	28	45→44	41→45	46→30	39	217/268/317	101	303	8	4	30%	6%	65	-1.2	212/277/331	119	318	12	5	35%	7%	72	-0.7	186/264/303	117	292	12	0	38%	8%	60	-0.9
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA	27	43→45	42→45	41→45	38	210/258/310	100	304	10	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	220/274/341	121	326	12	7	34%	6%	73	-0.6	218/275/351	133	322	14	5	35%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Matt Whatley 2024 · AAA	28	38→37	41→40	42→50	40	189/250/277	88	263	9	9	31%	6%	50	-2.3	203/266/314	111	269	13	12	28%	7%	64	-1.3	167/233/256	89	203	14	12	26%	8%	38	-0.9
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA	28	42→43	39→40	52→55	41	202/253/287	85	276	6	14	28%	6%	52	-2.2	211/265/320	109	324	10	16	35%	6%	65	-1.2	163/209/244	81	278	5	25	41%	5%	24	-0.8
✕Parker Morin 2018 · AAA	27	38	39→40	47→40	38	190/232/273	83	259	6	4	29%	5%	41	-3.0	212/260/303	91	288	7	7	27%	5%	59	-1.7	218/261/286	67	297	3	3	26%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Greg Deichmann 2023 · MLB	28	44→49	42→45	49→50	41	209/269/314	105	312	9	13	34%	7%	65	-1.2	209/265/352	143	302	16	16	35%	7%	73	-0.6	192/249/348	157	267	20	18	35%	6%	62	-1.0
✕Yeral Sanchez 2014 · AA	29	39	41→40	48→30	34	193/237/293	100	288	8	5	35%	4%	48	-2.5	196/247/289	93	291	8	7	33%	5%	51	-2.3	137/187/189	52	206	4	0	34%	4%	3	-1.1
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	208/260/298	90	289	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	218/290/292	74	278	5	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	204/285/234	31	262	0	2	20%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Madison Stokes 2023 · AAA	27	38→36	42→45	49→40	36	185/242/292	107	299	10	9	40%	6%	50	-2.3	195/273/299	104	302	9	9	35%	9%	64	-1.3	175/268/269	94	266	7	6	34%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Logan Moon 2018 · AAA	26	44→45	39→40	46→50	35	212/247/298	86	312	7	8	34%	4%	52	-2.2	208/250/296	88	313	7	10	34%	5%	53	-2.1	161/196/176	14	257	0	8	36%	4%	2	-1.2
✕Pat Cantwell 2018 · AAA	28	42	37→30	45→40	38	200/256/267	67	283	5	9	30%	5%	49	-2.4	226/298/333	107	315	10	10	29%	7%	81	-0.1	251/336/377	127	319	13	6	24%	8%	103	+0.4
✕Drew Hedman 2012 · A	26	41	39→40	45	38	198/254/283	85	289	7	7	32%	6%	52	-2.2	196/264/311	115	285	11	10	33%	7%	63	-1.4	156/236/285	129	221	14	12	35%	8%	47	-1.3