Steven Jennings
P
Frisco RoughRiders
+0.3
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 175 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.7%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%12.9%
IP61
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 10 | 10 | 26 | 121 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 7.3% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 4.10 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 13 | 13 | 65 | 291 | 53 | 26 | 5 | 12.4% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 4.82 | 4.79 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 27 | 27 | 130 | 550 | 115 | 39 | 15 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 4.71 | 4.78 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 29 | 1 | 74 | 327 | 59 | 21 | 8 | 14.0% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.37 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 46 | 0 | 67 | 270 | 67 | 14 | 7 | 20.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.18 | 3.77 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 20 | 0 | 31 | 129 | 40 | 12 | 2 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 2.87 | 3.27 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 42 | 2 | 70 | 289 | 63 | 22 | 10 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.71 | 4.81 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 5 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | 5.68 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 61 | 256 | 56 | 23 | 8 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.55 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 55 | 22 | 8 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.54 | 4.55 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 54 | 22 | 8 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 4.55 | 4.58 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 52 | 22 | 8 | 21.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 50 | 21 | 8 | 21.5% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.65 | 4.69 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 47 | 21 | 8 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 4.73 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 44 | 20 | 8 | 20.9% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 4.82 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 41 | 20 | 7 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 4.92 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 20.2% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 5.03 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 35 | 18 | 7 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 5.16 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 192 | 53 | 470 | 2009 | 321 | 172 | 62 | 16.0% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.54 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 23 | 200 | 854 | 136 | 73 | 26 | 16.0% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.54 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Steven Jennings (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 3.3% | — | 4.59 | 21.8% | 12.8% | 175 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.80 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .295 | 3.70 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.10 | 3.17 | 269 | 92 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 88 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 88 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.50 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .241 | 3.22 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.28 | 2.49 | 131 | 87 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.91 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.53 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.38 | 2.86 | 596 | 87 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.82 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 149 | 87 |
| Steve Geltz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.88 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .209 | 4.78 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.90 | 3.57 | 157 | 86 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 86 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.55 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.15 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.40 | 4.02 | 328 | 86 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 86 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.84 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 206 | 86 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.81 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .341 | 4.59 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | -0.22 | 3.74 | 223 | 85 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .321 | 2.87 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.67 | 2.39 | 509 | 84 |
| Bryan Evans R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.19 | 17.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | .250 | 4.61 | 19.7% | 14.9% | 132 | +0.42 | 3.86 | 231 | 84 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.05 | 21.1% | 7.2% | 3.3% | .174 | 3.39 | 24.7% | 16.0% | 206 | -0.66 | 2.27 | 445 | 84 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 84 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.75 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | .246 | 3.68 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.07 | 3.25 | 160 | 84 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.35 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .359 | 5.13 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.78 | 3.35 | 108 | 84 |
| John Gorman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.99 | 23.4% | 7.5% | 3.5% | .366 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 141 | 83 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.86 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .280 | 4.05 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.19 | 3.02 | 363 | 83 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.