Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 17 | 3 | 41 | 183 | 35 | 25 | 2 | 18% | 2.4 | 13.0% | 17.1% | -4.1% | 1.5% | 3.54 | 5.00 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 17 | 3 | 41 | 183 | 35 | 25 | 2 | 18% | 2.4 | 19.1% | 13.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 3.54 | 3.86 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 23 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 5.87 | 3.83 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 23 | 0 | 23 | 104 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 8.7% | 15.4% | 1.0% | 5.87 | 2.67 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 23 | 0 | 23 | 101 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 2.31 | 2.65 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 23 | 0 | 23 | 101 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.7% | 7.9% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 2.31 | 1.56 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 33 | 0 | 35 | 183 | 42 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.0% | 18.7% | -1.7% | 1.6% | 6.11 | 4.91 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 33 | 0 | 35 | 183 | 42 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 15.8% | 7.1% | 1.1% | 6.11 | 3.92 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 64 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 3.25 | 4.53 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 55 | 229 | 64 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.9% | 8.7% | 19.2% | 3.1% | 3.25 | 3.52 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 33 | 0 | 39 | 190 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.2% | 15.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 6.98 | 4.40 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 33 | 0 | 39 | 190 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 1.6% | 6.98 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 57 | 251 | 56 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.7% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 4.58 | 3.68 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 57 | 251 | 56 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 0.4% | 4.58 | 2.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | COL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 48 | 45 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 15.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 5.49 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 50 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 14.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.40 | 5.42 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.4% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.37 | 5.42 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | COL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 14.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.40 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | COL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.4% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.37 | 5.42 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 64 | 272 | 47 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.38 | 5.04 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 124 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.38 | 5.04 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 213 | 3 | 273 | 1241 | 217 | 173 | 19 | 1% | 1.3 | 17.4% | 13.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 4.61 | 4.25 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 156 | 2 | 200 | 908 | 158 | 127 | 14 | 1% | 1.3 | 17.4% | 13.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 4.61 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Felix Ramires (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.49 | 16.3% | 15.3% | 2.6% | — | 5.42 | 17.2% | 2.5% | 136 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.34 | 17.4% | 17.9% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 20.0% | 8.2% | 77 | -1.09 | 3.46 | 154 | 89 |
| Justin Wright L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.48 | 14.7% | 13.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.28 | 109 | 87 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 86 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 85 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2025 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 2.9% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 161 | 83 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 82 |
| Sean Keselica L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.53 | 18.0% | 14.5% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 235 | 82 |
| Nick Lee L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.0% | 19.7% | 1.4% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 102 | 82 |
| Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.68 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 2.3% | .289 | 3.65 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 43 | -1.03 | 3.65 | 308 | 81 |
| Kirby Bellow L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 13.6% | 14.0% | 1.3% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 108 | 81 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 80 |
| Brian Marconi L 2025 · 4.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.96 | 20.3% | 18.2% | 2.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 101 | 80 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.43 | 13.9% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 212 | 80 |
| Jose Meraz L 2027 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.53 | 13.3% | 12.0% | 1.9% | .331 | 4.05 | 15.3% | 6.7% | 44 | -0.48 | 3.59 | 110 | 79 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 12.1% | 13.3% | 2.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 195 | 79 |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 6.20 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.20 | 18.5% | 18.8% | 4.1% | .278 | 5.25 | 17.5% | -1.3% | 22 | -0.95 | 3.71 | 105 | 79 |
| Joey DeNato L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 12.3% | 15.1% | 1.4% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 167 | 79 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 136 | 79 |
| Randy Labaut L 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.91 | 17.1% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .244 | 5.21 | 18.7% | 4.4% | 98 | +0.30 | 1.91 | 302 | 79 |
| John Kilichowski L 2024 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.26 | 17.6% | 16.2% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 115 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 16.9% | 14.9% | 1.06 | 5.42 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |