T.J. Fondtain
P
Montgomery Biscuits
Age 25
LHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 123
ERA4.61
FIP4.61
K%23.1%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%14.5%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 53 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 1.69 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 32 | 4 | 61 | 236 | 67 | 13 | 11 | 12% | 1.9 | 21.9% | 6.3% | 15.5% | 5.7% | 3.38 | 5.16 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 32 | 4 | 61 | 236 | 67 | 13 | 11 | 12% | 1.9 | 28.4% | 5.5% | 22.9% | 4.7% | 3.38 | 3.88 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 7.20 | 8.19 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 15 | 73 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.8% | 8.2% | 20.5% | 6.8% | 7.20 | 5.83 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 21 | 0 | 35 | 150 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 16.8% | 12.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.35 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 17 | 0 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 3.6% | 4.61 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 3.6% | 4.61 | 4.61 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 53 | 225 | 47 | 22 | 7 | — | — | 21.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 5.10 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 23.1% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 3.6% | 4.61 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 3.6% | 4.57 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 3.6% | 4.57 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 3.6% | 4.57 | 4.18 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 66 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 3.6% | 4.57 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 66 | 4 | 113 | 465 | 95 | 41 | 28 | 6% | 1.7 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 4.55 | 5.76 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 117 | 7 | 200 | 825 | 168 | 72 | 49 | 6% | 1.7 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 4.55 | 5.76 | -0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| T.J. Fondtain (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.61 | 23.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% | — | 4.56 | 23.3% | 14.7% | 20 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.45 | 24.0% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .355 | 5.10 | 17.6% | 4.9% | 78 | +0.65 | 4.28 | 127 | 84 |
| Brandon Hughes L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.62 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .300 | 4.49 | 24.4% | 14.8% | 149 | +0.87 | 3.62 | 206 | 81 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.45 | 22.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | .340 | 5.20 | 16.2% | 2.6% | 55 | +0.75 | 2.34 | 195 | 81 |
| Robbie Ross Jr. L 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 20.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .287 | 3.19 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 66 | -0.53 | 2.79 | 159 | 80 |
| Elvis Araujo L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.17 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .308 | 5.33 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 38 | +1.16 | 2.35 | 120 | 80 |
| Harry Gustin L 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.25 | 21.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 79 |
| Jake Kalish L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.96 | 17.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .231 | 3.85 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 352 | -0.11 | 2.68 | 740 | 79 |
| Tyler Webb L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.07 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | .324 | 3.36 | 24.3% | 17.3% | 185 | -0.71 | 3.10 | 337 | 79 |
| Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 79 |
| Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 79 |
| Colton Johnson L 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 79 |
| Thomas Burrows L 2025 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .276 | 3.94 | 26.5% | 12.9% | 82 | -0.23 | 2.83 | 271 | 78 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.92 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 2.5% | .382 | 3.44 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 38 | -0.48 | 2.84 | 206 | 78 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.46 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 3.4% | .341 | 8.96 | 20.1% | 1.1% | 25 | +4.50 | 4.11 | 158 | 78 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2029 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 77 |
| Jake Miednik L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.26 | 23.7% | 11.7% | 4.9% | .308 | 6.54 | 10.5% | -4.1% | 32 | +1.28 | 1.55 | 126 | 77 |
| Robert Garcia L 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.95 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .331 | 3.17 | 27.0% | 17.3% | 190 | -1.78 | 2.21 | 452 | 77 |
| David Rollins L 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 17.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | .391 | 5.02 | 16.9% | 10.5% | 107 | +1.20 | 3.79 | 132 | 76 |
| A.J. Minter L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 25.5% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .358 | 2.21 | 30.5% | 23.3% | 144 | -1.79 | 1.41 | 424 | 76 |
| Kirby Snead L 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.03 | 20.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .318 | 3.05 | 24.6% | 15.6% | 98 | -0.98 | 2.09 | 365 | 76 |