Daysbel Hernández
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 29
RHP
5'10" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 61 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.46
FIP4.78
K%27.2%
BB%17.7%
K-BB%9.5%
ROS IP61
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.7
Whiff%
p7529.2%
K%
p3620.2%
xwOBA vs
p440.318
FB+1.6 (44%)
SL (56%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 38 | 163 | 36 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 16.5% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 4.50 | 4.68 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 38 | 163 | 36 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 22.1% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 4.50 | 3.71 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | 35 | 0 | 53 | 220 | 70 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.5% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 1.4% | 1.71 | 3.23 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | 35 | 0 | 53 | 220 | 70 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 31.8% | 10.0% | 21.8% | 0.9% | 1.71 | 2.19 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 58 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.6% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 3.7% | 3.83 | 4.45 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 42 | 179 | 58 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.4% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 2.2% | 3.83 | 3.22 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 27 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 0.0% | 2.86 | 1.89 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 27 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.9% | 13.7% | 22.2% | 1.7% | 2.86 | 2.75 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 60 | 257 | 78 | 33 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.9% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 0.9% | 2.56 | 2.93 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 60 | 257 | 78 | 33 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.4% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 0.8% | 2.56 | 2.58 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 45 | 195 | 44 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 17.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.20 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 45 | 195 | 44 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 3.20 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 22 | 0 | 21 | 104 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 19.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 5.06 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | ATL | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 70 | 46 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.2% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | ATL | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.78 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 82 | 362 | 96 | 65 | 8 | — | — | 26.5% | 17.8% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 4.62 | 4.79 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 6 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | — | 27.2% | 17.7% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 55 | 0 | 57 | 242 | 63 | 42 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.1% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.73 | 4.94 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 57 | 38 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 23 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.1% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.73 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 31 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 16.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 113 | 0 | 115 | 497 | 127 | 82 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 16.5% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 4.08 | 4.22 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 196 | 0 | 200 | 862 | 220 | 142 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.4% | 16.5% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 4.08 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 237 | 0 | 287 | 1235 | 300 | 177 | 20 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 3.16 | 3.77 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 165 | 0 | 200 | 860 | 209 | 123 | 14 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 3.16 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daysbel Hernández (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 27.2% | 17.7% | 2.5% | — | 5.03 | 25.6% | 8.6% | 111 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.32 | 26.7% | 17.5% | 2.3% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 289 | 72 |
| Wily Peralta R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.18 | 22.7% | 13.7% | 2.3% | .310 | 4.93 | 15.3% | 5.5% | 154 | +0.75 | 4.02 | 748 | 72 |
| Parker Markel R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 29.7% | 16.5% | 3.9% | .250 | 4.08 | 28.9% | 11.6% | 97 | -0.73 | 3.16 | 266 | 71 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2024 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.59 | 23.6% | 15.6% | 0.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 160 | 71 |
| Javy Guerra R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 70 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 68 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.97 | 20.6% | 15.2% | 3.1% | .237 | 4.27 | 23.0% | 8.4% | 104 | -0.70 | 2.40 | 231 | 68 |
| Zack Jones R 2024 · 5.03 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.03 | 27.7% | 24.1% | 2.2% | .167 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 109 | 68 |
| Leonel Campos R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.59 | 24.9% | 13.8% | 1.6% | .328 | 3.78 | 25.7% | 13.9% | 46 | +0.19 | 2.69 | 168 | 68 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 67 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 67 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 67 |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 67 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .360 | 6.54 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 96 | +2.28 | 4.26 | 258 | 67 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 67 |
| Jeurys Familia R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.32 | 23.0% | 13.9% | 2.6% | .331 | 4.26 | 23.3% | 12.7% | 130 | -0.06 | 2.05 | 455 | 67 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 67 |
| Dillon Maples R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.34 | 27.1% | 18.9% | 2.1% | .203 | 5.16 | 20.6% | -9.4% | 14 | +0.82 | 3.21 | 278 | 67 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 66 |
| Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 1.05 | 4.70 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |