Robinson Piña

P Buffalo Bisons

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.8 · 2027

Overview

AAARPROOKIEMiLBFA 2034

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	24	MIX3 levels	34	11	97	4.07	3.61	21.4%	13.1%	—	K 15.7% · BB 13.8% · FIP 4.36
2024	25	MIX2 levels	25	25	129	4.18	3.49	23.9%	4.9%	—	K 19.6% · BB 4.9% · FIP 3.97
2025	26	MIX2 levels	19	13	68	3.72	3.47	21.8%	6.9%	1.2	K 19.4% · BB 6.2% · FIP 3.81
2027PROJ	28	MLBTOR	25	25	149	4.31	4.31	19.8%	6.7%	1.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBTOR	9	9	52	4.38	4.43	19.8%	7.0%	0.3
2029PROJ55% MLB	30	MLBTOR	12	12	74	4.50	4.59	19.6%	7.3%	0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$1M2032Ext$0.7M2033Ext$7M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff51Control47Command46FB velo50

CompsPatrick Johnson (age 27) · Hector Velázquez (age 28) · Shawn Haviland (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%19.8%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%13.2%

Proj IP149

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 149 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4550

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

SI (43%)

FB (61%)

SL-0.8 (15%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	15	11	51	214	47	24	0	73%	3.4	14.9%	14.0%	0.9%	0.0%	3.68	3.61	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	15	11	51	214	47	24	0	73%	3.4	22.0%	11.2%	10.7%	0.0%	3.68	2.67	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	19	1	44	191	61	19	1	5%	2.3	21.7%	12.4%	9.3%	0.7%	3.48	3.24	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	19	1	44	191	61	19	1	5%	2.3	31.9%	9.9%	22.0%	0.5%	3.48	1.92	—
2019	20	A MLE	Burlington Bees	26	21	108	475	146	61	5	81%	4.2	22.7%	15.2%	7.6%	1.4%	3.83	3.88	—
2019	20	A RAW	Burlington Bees	26	21	108	475	146	61	5	81%	4.2	30.7%	12.8%	17.9%	1.1%	3.83	2.69	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	21	95	411	140	56	13	100%	4.5	26.2%	15.6%	10.6%	3.6%	4.44	4.83	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	21	95	411	140	56	13	100%	4.5	34.1%	13.6%	20.4%	3.2%	4.44	3.70	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	85	362	122	31	11	71%	4.1	26.9%	8.2%	18.7%	3.2%	4.43	3.63	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	15	85	362	122	31	11	71%	4.1	33.7%	8.6%	25.1%	3.0%	4.43	3.01	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	11	97	421	90	55	5	32%	2.9	15.7%	13.8%	1.9%	1.5%	4.07	4.36	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	11	97	421	90	55	5	32%	2.9	21.4%	13.1%	8.3%	1.2%	4.07	3.61	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	129	552	132	27	18	100%	5.2	19.6%	4.9%	14.7%	3.5%	4.18	3.97	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	129	552	132	27	18	100%	5.2	19.6%	4.9%	14.7%	3.5%	4.18	3.97	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	129	552	132	27	18	100%	5.2	23.9%	4.9%	19.0%	3.3%	4.18	3.49	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	13	68	289	63	20	7	68%	3.6	19.4%	6.2%	13.2%	2.8%	3.72	3.81	+0.9
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	13	68	289	63	20	7	68%	3.6	19.4%	6.2%	13.2%	2.8%	3.72	3.81	+0.9
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	13	68	289	63	20	7	68%	3.6	21.8%	6.9%	14.9%	2.4%	3.72	3.47	+1.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	2	14	1	1	1	0%	1.2	7.1%	7.1%	0.0%	7.1%	7.71	9.10	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	TOR	25	25	149	629	125	42	19	100%	6.0	19.8%	6.7%	13.2%	3.0%	4.31	4.31	+1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	TOR	24	24	143	602	119	42	19	100%	5.9	19.8%	7.0%	12.8%	3.2%	4.38	4.43	+0.8
