Slade Cecconi
P
Cleveland Guardians
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 219 lbs
MLB
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 0.9 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 66 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.28
K%18.6%
BB%6.4%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 165 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3293.2
Whiff%
p1520.4%
K%
p2117.9%
xwOBA vs
p350.329
FB+0.9 (48%)
SI (21%)
CU (15%)
CH (2%)
CT-1.2 (25%)
SL-1.6 (10%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 12 | 12 | 59 | 248 | 63 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 19.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.12 | 4.09 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 12 | 12 | 59 | 248 | 63 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 25.4% | 8.1% | 17.3% | 2.0% | 4.12 | 3.08 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 26 | 25 | 130 | 566 | 127 | 32 | 22 | 96% | 5.0 | 18.2% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 4.37 | 4.51 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 26 | 25 | 130 | 566 | 127 | 32 | 22 | 96% | 5.0 | 22.4% | 5.7% | 16.8% | 3.9% | 4.37 | 4.09 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 27 | 143 | 618 | 138 | 40 | 28 | 90% | 4.8 | 20.0% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 5.78 | 4.90 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 27 | 143 | 618 | 138 | 40 | 28 | 90% | 4.8 | 22.3% | 6.5% | 15.9% | 4.5% | 5.78 | 4.55 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 18 | 124 | 521 | 118 | 29 | 21 | 47% | 3.3 | 21.4% | 5.7% | 15.7% | 3.8% | 5.30 | 4.09 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 18 | 124 | 521 | 118 | 29 | 21 | 47% | 3.3 | 22.6% | 5.6% | 17.1% | 4.0% | 5.30 | 4.10 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 145 | 596 | 119 | 33 | 24 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.8% | 5.6% | 14.2% | 4.0% | 4.34 | 4.36 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 145 | 596 | 119 | 33 | 24 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.0% | 5.5% | 14.4% | 4.0% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 19 | 19 | 99 | 429 | 77 | 30 | 13 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.9% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.13 | +1.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 66 | 279 | 52 | 18 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.6% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 4.32 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 66 | 279 | 52 | 18 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 18.6% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 3.5% | 4.32 | 4.28 | +0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 165 | 708 | 129 | 48 | 23 | — | — | 18.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 4.19 | +2.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 165 | 697 | 129 | 48 | 23 | — | — | 18.5% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 4.45 | 4.21 | +2.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 19 | 116 | 491 | 91 | 32 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.73 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 18 | 111 | 469 | 85 | 32 | 18 | 100% | 6.2 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 4.82 | 4.89 | +0.7 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 18 | 110 | 464 | 87 | 30 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.73 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 18 | 105 | 443 | 80 | 30 | 17 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 4.81 | 4.88 | +0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 108 | 617 | 2613 | 489 | 160 | 100 | 92% | 5.2 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 4.80 | 4.40 | +7.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 35 | 200 | 847 | 159 | 52 | 32 | 91% | 5.2 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 4.80 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 151 | 127 | 700 | 2978 | 582 | 193 | 115 | 84% | 4.6 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 4.82 | 4.40 | +8.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 36 | 200 | 851 | 166 | 55 | 33 | 84% | 4.6 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 4.82 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Slade Cecconi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 19.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | — | 4.81 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 227 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Brad Peacock R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.89 | 20.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .302 | 3.31 | 29.4% | 20.4% | 289 | -0.58 | 2.88 | 533 | 71 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 68 |
| Mat Latos R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.68 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | .306 | 5.21 | 14.5% | 4.4% | 128 | +1.53 | 3.68 | 244 | 68 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .343 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 8.1% | 251 | +0.40 | 3.26 | 493 | 68 |
| Joe Wieland R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.50 | 18.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 270 | 67 |
| Nestor Molina R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 67 |
| Deck McGuire R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.43 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | .287 | 3.97 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 277 | -1.46 | 3.23 | 622 | 66 |
| Jason Forjet R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.39 | 15.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 197 | 66 |
| David Phelps R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.83 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.11 | 2.51 | 373 | 66 |
| Nate Karns R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.03 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 4.09 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 140 | +0.06 | 3.92 | 287 | 66 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.49 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.56 | 3.57 | 283 | 65 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.86 | 17.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | .296 | 4.60 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 451 | +0.74 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 65 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 65 |
| Anthony Ranaudo R 2025 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.17 | 15.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | .255 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 275 | 65 |
| Nick Martinez R 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.09 | 13.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 1,073 | 65 |
| Alec Marsh R 2025 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.91 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 424 | 65 |
| Joe Kelly R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.87 | 19.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .309 | 3.19 | 24.6% | 14.1% | 199 | -0.68 | 2.48 | 556 | 64 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.52 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.03 | 15.7% | 6.4% | 120 | +0.51 | 3.52 | 248 | 64 |
| Seth Lugo R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.65 | 19.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | .328 | 2.85 | 28.8% | 23.7% | 218 | -0.80 | 2.19 | 1,320 | 64 |
| Caleb Boushley R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.09 | 18.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | .323 | 4.71 | 16.2% | 8.6% | 397 | -0.38 | 2.92 | 790 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 114 | 18.9% | 6.3% | 1.47 | 4.75 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| Jeremy Hellickson ('19) | 5 | 126 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 1.44 | 4.49 |
| Jerad Eickhoff ('19) | 4 | 109 | 21.0% | 6.9% | 1.43 | 4.12 |
| Yonny Chirinos ('24) | 4 | 84 | 18.9% | 6.6% | 1.38 | 4.37 |
| Zach Plesac ('23) | 5 | 93 | 18.4% | 6.3% | 1.39 | 4.20 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |