Valentin Linarez
P
Harrisburg Senators
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 226 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137128vR 118
ERA5.23
FIP5.23
K%19.4%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%6.1%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 86 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 18 | 7 | 40 | 182 | 29 | 22 | 1 | 39% | 2.2 | 10.8% | 15.1% | -4.3% | 0.8% | 3.86 | 4.52 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 18 | 7 | 40 | 182 | 29 | 22 | 1 | 39% | 2.2 | 15.9% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 3.86 | 3.63 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 12 | 12 | 55 | 224 | 55 | 14 | 0 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 2.28 | 2.68 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Pirates 1 | 12 | 12 | 55 | 224 | 55 | 14 | 0 | 100% | 4.6 | 24.6% | 6.2% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 2.28 | 1.87 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 33 | 136 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 3.3 | 25.8% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 3.27 | 2.66 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 33 | 136 | 45 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 3.3 | 33.1% | 9.6% | 23.5% | 2.2% | 3.27 | 2.74 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 88 | 377 | 95 | 45 | 7 | 86% | 4.0 | 18.9% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 3.97 | 4.38 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 19 | 88 | 377 | 95 | 45 | 7 | 86% | 4.0 | 25.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 1.9% | 3.97 | 3.51 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 9 | 68 | 306 | 76 | 38 | 9 | 24% | 1.8 | 19.3% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 5.27 | 4.57 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 9 | 68 | 306 | 76 | 38 | 9 | 24% | 1.8 | 24.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 5.27 | 4.26 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 56 | 248 | 71 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.5% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 4.98 | 5.53 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 56 | 248 | 71 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.6 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 4.03 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 1 | 62 | 255 | 62 | 28 | 5 | 2% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 3.06 | 4.46 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 1 | 62 | 255 | 62 | 28 | 5 | 2% | 1.5 | 24.3% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 3.06 | 3.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 15 | 0 | 16 | 80 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 19.7% | -0.4% | 5.4% | 5.51 | 6.91 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 57 | 39 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 5.23 | 5.23 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | WSH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 5.23 | 5.23 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 86 | 376 | 75 | 54 | 12 | — | — | 20.1% | 14.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.28 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.4% | 13.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 5.23 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 58 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.16 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 56 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 5.15 | 5.19 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 54 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 5.21 | 5.28 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 5.16 | 5.17 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 5.15 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 5.21 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 94 | 61 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.18 | 4.84 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 167 | 109 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 5.18 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 189 | 58 | 419 | 1808 | 343 | 238 | 40 | 31% | 2.2 | 19.0% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 3.96 | 4.37 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 28 | 200 | 864 | 164 | 114 | 19 | 31% | 2.2 | 19.0% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 3.96 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Valentin Linarez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.23 | 19.4% | 13.4% | 3.1% | — | 5.21 | 19.9% | 6.9% | 200 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 90 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 83 |
| Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 81 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 81 |
| Nick Frasso R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.17 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 3.5% | .310 | 3.68 | 30.1% | 14.0% | 24 | -1.49 | 2.60 | 248 | 81 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 80 |
| Ranfi Casimiro R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.48 | 16.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.76 | 8.4% | -0.2% | 16 | +0.28 | 3.84 | 420 | 80 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 80 |
| Adam Quintana R 2027 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 79 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 79 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .249 | 4.41 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 249 | -0.40 | 3.64 | 500 | 79 |
| Julian Arballo R 2027 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 79 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 78 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 78 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 78 |
| Logan Taylor R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 300 | 78 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 78 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 19.8% | 13.0% | 1.24 | 5.19 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |