Vaun BrownOF
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 28
R/R
6'0" / 215 lbs
AA
BB -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .242 / .290
PA136
HR3
SB5
K%42
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
34→34
SPD
68→68
EYE
40→40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.5peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-16M | $-23M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 98 | 82 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 12 | 8 | 1 | .195 | .327 | .293 | .619 | .098 | .375 | 42 | 4 | .277 | 70 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 456 | 401 | 105 | 18 | 6 | 17 | 31 | 166 | 19 | 44 | 6 | .262 | .344 | .464 | .808 | .202 | .395 | 36 | 7 | .341 | 119 | +10 | +6 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 2.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | 3 teams | 251 | 232 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 114 | 6 | 20 | 0 | .185 | .244 | .336 | .580 | .151 | .321 | 45 | 5 | .252 | 51 | -14 | +4 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | 3 teams | 212 | 193 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 121 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .114 | .170 | .192 | .362 | .078 | .257 | 57 | 3 | .159 | -20 | -29 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -2.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 99 | 88 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 13 | 3 | .227 | .306 | .261 | .567 | .034 | .345 | 30 | 8 | .251 | 50 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SF | 136 | 124 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 57 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .177 | .244 | .298 | .543 | .121 | .295 | 42 | 7 | .243 | 44 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | SF | 194 | 176 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 79 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .182 | .250 | .295 | .545 | .114 | .294 | 41 | 7 | .249 | 49 | -11 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +5 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | SF | 254 | 231 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 100 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .186 | .254 | .307 | .561 | .121 | .292 | 39 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -14 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +7 | -1.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | SF | 265 | 241 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 104 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .187 | .255 | .307 | .562 | .120 | .291 | 39 | 7 | .252 | 51 | -15 | +1 | -3 | -2 | +8 | -1.1 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | SF | 262 | 239 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 103 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .184 | .250 | .301 | .551 | .117 | .289 | 39 | 7 | .249 | 49 | -15 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +7 | -1.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 54% | SF | 242 | 220 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 97 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .177 | .246 | .286 | .532 | .109 | .287 | 40 | 7 | .243 | 44 | -15 | +1 | -4 | -1 | +7 | -1.3 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 71% | SF | 207 | 189 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 84 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .175 | .239 | .280 | .519 | .106 | .285 | 41 | 7 | .237 | 40 | -14 | +1 | -5 | -1 | +6 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2676 | 2416 | 464 | 86 | 17 | 62 | 170 | 1096 | 64 | 136 | 15 | .192 | .263 | .319 | .582 | .127 | .315 | 41 | 6 | .258 | 55 | -135 | +21 | -19 | -16 | +76 | -7.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 587 | 113 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 266 | 16 | 33 | 4 | .193 | .264 | .319 | .583 | .126 | .316 | 41 | 6 | .258 | 55 | -33 | +5 | -5 | -4 | +18 | -1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | ACL Giants Orange | 98 | 79 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 1 | .354 | .480 | .620 | 1.100 | .266 | .542 | 30 | 7 | .478 | 224 | +14 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 1.8 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 194 | 157 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 52 | 11 | 21 | 3 | .350 | .463 | .611 | 1.075 | .261 | .460 | 27 | 11 | .459 | 209 | +24 | +3 | — | — | +5 | 3.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | San Jose Giants | 262 | 228 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 67 | 8 | 23 | 3 | .346 | .429 | .636 | 1.065 | .289 | .439 | 26 | 10 | .459 | 209 | +32 | +3 | — | — | +7 | 4.4 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 208 | 190 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 78 | 4 | 15 | 0 | .221 | .285 | .421 | .706 | .200 | .324 | 38 | 6 | .311 | 96 | -1 | +3 | — | — | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 23 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .300 | .391 | .550 | .941 | .250 | .357 | 22 | 9 | .413 | 174 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 25 | A | San Jose Giants | 20 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .412 | .500 | .529 | 1.029 | .118 | .583 | 25 | 10 | .461 | 211 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 145 | 132 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 71 | 1 | 8 | 0 | .144 | .193 | .265 | .458 | .121 | .258 | 49 | 5 | .200 | 11 | -15 | +2 | — | — | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 39 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .167 | .231 | .278 | .509 | .111 | .333 | 46 | 3 | .232 | 36 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | ROK | ACL Giants | 28 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .286 | .444 | .429 | .873 | .143 | .294 | 14 | 11 | .389 | 156 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 99 | 85 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 3 | .247 | .347 | .282 | .629 | .035 | .344 | 24 | 11 | .296 | 85 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Vaun Brown (OGILVIE) | 28 | 20 | 34 | 68 | 40 | .176/.242/.290 | .114 | .295 | 3 | 5 | 42% | 7% | 44 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Michael O'Neill 2019 · AAA |
27 | 42→40 | 43→45 | 55 | 36 | .208/.259/.319 | .112 | .303 | 11 | 21 | 34% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .217/.265/.310 | .093 | .325 | 9 | 19 | 34% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .221/.265/.284 | .063 | .337 | 7 | 18 | 35% | 5% | 45 | -1.3 |
|
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA |
27 | 43 | 43→40 | 59→60 | 45 | .210/.290/.313 | .104 | .303 | 12 | 32 | 33% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.276/.302 | .097 | .296 | 10 | 29 | 32% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .172/.244/.246 | .074 | .244 | 9 | 46 | 32% | 7% | 30 | -1.1 |
|
✕Mason McCoy 2023 · AAA |
28 | 40→50 | 47→45 | 56→55 | 39 | .203/.256/.340 | .137 | .289 | 14 | 18 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .195/.257/.313 | .118 | .289 | 12 | 23 | 34% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .186/.252/.289 | .103 | .277 | 10 | 26 | 35% | 7% | 45 | -1.6 |
|
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA |
26 | 41→43 | 42→45 | 59→60 | 39 | .200/.260/.310 | .111 | .293 | 9 | 26 | 34% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.268/.324 | .117 | .323 | 12 | 22 | 37% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .189/.251/.296 | .108 | .301 | 12 | 29 | 39% | 5% | 47 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA |
28 | 38→41 | 44→50 | 53→50 | 34 | .189/.242/.304 | .115 | .298 | 12 | 12 | 40% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .188/.244/.306 | .118 | .318 | 13 | 8 | 42% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .146/.206/.239 | .093 | .257 | 13 | 0 | 46% | 6% | 11 | -1.5 |
|
✕Tony Thomas 2014 · AAA |
28 | 39→46 | 46→50 | 58→55 | 38 | .199/.248/.332 | .133 | .272 | 12 | 18 | 31% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .206/.248/.340 | .134 | .306 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .200/.240/.334 | .134 | .303 | 12 | 10 | 37% | 4% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA |
28 | 39 | 43→40 | 53→60 | 39 | .192/.276/.299 | .108 | .280 | 11 | 20 | 33% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .204/.287/.299 | .095 | .295 | 9 | 27 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.283/.264 | .072 | .280 | 6 | 39 | 31% | 7% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕Isaac Galloway 2018 · AAA |
28 | 43→42 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 38 | .216/.257/.329 | .112 | .285 | 12 | 24 | 29% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .212/.259/.348 | .136 | .286 | 15 | 22 | 31% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .193/.238/.324 | .131 | .261 | 15 | 23 | 32% | 4% | 47 | -1.0 |
|
✕Tanner English 2019 · AAA |
26 | 35→45 | 42→45 | 57→55 | 35 | .172/.235/.278 | .107 | .299 | 8 | 23 | 43% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .182/.237/.281 | .099 | .308 | 9 | 18 | 41% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .127/.182/.193 | .066 | .223 | 9 | 22 | 45% | 4% | -10 | -1.6 |
|
✕Ryan Strausborger 2015 · AAA |
27 | 44→45 | 41→45 | 61→55 | 40 | .216/.257/.320 | .104 | .275 | 8 | 23 | 24% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .215/.261/.318 | .103 | .278 | 10 | 26 | 25% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .204/.256/.297 | .093 | .271 | 9 | 28 | 27% | 5% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Eric Stamets 2021 · MLB |
29 | 40→50 | 42→45 | 56→50 | 39 | .198/.251/.306 | .107 | .276 | 9 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .184/.252/.297 | .113 | .258 | 12 | 13 | 32% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .134/.215/.232 | .098 | .183 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 7% | 16 | -1.2 |
|
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA |
26 | 39→33 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 37 | .193/.254/.311 | .118 | .297 | 12 | 18 | 37% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .184/.251/.289 | .105 | .364 | 11 | 16 | 48% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .105/.185/.185 | .080 | .240 | 12 | 21 | 58% | 8% | -9 | -1.7 |
|
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2023 · AAA |
28 | 42→46 | 43→45 | 53→60 | 39 | .207/.274/.314 | .107 | .294 | 11 | 21 | 32% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .188/.283/.307 | .119 | .270 | 13 | 28 | 33% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .158/.273/.275 | .117 | .225 | 14 | 34 | 34% | 10% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
✕Kevin Mattison 2014 · AAA |
28 | 40→47 | 42→45 | 55→60 | 38 | .193/.252/.305 | .112 | .293 | 9 | 24 | 36% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .186/.243/.304 | .118 | .313 | 11 | 21 | 42% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .148/.211/.269 | .121 | .247 | 14 | 27 | 44% | 6% | 24 | -1.5 |
|
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA |
28 | 36→43 | 51→50 | 54→55 | 34 | .193/.248/.347 | .154 | .281 | 19 | 19 | 38% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .210/.265/.341 | .131 | .288 | 15 | 21 | 31% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .210/.266/.328 | .118 | .281 | 12 | 24 | 29% | 5% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 36 | .202/.252/.327 | .125 | .285 | 14 | 17 | 34% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .190/.247/.303 | .113 | .282 | 13 | 22 | 36% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .172/.233/.265 | .093 | .260 | 10 | 26 | 36% | 6% | 31 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jacob Hannemann 2019 · MLB |
28 | 40→43 | 42→45 | 56→60 | 40 | .200/.250/.306 | .106 | .261 | 10 | 27 | 27% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .210/.264/.328 | .118 | .266 | 12 | 22 | 25% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .196/.267/.344 | .148 | .222 | 17 | 30 | 20% | 8% | 66 | -0.1 |
|
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2022 · AA |
27 | 40→42 | 46→50 | 53→55 | 37 | .206/.252/.330 | .125 | .286 | 14 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.251/.359 | .150 | .287 | 17 | 19 | 32% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .200/.242/.346 | .146 | .275 | 16 | 23 | 33% | 4% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Cody Wilson 2023 · AAA |
27 | 37 | 37→30 | 57→55 | 35 | .174/.233/.244 | .070 | .297 | 5 | 26 | 41% | 6% | 27 | -3.3 | .173/.236/.241 | .068 | .319 | 5 | 26 | 44% | 6% | 28 | -3.2 | .146/.214/.196 | .051 | .283 | 4 | 29 | 46% | 6% | 6 | -2.1 |
|
✕Marland Williams 2007 · AAA |
26 | 38 | 43→45 | 61→60 | 38 | .190/.247/.302 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 36 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .185/.243/.303 | .118 | .343 | 13 | 25 | 46% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .152/.210/.269 | .117 | .302 | 15 | 23 | 52% | 6% | 20 | -2.3 |