Steven Jennings — OGILVIE

Steven Jennings P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 49 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%20.6%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP49

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	10	10	26	121	13	10	2	100%	2.6	7.3%	10.3%	-3.0%	2.3%	4.10	5.06	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	10	10	26	121	13	10	2	100%	2.6	10.7%	8.3%	2.5%	1.7%	4.10	4.24	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	13	13	65	291	53	26	5	100%	5.0	12.4%	11.2%	1.2%	2.4%	4.82	4.79	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	13	13	65	291	53	26	5	100%	5.0	18.2%	8.9%	9.3%	1.7%	4.82	3.67	—
2019	20	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	27	27	130	550	115	39	15	100%	4.8	15.5%	8.4%	7.1%	3.5%	4.71	4.78	—
2019	20	A RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	27	27	130	550	115	39	15	100%	4.8	20.9%	7.1%	13.8%	2.7%	4.71	3.73	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	29	1	74	327	59	21	8	3%	2.6	14.0%	7.3%	6.7%	2.8%	4.99	4.37	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	29	1	74	327	59	21	8	3%	2.6	18.0%	6.4%	11.6%	2.4%	4.99	3.76	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	46	0	67	270	67	14	7	0%	1.4	20.1%	5.7%	14.4%	3.0%	4.18	3.78	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	46	0	67	270	67	14	7	0%	1.4	24.8%	5.2%	19.6%	2.6%	4.18	3.08	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	20	0	31	129	40	12	2	0%	1.6	25.1%	10.2%	14.9%	1.8%	2.87	3.26	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	20	0	31	129	40	12	2	0%	1.6	31.0%	9.3%	21.7%	1.6%	2.87	2.53	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	70	289	63	22	10	5%	1.7	18.1%	7.8%	10.3%	4.0%	3.71	4.77	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	2	70	289	63	22	10	5%	1.7	18.1%	7.8%	10.3%	4.0%	3.71	4.77	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	2	70	289	63	22	10	5%	1.7	21.8%	7.6%	14.2%	3.5%	3.71	4.10	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	5	0	6	32	6	5	2	0%	1.3	18.8%	15.6%	3.1%	6.2%	5.68	6.93	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	5	0	6	32	6	5	2	0%	1.3	18.8%	15.6%	3.1%	6.2%	5.68	6.93	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	5	0	6	32	6	5	2	0%	1.3	18.8%	15.6%	3.1%	6.2%	5.68	7.68	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	TEX	47	0	49	207	43	18	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.5%	12.1%	3.1%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	TEX	44	0	46	196	41	17	6	0%	1.1	20.7%	8.8%	11.9%	3.2%	4.58	4.63	-0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	TEX	42	0	44	185	38	17	6	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.1%	11.4%	3.4%	4.70	4.79	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	TEX	14	0	15	63	13	6	2	0%	1.1	20.7%	8.8%	11.9%	3.2%	4.58	4.63	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	TEX	21	0	22	93	19	8	3	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.1%	11.4%	3.4%	4.70	4.79	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		35	0	37	156	32	14	5	0%	1.1	20.6%	9.0%	11.6%	3.4%	4.65	4.35	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	76	27	0%	1.1	20.6%	9.0%	11.6%	3.4%	4.65	4.35	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		192	53	470	2009	321	171	62	28%	2.4	16.0%	8.5%	7.4%	3.1%	4.40	4.53	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	23	200	854	136	73	27	28%	2.4	16.0%	8.5%	7.4%	3.1%	4.40	4.53	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Steven Jennings (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	20.6%	8.5%	3.1%	—	4.71	20.6%	11.6%	90	+0.19	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	86
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	83
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	80
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	78
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	78
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	77
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	77
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	76
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	76
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	75
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	75
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	74
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	73
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	73
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	73
Robert Kwiatkowski R 2024 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	18.3%	9.0%	2.4%	.255	4.23	15.9%	2.3%	20	+0.20	4.03	254	73
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	73
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	72
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	72
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	20.6%	8.8%	1.26	4.60
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79