Joseph Hernandez

P Everett AquaSox

Age 27 RHP 5'11" / 150 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	22	AModesto Nuts	24	22	117	3.39	3.15	29.4%	11.1%	—	K 21.8% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.64
2023	23	MIX2 levels	15	11	54	4.14	4.72	17.0%	14.5%	—	K 12.6% · BB 16.6% · FIP 5.42
2024	24	A+SEA	25	0	26	7.27	4.98	14.6%	12.3%	—	K 11.3% · BB 14.2% · FIP 5.29
2027PROJ	27	MLBSEA	15	0	16	4.72	4.72	20.9%	10.8%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBSEA	7	0	7	4.73	4.76	21.0%	10.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsTyler Yates (age 26) · Shawn Dubin (age 27) · Colby Morris (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.72

FIP4.72

K%20.9%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%10.1%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	15	6	39	183	42	22	4	40%	2.6	15.6%	15.0%	0.6%	3.1%	4.62	5.37	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	15	6	39	183	42	22	4	40%	2.6	23.0%	12.0%	10.9%	2.2%	4.62	3.97	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	4	0	6	32	5	6	0	0%	1.5	15.6%	18.8%	-3.1%	0.0%	6.00	4.16	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	4	0	6	32	5	6	0	0%	1.5	15.6%	18.8%	-3.1%	0.0%	6.00	4.43	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	5	35	157	53	19	4	45%	3.2	24.7%	16.7%	8.0%	2.3%	5.40	4.39	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	5	35	157	53	19	4	45%	3.2	33.8%	12.1%	21.7%	2.5%	5.40	3.19	—
2022	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	24	22	117	486	143	54	10	92%	4.9	21.8%	13.1%	8.7%	3.1%	3.39	4.64	—
2022	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	24	22	117	486	143	54	10	92%	4.9	29.4%	11.1%	18.3%	2.1%	3.39	3.15	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	11	54	241	41	35	5	73%	3.6	12.6%	16.6%	-4.0%	2.3%	4.14	5.42	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	11	54	241	41	35	5	73%	3.6	17.0%	14.5%	2.5%	2.1%	4.14	4.72	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	25	0	26	130	19	16	3	0%	1.0	11.3%	14.2%	-2.9%	2.5%	7.27	5.29	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	25	0	26	130	19	16	3	0%	1.0	11.3%	14.2%	-2.9%	2.5%	7.27	5.29	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	25	0	26	130	19	16	3	0%	1.0	14.6%	12.3%	2.3%	2.3%	7.27	4.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SEA	15	0	16	68	14	7	2	0%	1.1	20.9%	10.8%	10.1%	3.0%	4.72	4.72	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.8%	10.3%	3.1%	4.73	4.76	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.8%	10.3%	3.1%	4.73	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.8%	10.3%	3.1%	4.73	4.38	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	82	27	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.8%	10.3%	3.1%	4.73	4.38	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		94	44	277	1229	223	182	33	47%	2.9	18.2%	14.8%	3.4%	2.7%	4.39	4.92	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	32	200	887	161	131	24	47%	2.9	18.2%	14.8%	3.4%	2.7%	4.39	4.92	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Joseph Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.72	20.9%	10.8%	3.0%	—	4.76	21.0%	10.3%	20	+0.04	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	76
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	20.0%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.90	3.02	341	73
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	73
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	72
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	72
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	71
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	71
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	71
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	71
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	71
Kyle Lloyd R 2018 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	18.2%	9.8%	2.6%	.336	4.75	17.2%	9.3%	110	+0.52	3.50	572	70
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	70
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	70
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	70
Ricky Castro R 2024 · 3.99 FIP	24	SP-	3.99	20.4%	8.6%	2.8%	.287	5.11	19.0%	10.6%	178	+1.12	3.99	241	70
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	69
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	69
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	69
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	69
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	69