Bobby Miller

P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.7 · 2027 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAARP40M40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX3 levels	21	21	89	7.58	5.64	19.2%	12.2%	-0.7	K 18.9% · BB 12.0% · FIP 5.55
2025	26	MIX2 levels	37	15	96	6.02	4.90	20.6%	14.0%	-0.4	K 17.5% · BB 13.2% · FIP 5.00
2026	27	MIX2 levels	12	1	25	5.11	4.80	26.2%	10.3%	-0.1	K 23.2% · BB 9.7% · FIP 5.63
2027PROJ	28	MLBLAD	24	24	141	5.43	5.21	21.7%	13.0%	-0.5
2028PROJ61% MLB	29	MLBLAD	16	16	98	5.39	5.37	21.1%	13.2%	-0.5
2029PROJ72% MLB	30	MLBLAD	18	18	108	5.50	5.57	20.4%	13.6%	-0.8

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

FB Velo90

Whiff%39

K%36

xwOBA vs10

CompsClay Condrey (age 27) · Zach Stewart (age 28) · Vanny Valenzuela (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 126

ERA5.43

FIP5.21

K%21.7%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%8.6%

Proj IP141

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 141 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9097.6

Whiff%

p3923.7%

p3620.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.396

SI (22%)

CU (28%)

CH (14%)

SL (9%)

FB-3.0 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	14	56	230	70	13	2	82%	3.3	22.9%	6.7%	16.2%	0.7%	2.40	2.41	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	14	56	230	70	13	2	82%	3.3	30.4%	5.7%	24.8%	0.9%	2.40	1.77	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	112	469	145	37	12	96%	4.7	25.5%	8.6%	16.8%	3.0%	4.25	3.69	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	112	469	145	37	12	96%	4.7	30.9%	7.9%	23.0%	2.6%	4.25	2.90	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	26	139	566	131	38	14	100%	5.3	22.8%	6.6%	16.2%	2.4%	3.96	3.34	+2.7
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	26	139	566	131	38	14	100%	5.3	23.1%	6.7%	16.4%	2.5%	3.96	3.35	+2.7
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	21	89	411	79	50	18	100%	4.2	18.9%	12.0%	7.0%	4.6%	7.58	5.55	-0.7
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	21	89	411	79	50	18	100%	4.2	18.9%	12.0%	7.0%	4.6%	7.58	5.55	-0.7
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	21	89	411	79	50	18	100%	4.2	19.2%	12.2%	7.1%	4.4%	7.58	5.64	-0.7
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	15	96	437	90	61	13	41%	2.6	17.5%	13.2%	4.2%	3.1%	6.02	5.00	-0.5
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	15	96	437	90	61	13	41%	2.6	17.5%	13.2%	4.2%	3.1%	6.02	5.00	-0.5
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	15	96	437	90	61	13	41%	2.6	20.6%	14.0%	6.6%	3.0%	6.02	4.90	-0.4
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	1	25	107	28	11	5	8%	2.1	23.2%	9.7%	13.5%	5.9%	5.11	5.63	-0.3
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	1	25	107	28	11	5	8%	2.1	23.2%	9.7%	13.5%	5.9%	5.11	5.63	-0.3
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	1	25	107	28	11	5	8%	2.1	26.2%	10.3%	15.9%	4.7%	5.11	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			40	36	193	824	186	66	32	90%	4.8	22.6%	8.0%	14.6%	3.9%	5.37	4.36	+1.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	LAD	24	24	141	595	129	78	21	100%	5.9	21.7%	13.0%	8.6%	3.5%	5.43	5.21	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	LAD	27	27	161	680	143	90	25	100%	6.0	21.1%	13.2%	7.8%	3.6%	5.39	5.37	-0.8
2029	30	MLB MLE	LAD	25	25	151	639	130	87	24	100%	6.1	20.4%	13.6%	6.8%	3.8%	5.50	5.57	-1.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	LAD	16	16	98	414	87	55	15	100%	6.1	21.1%	13.2%	7.8%	3.6%	5.39	5.37	-0.5
2029	30	MLB CTX	LAD	18	18	108	456	93	62	17	100%	6.0	20.4%	13.6%	6.8%	3.8%	5.50	5.57	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		74	70	399	1695	366	183	64	95%	5.4	21.6%	10.8%	10.8%	3.8%	5.41	4.73	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	35	200	850	184	92	32	95%	5.4	21.6%	10.8%	10.8%	3.8%	5.41	4.73	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		137	100	517	2220	480	211	68	73%	3.8	21.6%	9.5%	12.2%	3.1%	4.91	4.16	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	39	200	859	186	81	26	73%	3.8	21.6%	9.5%	12.2%	3.1%	4.91	4.16	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bobby Miller (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	21.7%	13.0%	3.5%	—	5.47	20.7%	7.3%	312	+0.26	—	—	—
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	65
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	60
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	59
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	59
Dustin Nippert R 2009 · 4.09 FIP	28	SP-	4.09	18.0%	9.7%	2.3%	.271	4.49	17.9%	6.1%	57	+0.40	3.83	268	58
Jake Walkinshaw R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	28	SP	4.03	16.1%	8.5%	2.2%	.244	3.83	15.7%	5.7%	92	-0.20	2.84	310	58
Austin Bergner R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	27	SP	4.84	22.2%	12.5%	3.7%	.325	4.42	18.7%	7.3%	107	-0.42	4.06	464	57
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	56
Drake Fellows R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	26	SP-	4.97	16.1%	12.7%	2.9%	.293	4.85	14.2%	6.3%	207	-0.12	4.28	282	56
Jefry Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.4%	13.5%	3.4%	.287	4.58	19.8%	6.8%	64	-0.45	3.30	578	56
Jason García R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	28	SP-	4.76	17.7%	13.5%	2.6%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	356	56
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	56
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	56
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	55
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	55
Brandon Beachy R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	28	SP	4.58	16.1%	11.2%	2.6%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	1.97	364	55
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	55
Eddie Bonine R 2009 · 5.60 FIP	28	SW	5.60	13.1%	7.6%	4.8%	.306	4.54	8.6%	2.0%	68	-1.06	4.40	129	55
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	54
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	54

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	129	21.5%	11.8%	1.44	5.42
Mysterious Walker ('10-'15, -1 WAR*)	1.5	99	20.6%*	11.4%*	1.25*	5.38*
Gene Dale ('11-'16, -1 WAR*)	2.2	148	17.7%*	12.6%*	1.45*	5.30*
Matt Beech ('98)	1.5	98	20.2%	10.0%	1.59	5.37
Jeff Robinson ('87-'92, 0 WAR*)	3.5	118	18.3%*	10.9%*	1.38*	5.14*
Kevin Foster ('01)	2.5	127	18.9%	10.0%	1.55	4.86
Jason Bere ('03)	5.6	123	18.4%	12.6%	1.17	5.14