Gabriel Rodriguez

P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 28 LHP 6'1" / 193 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #195

FG ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	23	MIX2 levels	23	0	19	7.91	5.89	23.6%	28.2%	—	K 17.6% · BB 35.1% · FIP 6.96
2023	24	MIX2 levels	23	0	24	6.66	4.99	26.7%	23.3%	—	K 18.8% · BB 28.3% · FIP 6.10
2026	27	AANYM	40	2	46	5.24	5.11	31.5%	21.3%	—	K 25.5% · BB 23.4% · FIP 6.05
2027PROJ	28	MLBNYM	26	0	27	5.65	5.65	25.1%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBNYM	8	0	8	5.59	5.65	24.7%	19.1%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBraulio Lara (age 28) · Trey Jeans (age 26) · Armando Almanza (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124132vR 140

ERA5.65

FIP5.65

K%25.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%5.1%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	11	0	11	60	22	22	0	0%	1.0	24.9%	45.8%	-20.9%	0.0%	1.64	6.80	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	11	0	11	60	22	22	0	0%	1.0	36.7%	36.7%	0.0%	0.0%	1.64	5.10	—
2021	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	27	1	32	163	59	46	4	4%	1.2	26.8%	33.3%	-6.5%	2.7%	8.44	6.53	—
2021	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	27	1	32	163	59	46	4	4%	1.2	36.2%	28.2%	8.0%	2.5%	8.44	5.35	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	19	110	26	31	1	0%	0.8	17.6%	35.1%	-17.5%	1.6%	7.91	6.96	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	19	110	26	31	1	0%	0.8	23.6%	28.2%	-4.5%	0.9%	7.91	5.89	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	24	120	32	28	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	28.3%	-9.5%	1.8%	6.66	6.10	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	24	120	32	28	2	0%	1.1	26.7%	23.3%	3.3%	1.7%	6.66	4.99	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	40	2	46	216	68	46	7	5%	1.2	25.5%	23.4%	2.1%	3.9%	5.24	6.05	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	40	2	46	216	68	46	7	5%	1.2	25.5%	23.4%	2.1%	3.9%	5.24	6.05	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	40	2	46	216	68	46	7	5%	1.2	31.5%	21.3%	10.2%	3.2%	5.24	5.11	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	NYM	26	0	27	114	29	23	4	0%	1.0	25.1%	20.0%	5.1%	3.2%	5.65	5.65	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYM	25	0	26	110	27	21	4	0%	1.0	24.7%	19.1%	5.5%	3.3%	5.59	5.65	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYM	8	0	8	34	8	6	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	19.1%	5.5%	3.3%	5.59	5.65	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	34	9	7	1	0%	1.0	24.7%	19.1%	5.5%	3.3%	5.59	5.27	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	220	171	24	0%	1.1	24.7%	19.1%	5.5%	3.3%	5.59	5.27	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		124	3	133	669	156	205	17	2%	1.1	23.3%	30.6%	-7.4%	2.5%	6.36	6.39	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		186	5	200	1006	234	308	25	2%	1.1	23.3%	30.6%	-7.4%	2.5%	6.36	6.39	-2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabriel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.65	25.1%	20.0%	3.2%	—	5.65	24.7%	5.5%	26	-0.00	—	—	—
Braulio Lara L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	28	SU	5.80	19.8%	17.8%	3.9%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	118	78
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	77
Armando Almanza L 2001 · 5.21 FIP	28	SU	5.21	25.3%	14.0%	4.5%	.260	4.73	25.3%	14.7%	108	-0.48	2.90	211	76
Stephen Randolph L 2003 · 4.83 FIP	29	SU	4.83	18.5%	14.8%	2.6%	.247	5.69	15.8%	-3.0%	82	+0.86	4.83	155	76
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	75
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	74
James Reeves L 2021 · 5.11 FIP	28	SU	5.11	27.0%	16.2%	4.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.02	280	74
Jack Leathersich L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	28	SU	4.55	21.7%	19.8%	1.4%	.224	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	101	73
Matt Thornton L 2005 · 5.92 FIP	28	SU	5.92	21.8%	15.3%	5.0%	.270	2.98	24.4%	17.2%	178	-2.94	1.71	663	72
Josh Osich L 2017 · 5.00 FIP	28	SU	5.00	21.4%	12.9%	3.8%	.328	4.47	21.1%	14.1%	143	-0.53	3.41	315	72
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	72
Andrew Mitchell L 2022 · 6.04 FIP	27	SU	6.04	18.2%	17.0%	4.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	2.51	119	71
Cam Booser L 2022 · 6.54 FIP	30	SU	6.54	20.8%	20.7%	4.7%	.350	4.49	24.8%	15.2%	157	-2.05	2.76	314	70
Travis Bergen L 2022 · 4.93 FIP	28	SU	4.93	19.3%	20.5%	1.6%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	143	70
Luke Westphal L 2016 · 4.69 FIP	27	SU	4.69	21.2%	19.7%	1.6%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	294	69
Taylor Lehman L 2024 · 5.94 FIP	28	SU	5.94	21.1%	17.3%	4.4%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	171	68
Joey Marciano L 2023 · 4.90 FIP	28	SU	4.90	20.0%	17.3%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	330	68
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	68
Jimmy Robbins L 2024 · 5.73 FIP	26	SU	5.73	19.6%	15.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	176	67
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	24.9%	19.6%	1.26	5.62
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*