Taylor Lehman — OGILVIE

Taylor Lehman P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 31 LHP 6'8" / 240 lbs AAA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 18 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%22.4%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%10.4%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies East	13	0	17	78	17	6	1	0%	1.3	14.8%	9.6%	5.2%	1.8%	7.02	4.05	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies East	13	0	17	78	17	6	1	0%	1.3	21.8%	7.7%	14.1%	1.3%	7.02	2.92	—
2019	23	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	9	4	32	132	21	15	0	44%	3.6	11.8%	13.4%	-1.6%	0.0%	2.78	3.80	—
2019	23	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	9	4	32	132	21	15	0	44%	3.6	15.9%	11.4%	4.5%	0.0%	2.78	3.19	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	5	3	15	70	20	11	0	60%	3.1	23.1%	17.3%	5.9%	0.0%	3.52	3.34	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	5	3	15	70	20	11	0	60%	3.1	28.6%	15.7%	12.9%	0.0%	3.52	2.64	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	21	6	28	109	31	8	1	29%	1.3	22.5%	8.6%	13.9%	1.3%	2.93	2.98	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	21	6	28	109	31	8	1	29%	1.3	28.4%	7.3%	21.1%	0.9%	2.93	2.20	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	52	214	49	30	5	0%	1.0	19.3%	13.2%	6.1%	2.6%	3.81	4.55	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	52	214	49	30	5	0%	1.0	22.9%	14.0%	8.9%	2.3%	3.81	4.20	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	38	0	33	151	37	29	6	0%	0.9	21.1%	17.3%	3.8%	4.4%	5.73	5.94	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	38	0	33	151	37	29	6	0%	0.9	21.1%	17.3%	3.8%	4.4%	5.73	5.94	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	38	0	33	151	37	29	6	0%	0.9	24.5%	19.2%	5.3%	4.0%	5.73	5.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	31	MLB	PHI	17	0	18	76	17	9	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	12.0%	10.4%	3.1%	4.79	4.79	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	32	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.3%	4.88	4.97	-0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	PHI	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.3%	4.88	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.3%	4.88	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	109	27	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.1%	10.0%	3.3%	4.88	4.59	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		136	13	177	754	141	101	15	10%	1.3	18.7%	13.4%	5.3%	2.0%	4.12	4.31	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	15	200	852	159	114	17	10%	1.3	18.7%	13.4%	5.3%	2.0%	4.12	4.31	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Taylor Lehman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	22.4%	12.0%	3.1%	—	4.97	22.1%	10.0%	20	+0.18	—	—	—
Edward Paredes L 2018 · 3.81 FIP	31	SU	3.81	22.7%	11.9%	2.0%	.351	5.10	21.5%	14.2%	18	+1.29	2.36	130	85
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	84
Randy Flores L 2006 · 4.00 FIP	31	SU	4.00	20.4%	9.7%	2.5%	.333	3.30	18.1%	10.5%	93	-0.70	2.51	250	79
Nick Hagadone L 2017 · 3.74 FIP	31	SU	3.74	22.6%	9.3%	2.5%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	2.97	141	77
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	77
George Sherrill L 2008 · 3.86 FIP	31	SU	3.86	24.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.277	3.38	20.6%	12.4%	141	-0.48	2.74	323	77
Adam Liberatore L 2018 · 4.28 FIP	31	SU	4.28	18.6%	9.1%	2.9%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.38	124	76
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	76
David Purcey L 2013 · 3.79 FIP	31	SU	3.79	20.4%	11.5%	1.7%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	206	75
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	74
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	74
Jeremy Bleich L 2018 · 3.69 FIP	31	SU	3.69	20.3%	6.6%	2.7%	.296	4.41	20.1%	13.1%	33	+0.72	3.20	241	73
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	73
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	72
Buddy Boshers L 2019 · 3.73 FIP	31	SU	3.73	25.3%	10.4%	2.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	239	70
Mike Zagurski L 2012 · 4.48 FIP	29	SU	4.48	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	120	70
Cory Luebke L 2016 · 3.88 FIP	31	SU	3.88	26.4%	9.1%	3.4%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	216	70
Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 3.63 FIP	28	SU	3.63	26.8%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	4.25	23.9%	12.6%	140	+0.62	3.63	203	69
Pedro Feliciano L 2008 · 3.90 FIP	31	SU	3.90	21.1%	7.6%	2.9%	.309	3.02	22.1%	14.9%	122	-0.88	2.69	378	68
Doug Creek L 2000 · 4.57 FIP	31	SU	4.57	27.5%	13.6%	3.8%	.267	4.75	21.9%	7.8%	132	+0.18	4.48	277	67