Jeisson Cabrera

P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX3 levels	28	1	39	2.77	3.69	27.1%	17.5%	—	K 21.5% · BB 18.5% · FIP 4.75
2025	26	AALAD	36	0	44	3.71	3.42	28.3%	16.8%	—	K 22.9% · BB 18.4% · FIP 4.22
2026	27	MIX2 levels	43	0	53	3.74	3.35	27.9%	15.0%	—	K 23.4% · BB 14.6% · FIP 3.88
2027PROJ	28	MLBBAL	66	0	69	5.08	5.08	23.8%	17.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBBAL	20	0	21	5.08	5.13	23.6%	16.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBBAL	30	0	32	5.16	5.25	23.2%	16.5%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Control25Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Jeff Ames (age 28) · José A. Váldez (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 113

ERA5.08

FIP5.08

K%23.8%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%6.5%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2525

CMD4040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Dodgers Robinson	14	14	53	211	62	22	2	100%	3.8	20.0%	13.0%	6.9%	1.3%	2.19	3.79	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Dodgers Robinson	14	14	53	211	62	22	2	100%	3.8	29.4%	10.4%	19.0%	0.9%	2.19	2.50	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers Mota	14	7	51	201	63	25	3	50%	3.6	21.3%	15.5%	5.8%	2.1%	2.31	4.42	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Dodgers Mota	14	7	51	201	63	25	3	50%	3.6	31.3%	12.4%	18.9%	1.5%	2.31	2.86	—
2021	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	2	0	2	11	6	2	0	0%	1.0	54.5%	18.2%	36.4%	0.0%	4.50	0.80	—
2021	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	2	0	2	11	6	2	0	0%	1.0	54.5%	18.2%	36.4%	0.0%	4.50	0.10	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	5	4	5	19	10	3	0	80%	0.9	52.6%	15.8%	36.8%	0.0%	1.93	0.66	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	5	4	5	19	10	3	0	80%	0.9	52.6%	15.8%	36.8%	0.0%	1.93	0.74	—
2023	24	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	16	2	18	90	30	12	1	12%	1.1	24.7%	15.7%	8.9%	1.4%	7.00	3.78	—
2023	24	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	16	2	18	90	30	12	1	12%	1.1	33.3%	13.3%	20.0%	1.1%	7.00	2.49	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	39	166	45	29	2	4%	1.4	21.5%	18.5%	3.0%	2.0%	2.77	4.75	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	39	166	45	29	2	4%	1.4	21.5%	18.5%	3.0%	2.0%	2.77	4.75	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	1	39	166	45	29	2	4%	1.4	27.1%	17.5%	9.6%	1.2%	2.77	3.69	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	36	0	44	191	54	32	2	0%	1.2	22.9%	18.4%	4.5%	1.3%	3.71	4.22	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	36	0	44	191	54	32	2	0%	1.2	22.9%	18.4%	4.5%	1.3%	3.71	4.22	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	36	0	44	191	54	32	2	0%	1.2	28.3%	16.8%	11.5%	1.0%	3.71	3.42	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	53	240	67	36	3	0%	1.2	23.4%	14.6%	8.8%	1.7%	3.74	3.88	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	53	240	67	36	3	0%	1.2	23.4%	14.6%	8.8%	1.7%	3.74	3.88	—
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	53	240	67	36	3	0%	1.2	27.9%	15.0%	12.9%	1.2%	3.74	3.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	BAL	66	0	69	291	69	51	8	0%	1.0	23.8%	17.4%	6.5%	2.6%	5.08	5.08	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BAL	63	0	66	280	66	47	8	0%	1.1	23.6%	16.8%	6.8%	2.8%	5.08	5.13	-0.4
2029	30	MLB MLE	BAL	59	0	62	263	61	43	8	0%	1.1	23.2%	16.5%	6.7%	3.0%	5.16	5.25	-0.5
2028	29	MLB CTX	BAL	20	0	21	89	21	15	2	0%	1.1	23.6%	16.8%	6.8%	2.8%	5.08	5.13	-0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	BAL	30	0	32	135	31	22	4	0%	1.1	23.2%	16.5%	6.7%	3.0%	5.16	5.25	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	222	52	37	6	0%	1.1	23.3%	16.6%	6.7%	2.9%	5.13	4.82	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	141	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	16.6%	6.7%	2.9%	5.13	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		158	28	264	1129	259	179	18	18%	1.7	22.9%	15.9%	7.1%	1.6%	3.20	4.05	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	21	200	854	196	135	14	18%	1.7	22.9%	15.9%	7.1%	1.6%	3.20	4.05	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jeisson Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.08	23.8%	17.4%	2.6%	—	5.19	23.4%	6.7%	128	+0.11	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	78
Jeff Ames R 2019 · 4.45 FIP	28	SU	4.45	25.6%	16.8%	2.5%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	272	78
José A. Váldez R 2018 · 4.02 FIP	28	SU	4.02	23.1%	16.2%	1.5%	.325	4.21	16.8%	6.2%	103	+0.19	4.02	328	77
Chris Perry R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.3%	19.3%	0.9%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	113	76
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	75
Caleb Simpson R 2019 · 4.02 FIP	27	SU	4.02	24.7%	17.3%	1.5%	.189	4.23	22.4%	9.7%	54	+0.21	3.57	197	74
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	74
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	74
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	74
Zac Leigh R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	21.8%	15.4%	1.8%	.367	4.74	19.4%	2.7%	87	+0.53	3.70	201	73
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	73
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	73
Jared Mortensen R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	28	SU	4.99	20.9%	18.8%	2.3%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	200	73
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	73
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	73
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	73
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	73
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	73
Erik Davis R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	73
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	23.5%	16.9%	1.07	5.11
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*