Josh Breaux

C Charlotte Knights

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 230 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	27	AAAPHI	132	.226/.321/.330	2	0	47	—	.183/.252/.250
2025	27	AAPHI	47	.209/.277/.372	1	0	42	—	.205/.255/.364
2026	28	AAACWS	49	.186/.255/.302	1	0	17	—	.182/.234/.295
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBCWS	17	.203/.267/.322	0	0	65	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	30	MLBCWS	66	.202/.266/.319	1	1	64	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV64

Chase%34

BB%29

Speed24

K%12

Z-Con%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBrian Serven (age 29) · Stevie Berman (age 28) · Chadwick Tromp (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .267 / .322

PA17

HR0

K%29

BB%6

BABIP267

ISO62

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	216	199	54	10	0	13	15	59	1	0	0	271	326	518	843	246	320	27	7	366	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	106	100	24	8	0	6	4	26	1	1	0	240	276	500	776	260	261	25	4	333	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	276	250	63	12	0	17	22	73	0	0	0	252	312	504	817	252	280	26	8	351	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	172	159	38	4	2	6	12	49	1	1	0	239	297	403	699	164	308	28	7	311	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	231	211	43	10	0	13	19	64	1	1	0	204	273	436	709	232	224	28	8	312	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	49	42	9	1	0	4	5	8	2	1	0	214	327	524	850	310	167	16	10	371	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	97	93	26	4	0	7	4	24	0	0	0	280	309	548	858	269	306	25	4	372	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	59	54	11	1	0	1	5	15	0	0	0	204	271	278	549	74	263	25	8	254	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	51	48	7	1	0	2	3	18	0	0	0	146	196	292	488	146	179	35	6	219	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	97	87	20	4	0	4	8	27	0	0	0	230	295	414	709	184	276	28	8	308	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	132	115	26	4	1	2	14	35	2	0	0	226	321	330	651	104	304	27	11	298	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	47	43	9	2	1	1	2	14	2	0	0	209	277	372	649	163	286	30	4	291	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	49	43	8	2	0	1	4	16	0	0	0	186	255	302	558	116	259	33	8	244	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	216	204	40	7	0	10	10	81	1	0	0	196	237	377	615	181	267	38	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	106	101	22	8	0	4	3	31	1	1	0	218	248	416	663	198	256	29	3	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	276	257	51	9	0	13	15	99	0	0	0	198	243	385	628	187	247	36	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	172	164	31	3	2	4	7	59	1	1	0	189	227	305	532	116	264	34	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	231	217	36	8	0	9	13	78	1	1	0	166	216	327	544	161	208	34	6	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	49	44	8	1	0	3	3	10	2	1	0	182	265	409	674	227	148	20	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	97	94	21	3	0	5	3	29	0	0	0	223	247	415	662	191	271	30	3	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	59	57	9	1	0	1	2	20	0	0	0	158	186	228	415	70	217	34	3	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	51	49	6	1	0	1	2	21	0	0	0	122	157	204	361	82	163	41	4	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	97	90	16	3	0	3	5	34	0	0	0	178	221	311	532	133	235	35	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	132	120	22	3	1	1	9	42	2	0	0	183	252	250	502	67	274	32	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	47	44	9	2	1	1	1	17	2	0	0	205	255	364	619	159	264	36	2	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	49	44	8	2	0	1	3	19	0	0	0	182	234	295	529	114	227	39	6	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	216	204	40	7	0	10	10	81	1	0	0	196	237	377	615	