Kelvin Nunez
P
Everett AquaSox
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 170 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%22.2%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP44
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 15 | 13 | 56 | 242 | 40 | 20 | 1 | 87% | 3.7 | 11.2% | 10.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 3.54 | 3.78 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 15 | 13 | 56 | 242 | 40 | 20 | 1 | 87% | 3.7 | 16.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.4% | 3.54 | 2.98 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 7 | 47 | 200 | 30 | 17 | 1 | 58% | 3.9 | 10.2% | 10.6% | -0.4% | 0.7% | 2.89 | 3.97 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 12 | 7 | 47 | 200 | 30 | 17 | 1 | 58% | 3.9 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 0.5% | 2.89 | 3.19 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 2 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 3.3 | 25.0% | 3.6% | 21.4% | 3.6% | 4.05 | 3.40 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 2 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 3.3 | 25.0% | 3.6% | 21.4% | 3.6% | 4.05 | 3.40 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 6 | 55 | 251 | 50 | 22 | 8 | 24% | 2.2 | 14.7% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.09 | 6.32 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 6 | 55 | 251 | 50 | 22 | 8 | 24% | 2.2 | 19.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 6.09 | 4.38 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 1 | 68 | 295 | 77 | 19 | 9 | 3% | 1.9 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 4.79 | 4.92 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 36 | 1 | 68 | 295 | 77 | 19 | 9 | 3% | 1.9 | 26.1% | 6.4% | 19.7% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 3.40 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 31 | 4 | 63 | 288 | 35 | 35 | 10 | 13% | 2.0 | 9.4% | 14.0% | -4.6% | 4.2% | 5.29 | 6.41 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 31 | 4 | 63 | 288 | 35 | 35 | 10 | 13% | 2.0 | 12.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 3.5% | 5.29 | 5.72 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 41 | 0 | 43 | 183 | 41 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.14 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 189 | 88 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 31 | 295 | 1304 | 179 | 134 | 45 | 26% | 2.4 | 13.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 5.13 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 21 | 200 | 885 | 122 | 91 | 30 | 26% | 2.4 | 13.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kelvin Nunez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 22.2% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.52 | 22.3% | 12.6% | 43 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 83 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 82 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 80 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 80 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 79 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 78 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 78 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 78 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 77 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 77 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 77 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 76 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 76 |
| Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.91 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .300 | 4.91 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 92 | +1.00 | 3.91 | 223 | 76 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 76 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 76 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 76 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 76 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 44 | 22.2% | 9.7% | 1.19 | 4.50 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |