Ryan Magdic

P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 27 LHP 6'5" / 240 lbs AAA peak 0.6 · 2027

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	25	MIX2 levels	25	16	96	3.36	2.71	24.6%	5.7%	—	K 18.3% · BB 6.7% · FIP 3.62
2026	26	MIX3 levels	31	16	110	4.25	3.86	21.7%	3.5%	—	K 17.6% · BB 3.6% · FIP 4.53
2027PROJ	27	MLBOAK	11	11	74	4.83	4.83	15.6%	4.8%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	28	MLBOAK	5	5	30	4.83	4.86	16.3%	5.4%	0.0
2029PROJ59% MLB	29	MLBOAK	6	6	40	4.89	4.95	16.6%	5.9%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control50Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsDanny Wirchansky (age 27) · Aaron Rozek (age 27) · Yohan Flande (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%15.6%

BB%4.8%

K-BB%10.8%

Proj IP74

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD5050

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	16	96	403	99	23	7	64%	3.9	18.3%	6.7%	11.6%	2.2%	3.36	3.62	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	16	96	403	99	23	7	64%	3.9	18.3%	6.7%	11.6%	2.2%	3.36	3.62	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	16	96	403	99	23	7	64%	3.9	24.6%	5.7%	18.9%	1.7%	3.36	2.71	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	16	110	457	99	16	18	52%	3.5	17.6%	3.6%	14.0%	4.5%	4.25	4.53	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	16	110	457	99	16	18	52%	3.5	17.6%	3.6%	14.0%	4.5%	4.25	4.53	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	16	110	457	99	16	18	52%	3.5	21.7%	3.5%	18.2%	3.9%	4.25	3.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	OAK	11	11	74	312	49	15	12	100%	6.7	15.6%	4.8%	10.8%	3.7%	4.83	4.83	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	OAK	11	11	72	302	49	16	11	100%	6.5	16.3%	5.4%	10.8%	3.8%	4.83	4.86	+0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	OAK	10	10	68	289	48	17	11	100%	6.8	16.6%	5.9%	10.6%	3.9%	4.89	4.95	-0.0
2030	30	MLB MLE	OAK	10	10	64	271	45	17	11	100%	6.4	16.6%	6.4%	10.2%	4.0%	5.00	5.10	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	OAK	5	5	30	127	21	7	5	100%	6.0	16.3%	5.4%	10.8%	3.8%	4.83	4.86	+0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	OAK	6	6	40	169	28	10	7	100%	6.7	16.6%	5.9%	10.6%	3.9%	4.89	4.95	-0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	OAK	7	7	45	190	31	12	8	100%	6.4	16.6%	6.4%	10.2%	4.0%	5.00	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	18	116	490	81	29	19	100%	6.4	16.5%	6.0%	10.5%	3.9%	4.92	4.60	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	140	50	33	100%	6.6	16.5%	6.0%	10.5%	3.9%	4.92	4.60	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		56	32	206	860	154	43	29	57%	3.7	17.9%	5.1%	12.9%	3.4%	3.84	4.10	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	31	200	834	150	42	28	57%	3.7	17.9%	5.1%	12.9%	3.4%	3.84	4.10	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Magdic (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	15.6%	4.8%	3.7%	—	4.97	16.5%	10.6%	204	+0.14	—	—	—
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	80
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.34	16.7%	9.5%	356	-0.53	3.68	579	80
Yohan Flande L 2014 · 3.65 FIP	28	SP-	3.65	14.1%	5.8%	1.8%	.266	3.90	14.1%	7.9%	312	+0.25	3.18	394	78
Eric DuBose L 2003 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP-	3.92	14.4%	7.5%	2.0%	.233	5.49	13.7%	0.4%	104	+1.57	3.92	178	76
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	74
Jason Wheeler L 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	16.1%	5.8%	3.5%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	401	73
Ryan Kellogg L 2021 · 4.33 FIP	27	SW	4.33	12.3%	5.2%	2.9%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	446	73
Drew Parrish L 2024 · 4.66 FIP	26	SP-	4.66	20.2%	4.8%	4.9%	.290	4.93	15.1%	5.7%	70	+0.27	3.47	522	72
Brant Hurter L 2024 · 3.80 FIP	25	SP-	3.80	19.7%	5.4%	3.1%	.298	3.08	21.7%	12.6%	98	-0.72	2.84	440	72
Matt Tracy L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	27	SW	3.89	13.8%	8.3%	1.7%	.328	4.22	15.3%	5.5%	129	+0.33	3.24	298	72
Nick Additon L 2015 · 3.73 FIP	27	SP-	3.73	14.0%	7.9%	1.5%	.307	4.15	14.4%	7.1%	106	+0.42	3.13	217	72
Dylan Dodd L 2024 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	17.5%	6.0%	4.2%	.338	3.97	26.5%	21.7%	123	-0.74	3.31	475	72
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	71
John Rheinecker L 2006 · 4.14 FIP	27	SP-	4.14	8.7%	5.9%	1.9%	.364	5.13	16.7%	5.8%	50	+0.99	4.14	121	71
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	71
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	70
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	69
Avery Weems L 2022 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	21.3%	8.6%	4.5%	.323	5.13	20.5%	12.3%	38	+0.26	2.46	227	69
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	68
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	70	16.2%	5.6%	1.49	4.88
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Ricky Stone ('07)	1.3	64	15.2%	8.0%	1.55	4.68
Casey Fien ('17)	1.4	58	21.0%	5.1%	1.46	4.42
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Minnie Rojas ('66-'68, 1 WAR*)	1.3	87	17.1%*	6.5%*	1.35*	4.07*
Larry Casian ('90-'98, 0 WAR*)	1.2	40	14.7%*	6.8%*	1.25*	4.37*