181	263	38	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	216	199	54	10	0	13	15	59	1	0	0	271	326	518	843	246	320	27	7	366	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	382	359	72	17	0	17	17	129	1	1	0	201	239	390	629	189	252	34	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	382	350	87	20	0	23	26	99	1	1	0	249	302	503	805	254	275	26	7	346	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	403	380	66	11	2	13	21	137	2	2	0	174	221	316	537	142	230	34	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	403	370	81	14	2	19	31	113	2	2	0	219	283	422	705	203	261	28	8	311	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	205	195	38	5	0	9	8	58	2	1	0	195	234	359	593	164	227	28	4	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	205	189	46	6	0	12	14	47	2	1	0	243	302	466	768	222	262	23	7	338	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	148	139	22	4	0	4	7	55	0	0	0	158	199	273	472	115	220	37	5	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	148	135	27	5	0	6	11	45	0	0	0	200	260	370	631	170	244	30	7	277	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	179	164	31	5	2	2	10	59	4	0	0	189	253	280	533	91	279	33	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	179	158	35	6	2	3	16	49	4	0	0	222	309	342	651	120	299	27	9	296	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	49	44	8	2	0	1	3	19	0	0	0	182	234	295	529	114	280	39	6	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	—	49	43	8	2	0	1	4	16	0	0	0	186	255	302	558	116	259	33	8	244	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	216	203	40	7	0	10	10	81	1	0	0	197	237	379	617	182	267	38	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	382	361	72	17	0	17	17	129	1	1	0	199	239	388	627	188	249	34	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	403	377	66	11	2	13	21	137	2	2	0	175	221	318	539	143	232	34	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	205	193	38	5	0	9	8	58	2	1	0	197	234	363	597	166	226	28	4	252	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	148	140	22	4	0	4	7	55	0	0	0	157	199	271	470	114	210	37	5	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	179	163	31	5	2	2	10	59	4	0	0	190	253	282	535	92	271	33	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	49	46	8	2	0	1	3	19	0	0	0	174	234	283	517	109	227	39	6	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	148	140	22	4	0	4	7	55	0	0	0	157	199	271	470	114	210	37	5	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	179	163	31	5	2	2	10	59	4	0	0	190	253	282	535	92	271	33	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	49	46	8	2	0	1	3	19	0	0	0	174	234	283	517	109	227	39	6	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CWS	10%	200	182	37	7	1	4	14	57	2	3	1	202	266	320	586	117	266	28	7	264	65	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	CWS	10%	17	16	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	203	267	322	589	119	267	29	6	265	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CWS	27%	243	222	45	9	1	5	17	69	2	3	1	202	265	316	581	115	265	28	7	262	64	-11	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	CWS	27%	66	60	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	202	266	319	584	116	266	29	8	263	64	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	66	60	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	183	258	267	524	83	250	29	8	263	56	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	109	20	0	10	49	187	10	10	0	184	258	269	527	85	251	29	8	263	56	-28	+2	-6	+12	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1995	1861	353	66	6	64	105	655	14	10	2	190	238	335	573	145	250	33	5	250	56	-18	+0	-2	+7	+9	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	116	22	2	21	34	213	5	3	1	191	240	338	579	147	253	33	5	250	56	-28	+1	-3	+12	+14	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Breaux (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	201/264/317	116	266	3	3	28%	7%	65	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Serven 2024 · MLB	29	36	46→50	47→30	40	192/246/313	121	248	15	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/280/315	106	300	11	4	32%	8%	70	-0.8	212/290/326	114	302	11	1	31%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	48	196/284/317	121	252	12	5	26%	9%	73	-0.6	215/295/329	114	287	12	7	27%	9%	79	-0.2	193/288/250	57	260	7	0	26%	11%	57	-0.4
✕Chadwick Tromp 2024 · MLB	29	38	47→45	43→40	45	200/258/329	129	244	16	3	26%	7%	65	-1.2	209/263/314	105	273	11	4	26%	7%	63	-1.4	197/249/284	86	260	8	2	27%	6%	49	-1.0
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	44	197/263/310	113	259	13	6	29%	7%	62	-1.4	213/262/331	118	273	13	5	26%	6%	66	-1.1	208/251/320	112	263	12	1	25%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	41→36	48→50	51→50	37	212/251/355	143	272	16	13	29%	4%	68	-1.0	228/285/350	122	286	12	10	24%	6%	80	-0.2	232/297/331	98	288	9	6	21%	6%	77	-0.2
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	37	44→45	47→50	42	191/258/306	114	248	13	9	28%	6%	60	-1.6	208/279/330	122	276	13	11	28%	7%	73	-0.6	205/284/322	118	273	13	9	28%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	38	45	47→40	40	196/250/315	119	275	13	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	194/252/313	119	278	14	5	34%	7%	59	-1.7	168/269/293	125	244	17	8	36%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Gavin Collins 2024 · AAA	29	43	45	45→40	45	215/290/332	117	276	13	7	26%	7%	78	-0.3	215/272/325	110	250	11	7	18%	6%	69	-0.9	200/257/293	93	228	9	4	16%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	37	47→50	45→40	40	196/256/328	132	271	16	5	33%	7%	64	-1.3	208/266/316	108	304	10	9	33%	7%	65	-1.2	176/235/254	78	266	6	4	34%	7%	37	-0.8
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA	28	41	43→45	47→30	44	202/270/322	120	264	10	6	26%	7%	68	-1.0	216/277/345	129	299	14	6	31%	7%	76	-0.4	199/260/322	122	279	16	0	33%	7%	64	-0.4
✕José Briceño 2022 · AAA	29	39	48→45	50→45	39	203/249/342	139	256	16	10	28%	5%	64	-1.3	204/247/331	127	261	15	6	28%	4%	61	-1.5	181/218/292	111	224	16	0	28%	3%	38	-0.9
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	38	48→50	48→45	42	202/257/341	139	258	16	10	29%	7%	68	-1.0	217/272/358	141	276	17	8	27%	6%	76	-0.4	214/269/360	145	260	20	3	26%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Clint Sammons 2012 · AAA	29	35→45	45→40	44→45	43	184/244/295	111	226	14	8	26%	6%	52	-2.2	201/249/335	134	275	17	8	32%	5%	63	-1.4	145/172/258	113	185	19	0	35%	2%	13	-1.2
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	40	40	47→55	44	198/265/285	87	273	8	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	200/266/294	94	306	8	10	35%	7%	59	-1.6	154/223/216	62	257	4	5	39%	6%	24	-1.3
✕Yamid Haad 2007 · MLB	29	40	46→45	46→40	42	204/244/332	128	237	14	6	21%	4%	60	-1.6	209/251/307	98	265	10	6	24%	5%	56	-1.9	198/233/275	77	256	8	3	25%	4%	40	-0.9
✕Jeff Nettles 2008 · AA	29	42→39	46→50	49→40	40	217/257/346	128	274	14	6	27%	5%	68	-1.0	215/260/353	138	244	17	4	20%	5%	71	-0.8	203/248/340	138	219	19	0	18%	5%	61	-1.4
✕Jordan Procyshen 2022 · AA	29	38	47→40	49→40	43	199/268/330	131	255	16	6	28%	7%	69	-0.9	206/283/321	115	290	12	9	31%	8%	73	-0.6	171/255/291	120	234	16	10	33%	8%	54	-0.4
✕Adam Fox 2011 · AAA	29	38→43	46→45	49→45	41	196/246/318	122	243	14	9	26%	5%	57	-1.8	199/244/320	121	251	12	9	25%	5%	57	-1.8	174/211/298	124	212	12	6	24%	4%	35	-1.4
✕Eli Whiteside 2010 · MLB	30	41	45→50	46→40	37	208/247/328	120	267	13	5	27%	4%	59	-1.6	210/262/332	122	270	12	6	26%	5%	67	-1.1	193/249/296	103	247	9	3	25%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2024 · MLB	29	34	47→45	47→45	45	177/262/304	127	265	15	5	37%	10%	61	-1.5	186/260/304	118	295	14	10	39%	8%	60	-1.6	90/179/164	73	135	13	10	44%	9%	-2	-1.4