Daysbel Hernández

Daysbel Hernández P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 29 RHP 5'10" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.44

FIP4.74

K%26.9%

BB%17.2%

K-BB%9.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL2020

CMD3535

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.7

Whiff%

p7529.2%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p440.318

FB+1.6 (44%)

SL (56%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	38	163	36	23	2	0%	1.8	16.5%	16.5%	0.0%	1.6%	4.50	4.66	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	38	163	36	23	2	0%	1.8	22.1%	14.1%	8.0%	1.2%	4.50	3.71	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Florida Fire Frogs	35	0	53	220	70	22	2	0%	1.5	24.5%	11.5%	13.0%	1.2%	1.71	3.17	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Florida Fire Frogs	35	0	53	220	70	22	2	0%	1.5	31.8%	10.0%	21.8%	0.9%	1.71	2.19	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	42	179	58	23	4	0%	1.2	27.6%	13.0%	14.6%	3.1%	3.83	4.12	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	42	179	58	23	4	0%	1.2	32.4%	12.8%	19.6%	2.2%	3.83	3.22	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	27	0	28	117	42	16	2	0%	1.0	30.8%	11.0%	19.8%	0.0%	2.86	1.89	+0.9
2023	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	27	0	28	117	42	16	2	0%	1.0	30.8%	11.0%	19.8%	0.0%	2.86	1.89	+0.9
2023	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	27	0	28	117	42	16	2	0%	1.0	35.9%	13.7%	22.2%	1.7%	2.86	2.75	+0.6
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	60	257	78	33	2	0%	1.2	26.9%	11.9%	15.0%	0.9%	2.56	2.82	+1.2
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	60	257	78	33	2	0%	1.2	26.9%	11.9%	15.0%	0.9%	2.56	2.82	+1.2
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	60	257	78	33	2	0%	1.2	30.4%	12.8%	17.5%	0.8%	2.56	2.58	+1.4
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	45	195	44	32	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	17.7%	2.4%	1.8%	3.20	4.64	-0.1
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	45	195	44	32	5	0%	1.0	20.1%	17.7%	2.4%	1.8%	3.20	4.64	-0.1
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	45	195	44	32	5	0%	1.0	22.6%	16.4%	6.2%	2.6%	3.20	4.72	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			59	0	59	258	65	41	4	0%	1.0	25.2%	15.9%	9.3%	1.6%	3.37	3.87	+0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	22	0	21	104	26	19	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.4%	4.3%	2.1%	5.06	4.59	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	22	0	21	104	26	19	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.4%	4.3%	2.1%	5.06	4.59	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	ATL	22	0	21	104	26	19	2	0%	1.0	25.0%	18.3%	6.7%	1.9%	5.06	4.36	—
ROS	29	MLB MLE	ATL	5	0	5	22	6	4	1	0%	1.0	26.9%	17.2%	9.7%	2.5%	4.44	4.74	-0.0
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	26	126	32	23	3	—	—	25.3%	18.1%	7.2%	2.0%	4.94	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	ATL	55	0	57	242	63	41	7	0%	1.0	25.9%	16.7%	9.1%	2.7%	4.70	4.91	-0.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	ATL	51	0	54	226	56	37	7	0%	1.0	24.9%	16.5%	8.4%	3.0%	4.92	5.09	-0.3
2027	30	MLB CTX	ATL	20	0	21	89	23	15	2	0%	1.1	25.9%	16.7%	9.1%	2.7%	4.70	4.91	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	ATL	28	0	29	122	31	20	4	0%	1.0	24.9%	16.5%	8.4%	3.0%	4.92	5.09	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		108	0	110	474	120	77	10	0%	1.0	25.3%	16.2%	9.0%	2.1%	4.05	4.20	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	0	200	863	219	140	18	0%	1.0	25.3%	16.2%	9.0%	2.1%	4.05	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		237	0	287	1235	296	171	19	0%	1.2	24.0%	13.8%	10.2%	1.5%	3.16	3.66	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		165	0	200	860	206	119	13	0%	1.2	24.0%	13.8%	10.2%	1.5%	3.16	3.66	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daysbel Hernández (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	26.9%	17.2%	2.5%	—	5.00	25.4%	8.8%	111	+0.26	—	—	—
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	72
Jeff Johnson R 2017 · 3.69 FIP	27	SU	3.69	23.6%	15.6%	1.1%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	160	72
Parker Markel R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	29.7%	16.5%	4.0%	.250	4.33	28.9%	11.6%	97	-0.54	3.18	266	71
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	71
Luis García R 2016 · 3.75 FIP	29	SU	3.75	20.6%	10.9%	1.8%	.281	3.74	21.6%	12.6%	179	-0.01	2.33	617	70
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	69
Dan Winkler R 2019 · 4.99 FIP	29	SU	4.99	20.6%	15.2%	3.1%	.237	4.44	23.0%	8.4%	104	-0.55	2.40	231	69
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	69
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	69
Leonel Campos R 2016 · 3.58 FIP	29	SU	3.58	24.9%	13.8%	1.5%	.328	3.70	25.7%	13.9%	46	+0.12	2.62	168	68
Coleman Huntley III R 2022 · 4.05 FIP	29	SU	4.05	24.4%	10.9%	3.0%	.311	2.38	20.9%	12.6%	25	-1.67	2.38	160	68
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.55	21.2%	-0.6%	51	+0.46	4.09	130	68
J.J. Hoover R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	27.4%	12.7%	3.5%	.360	6.40	17.2%	8.0%	96	+2.08	4.22	258	68
Zack Jones R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	27.7%	24.1%	2.2%	.167	—	—	—	—	—	2.57	109	68
Gregory Infante R 2016 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	19.0%	12.3%	2.6%	.333	3.43	22.5%	15.8%	120	-1.04	2.97	230	67
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	67
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.21 FIP	27	SU	4.21	19.8%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.02	2.92	140	67
Dillon Maples R 2021 · 4.42 FIP	29	SU	4.42	27.1%	18.9%	2.2%	.203	5.16	20.6%	-9.4%	14	+0.74	3.18	278	67
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	66
Brandon Maurer R 2018 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	19.7%	13.0%	3.2%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	234	66

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	25.9%	16.9%	1.04	4.68
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84