Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 13 | 10 | 25 | 125 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 77% | 1.9 | 13.1% | 20.0% | -6.9% | 1.1% | 7.82 | 5.15 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 13 | 10 | 25 | 125 | 24 | 20 | 1 | 77% | 1.9 | 19.2% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 7.82 | 4.09 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 13 | 9 | 53 | 244 | 44 | 23 | 3 | 69% | 4.1 | 12.3% | 11.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.92 | 4.50 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 13 | 9 | 53 | 244 | 44 | 23 | 3 | 69% | 4.1 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 1.2% | 4.92 | 3.48 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 27 | 0 | 36 | 175 | 51 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.6% | 18.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 5.70 | 4.72 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | 27 | 0 | 36 | 175 | 51 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 1.1% | 5.70 | 3.24 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 49 | 204 | 62 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 1.8% | 2.96 | 3.47 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 49 | 204 | 62 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.4% | 8.8% | 21.6% | 1.0% | 2.96 | 2.20 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 65 | 285 | 82 | 43 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.1% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 1.95 | 4.32 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 45 | 0 | 65 | 285 | 82 | 43 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.8% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 1.1% | 1.95 | 3.16 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 46 | 230 | 56 | 50 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 23.2% | -2.1% | 3.3% | 8.67 | 6.09 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 46 | 230 | 56 | 50 | 7 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.3% | 21.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 8.67 | 5.92 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 37 | 0 | 46 | 207 | 41 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 18.1% | -2.0% | 1.3% | 4.30 | 4.73 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 37 | 0 | 46 | 207 | 41 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.8% | 16.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 4.30 | 4.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 45 | 54 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 21.3% | -3.5% | 2.7% | 6.16 | 6.16 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 44 | 49 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 20.2% | -2.0% | 2.8% | 6.02 | 6.06 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 43 | 46 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 19.6% | -1.3% | 3.0% | 5.99 | 6.06 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 17 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 20.2% | -2.0% | 2.8% | 6.02 | 6.06 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 24 | 26 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.4% | 19.6% | -1.3% | 3.0% | 5.99 | 6.06 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 50 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 40 | 44 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 19.9% | -1.6% | 2.9% | 6.00 | 5.68 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 153 | 168 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.3% | 19.9% | -1.6% | 2.9% | 6.00 | 5.68 | -0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 205 | 19 | 320 | 1470 | 278 | 245 | 29 | 9% | 1.6 | 18.9% | 16.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.79 | 4.68 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 128 | 12 | 200 | 920 | 174 | 153 | 18 | 9% | 1.6 | 18.9% | 16.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.79 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jorge Benitez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.16 | 17.8% | 21.3% | 2.7% | — | 6.06 | 18.3% | -1.7% | 113 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Julian Bosnic L 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 20.0% | 19.6% | 2.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 136 | 78 |
| Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.23 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 2.9% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 161 | 77 |
| C.J. Widger L 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.25 | 17.5% | 18.8% | 2.3% | .354 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 105 | 77 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2024 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 17.6% | 15.2% | 4.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.64 | 107 | 76 |
| Jared Beck L 2025 · 7.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 7.12 | 16.8% | 35.4% | 1.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 158 | 76 |
| Randy Labaut L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.97 | 16.3% | 15.0% | 2.5% | .276 | 5.60 | 22.7% | 9.5% | 37 | +0.63 | 1.91 | 302 | 76 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.20 | 16.2% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 195 | 75 |
| Gil Luna L 2025 · 5.82 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.82 | 20.6% | 28.0% | 1.7% | .237 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 113 | 75 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 6.14 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.14 | 18.2% | 17.0% | 4.4% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 119 | 75 |
| Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 73 |
| Davis Schwab L 2024 · 5.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.86 | 20.3% | 18.7% | 3.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 114 | 73 |
| Evan Lee L 2025 · 5.33 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.33 | 17.2% | 25.3% | 0.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 129 | 72 |
| Jacob Kroeger L 2025 · 5.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.13 | 18.1% | 20.6% | 1.7% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 134 | 72 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 6.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.12 | 18.9% | 15.0% | 4.9% | .282 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 15.0% | 81 | -2.90 | 3.20 | 194 | 72 |
| Holden Capps L 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.50 | 15.3% | 19.1% | 2.3% | .392 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 215 | 72 |
| Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.47 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 4.2% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 178 | 71 |
| Estevan Gonzalez L 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.01 | 12.1% | 13.3% | 2.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 195 | 71 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2028 · 5.34 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.34 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.01 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.33 | 3.47 | 512 | 70 |
| Ryne Slack L 2025 · 5.43 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.43 | 13.9% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 212 | 70 |
| Eric Torres L 2025 · 5.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.68 | 21.6% | 19.9% | 3.4% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 155 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 57 | 18.1% | 20.4% | 1.10 | 6.06 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |