Jack RogersLF
Harrisburg Senators
Age 27
L/L
6'0" / 205 lbs
AA
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†23
AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .246 / .285
PA250
HR4
SB6
K%38
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
40→40
SPD
45→45
EYE
43↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-1.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-22M | $-42M | -$20M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 68 | 65 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .123 | .149 | .262 | .411 | .138 | .300 | 65 | 3 | .159 | -20 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 358 | 324 | 56 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 178 | 5 | 7 | 4 | .173 | .249 | .312 | .561 | .139 | .345 | 50 | 8 | .248 | 48 | -21 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -1.5 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 421 | 382 | 77 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 187 | 8 | 11 | 9 | .202 | .274 | .348 | .622 | .147 | .360 | 44 | 7 | .271 | 66 | -16 | -1 | +0 | -5 | +12 | -1.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 242 | 230 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 98 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .157 | .195 | .217 | .412 | .061 | .254 | 40 | 4 | .182 | -2 | -28 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -2.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | 2 teams | 350 | 320 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 128 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .219 | .275 | .309 | .585 | .091 | .346 | 37 | 7 | .255 | 53 | -18 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 64 | 55 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .091 | .206 | .127 | .334 | .036 | .200 | 48 | 11 | .164 | -16 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | WSH | 186 | 170 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 74 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .182 | .245 | .282 | .527 | .100 | .289 | 40 | 7 | .234 | 37 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +5 | -1.0 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | WSH | 250 | 225 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 105 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .160 | .235 | .244 | .479 | .084 | .277 | 42 | 8 | .216 | 23 | -22 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | WSH | 333 | 301 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 107 | 3 | 5 | 2 | .186 | .258 | .279 | .537 | .093 | .265 | 32 | 8 | .248 | 48 | -20 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +9 | -1.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | WSH | 352 | 318 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 112 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .189 | .261 | .292 | .553 | .104 | .266 | 32 | 8 | .251 | 50 | -20 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +10 | -1.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | WSH | 363 | 328 | 63 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 115 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .192 | .264 | .296 | .560 | .104 | .266 | 32 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -20 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +10 | -1.6 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | WSH | 358 | 323 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 114 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .186 | .259 | .282 | .541 | .096 | .266 | 32 | 8 | .250 | 49 | -20 | +0 | -3 | -4 | +10 | -1.7 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 54% | WSH | 345 | 311 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 112 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .183 | .257 | .273 | .531 | .090 | .264 | 32 | 8 | .245 | 46 | -21 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +10 | -1.8 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 71% | WSH | 318 | 288 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 105 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .181 | .251 | .274 | .525 | .094 | .262 | 33 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -21 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -2.0 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 89% | WSH | 277 | 251 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 94 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .175 | .247 | .263 | .510 | .088 | .260 | 34 | 8 | .234 | 37 | -20 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -2.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3971 | 3611 | 670 | 126 | 23 | 67 | 293 | 1468 | 36 | 45 | 22 | .186 | .254 | .289 | .542 | .103 | .288 | 37 | 7 | .244 | 45 | -248 | +0 | -20 | -43 | +113 | -20.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 591 | 110 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 240 | 6 | 7 | 4 | .186 | .254 | .291 | .545 | .105 | .289 | 37 | 7 | .244 | 45 | -41 | -0 | -3 | -7 | +18 | -3.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 68 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .188 | .224 | .375 | .599 | .188 | .300 | 47 | 4 | .258 | 56 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 75 | 62 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 2 | .097 | .253 | .145 | .398 | .048 | .182 | 39 | 16 | .208 | 18 | -7 | -0 | — | — | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 283 | 253 | 72 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 104 | 4 | 4 | 2 | .285 | .358 | .510 | .868 | .225 | .443 | 37 | 9 | .379 | 148 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 2.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 421 | 368 | 95 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 142 | 8 | 11 | 9 | .258 | .350 | .459 | .809 | .201 | .383 | 34 | 10 | .358 | 132 | +15 | -1 | — | — | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 242 | 226 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 76 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .186 | .237 | .265 | .502 | .080 | .259 | 31 | 5 | .229 | 34 | -18 | +0 | — | — | +7 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 187 | 168 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .311 | .357 | .669 | .107 | .364 | 32 | 7 | .297 | 85 | -3 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 163 | 140 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 42 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .257 | .358 | .357 | .715 | .100 | .357 | 26 | 13 | .326 | 108 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 0.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jack Rogers (OGILVIE) | 27 | 40 | 40 | 45 | 40 | .188/.246/.285 | .098 | .299 | 4 | 3 | 38% | 7% | 44 | -0.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA |
27 | 39→36 | 40→45 | 43→45 | 41 | .188/.258/.280 | .092 | .292 | 8 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .220/.275/.343 | .123 | .313 | 13 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .235/.285/.380 | .146 | .314 | 17 | 2 | 30% | 6% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA |
27 | 43→45 | 43→45 | 42→45 | 37 | .213/.260/.321 | .108 | .305 | 11 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .221/.275/.350 | .129 | .329 | 14 | 6 | 35% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .224/.281/.371 | .147 | .328 | 16 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA |
26 | 40→41 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .190/.265/.290 | .099 | .310 | 9 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.282/.312 | .121 | .320 | 14 | 13 | 41% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.277/.309 | .133 | .286 | 16 | 14 | 41% | 11% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→31 | 39→40 | 43→50 | 39 | .185/.242/.267 | .083 | .288 | 7 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 37 | -2.7 | .221/.294/.329 | .108 | .299 | 11 | 19 | 28% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .239/.321/.353 | .114 | .297 | 13 | 25 | 23% | 9% | 89 | +0.6 |
|
✕Zach Collier 2018 · AAA |
27 | 45→44 | 43→45 | 50→55 | 37 | .215/.262/.330 | .115 | .319 | 10 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .201/.266/.323 | .122 | .295 | 11 | 9 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .167/.245/.283 | .116 | .251 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 8% | 41 | -1.4 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA |
26 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .187/.250/.294 | .107 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.285/.328 | .127 | .324 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 44 | .190/.284/.298 | .108 | .293 | 11 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .190/.283/.309 | .119 | .284 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .126/.240/.244 | .118 | .172 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 12% | 32 | -1.0 |
|
✕Kyle Greene 2012 · AAA |
26 | 42→44 | 42→45 | 40→30 | 40 | .200/.272/.305 | .104 | .315 | 9 | 2 | 37% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.267/.292 | .090 | .345 | 7 | 5 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .167/.212/.216 | .049 | .325 | 3 | 0 | 47% | 4% | 9 | -1.0 |
|
✕Preston Palmeiro 2022 · AAA |
27 | 40→47 | 44→45 | 45→40 | 39 | .204/.244/.318 | .114 | .267 | 13 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .213/.269/.328 | .115 | .274 | 10 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .205/.270/.313 | .108 | .262 | 8 | 2 | 24% | 7% | 58 | -0.6 |
|
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB |
27 | 38→48 | 38→40 | 45→50 | 38 | .187/.238/.257 | .071 | .270 | 6 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 32 | -3.0 | .216/.254/.318 | .102 | .312 | 12 | 16 | 33% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .224/.248/.329 | .106 | .322 | 14 | 23 | 35% | 3% | 50 | -1.1 |
|
✕Bret Boswell 2022 · AA |
27 | 38→41 | 46→50 | 41→45 | 36 | .195/.247/.318 | .123 | .290 | 14 | 8 | 37% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .197/.269/.324 | .127 | .309 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .171/.249/.294 | .124 | .265 | 14 | 7 | 38% | 9% | 45 | -1.0 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA |
27 | 36 | 44→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .181/.257/.295 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .181/.267/.319 | .138 | .277 | 18 | 6 | 38% | 10% | 63 | -0.9 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Gift Ngoepe 2017 · AAA |
27 | 43→42 | 42→45 | 44→50 | 37 | .209/.260/.317 | .108 | .315 | 10 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .191/.256/.300 | .109 | .319 | 10 | 7 | 40% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .164/.241/.267 | .102 | .289 | 9 | 5 | 43% | 9% | 35 | -1.1 |
|
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA |
26 | 38→35 | 42→45 | 43→30 | 40 | .191/.259/.288 | .097 | .275 | 10 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .184/.241/.291 | .107 | .277 | 11 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .158/.206/.269 | .111 | .240 | 13 | 1 | 39% | 5% | 20 | -2.8 |
|
✕Riley Mahan 2023 · AA |
27 | 41→42 | 46→45 | 45→40 | 32 | .193/.250/.320 | .127 | .343 | 14 | 7 | 46% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .202/.248/.351 | .149 | .325 | 18 | 8 | 41% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .163/.189/.336 | .174 | .224 | 24 | 5 | 41% | 3% | 32 | -0.9 |
|
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA |
27 | 36 | 43→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .183/.252/.292 | .109 | .264 | 10 | 5 | 33% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .194/.265/.297 | .103 | .312 | 9 | 6 | 37% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .125/.205/.184 | .059 | .260 | 4 | 0 | 49% | 9% | 0 | -1.2 |
|
✕Art Charles 2017 · AA |
26 | 38 | 46→50 | 48→30 | 37 | .190/.248/.320 | .130 | .299 | 14 | 3 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .230/.294/.418 | .188 | .324 | 24 | 5 | 34% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .243/.312/.489 | .246 | .318 | 34 | 0 | 34% | 9% | 126 | +1.1 |
|
✕Eric Crozier 2006 · MLB |
27 | 39 | 46→50 | 45→40 | 36 | .191/.248/.329 | .138 | .310 | 13 | 8 | 41% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .203/.261/.342 | .139 | .333 | 15 | 7 | 41% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .187/.264/.343 | .155 | .273 | 19 | 2 | 37% | 9% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Corey Ray 2022 · AAA |
27 | 41→36 | 47→50 | 49→55 | 34 | .203/.250/.338 | .134 | .320 | 15 | 10 | 40% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.246/.362 | .157 | .304 | 19 | 14 | 38% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .170/.208/.329 | .159 | .248 | 21 | 16 | 40% | 4% | 37 | -1.4 |
|
✕Kellin Deglan 2019 · AA |
27 | 38→34 | 43→50 | 43→40 | 33 | .185/.243/.292 | .107 | .313 | 11 | 5 | 42% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .207/.268/.329 | .122 | .320 | 13 | 6 | 38% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .188/.254/.308 | .120 | .289 | 15 | 2 | 38% | 6% | 51 | -0.6 |