2029	30	MLB MLE	TOR	22	22	134	566	111	42	19	100%	6.1	19.6%	7.3%	12.3%	3.4%	4.50	4.59	+0.5
2030	31	MLB MLE	TOR	21	21	125	528	102	41	19	100%	6.0	19.3%	7.7%	11.6%	3.6%	4.66	4.78	+0.2
2031	32	MLB MLE	TOR	19	19	116	488	92	40	19	100%	6.1	18.9%	8.1%	10.8%	3.8%	4.85	4.99	-0.1
2032	33	MLB MLE	TOR	18	18	106	448	83	38	18	100%	5.9	18.4%	8.6%	9.9%	4.1%	5.08	5.24	-0.4
2028	29	MLB CTX	TOR	9	9	52	220	43	15	7	100%	5.8	19.8%	7.0%	12.8%	3.2%	4.38	4.43	+0.3
2029	30	MLB CTX	TOR	12	12	74	312	61	23	10	100%	6.2	19.6%	7.3%	12.3%	3.4%	4.50	4.59	+0.3
2030	31	MLB CTX	TOR	14	14	85	359	69	28	13	100%	6.1	19.3%	7.7%	11.6%	3.6%	4.66	4.78	+0.1
2031	32	MLB CTX	TOR	15	15	88	372	70	30	14	100%	5.9	18.9%	8.1%	10.8%	3.8%	4.85	4.99	-0.1
2032	33	MLB CTX	TOR	14	14	87	367	68	31	15	100%	6.2	18.4%	8.6%	9.9%	4.1%	5.08	5.24	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	64	389	1645	313	129	60	97%	5.9	19.1%	7.8%	11.2%	3.7%	4.75	4.49	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	33	200	847	161	66	31	97%	5.9	19.1%	7.8%	11.2%	3.7%	4.75	4.49	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		180	118	678	2915	617	323	68	66%	3.8	21.2%	11.1%	10.1%	2.3%	4.05	4.00	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	35	200	859	182	95	20	66%	3.8	21.2%	11.1%	10.1%	2.3%	4.05	4.00	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robinson Piña (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	19.8%	6.7%	3.0%	—	4.59	19.6%	12.3%	402	+0.28	—	—	—
Patrick Johnson R 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SP-	3.82	17.3%	6.9%	2.4%	.286	4.14	15.7%	6.4%	120	+0.32	3.82	248	76
Hector Velázquez R 2017 · 3.65 FIP	28	SP-	3.65	18.0%	6.6%	2.2%	.251	4.28	16.7%	7.4%	158	+0.63	2.75	536	69
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	69
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	68
Raynel Espinal R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	27	SP-	3.90	22.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.313	4.01	22.3%	12.4%	224	+0.11	2.48	507	67
Braydon Tucker R 2024 · 3.25 FIP	25	SP-	3.25	18.3%	7.1%	1.5%	.291	4.70	15.3%	6.3%	208	+1.45	3.25	314	67
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	67
Cooper Criswell R 2024 · 3.60 FIP	28	SP-	3.60	17.4%	7.2%	1.9%	.295	3.90	18.6%	10.4%	124	+0.30	2.76	651	66
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	66
Yariel Rodríguez R 2024 · 3.76 FIP	27	SP	3.76	24.9%	11.4%	2.4%	.275	3.72	24.1%	12.7%	89	-0.04	2.32	196	65
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	65
Brad Peacock R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	28	SP-	3.97	20.9%	8.7%	2.8%	.302	3.45	29.4%	20.4%	289	-0.52	2.97	748	65
Mitch Atkins R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	30	SP-	3.65	21.4%	8.2%	2.4%	.341	4.77	14.3%	6.2%	78	+1.12	3.65	215	65
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2015 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP	3.97	17.4%	7.1%	2.6%	.315	4.94	15.9%	8.7%	305	+0.97	3.97	567	65
Drew VerHagen R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	28	SW	4.11	19.5%	7.3%	3.2%	.344	6.00	17.0%	4.7%	22	+1.89	2.80	487	64
Michael Brady R 2015 · 3.15 FIP	28	SP-	3.15	18.9%	2.5%	2.4%	.326	3.48	18.0%	14.6%	214	+0.33	3.02	333	64
Seth Simmons R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	28	SW	4.27	18.1%	8.1%	3.0%	.262	6.20	13.3%	2.4%	54	+1.93	3.07	251	64
Ryan Weber R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	28	SP-	4.12	16.3%	6.6%	2.8%	.317	4.35	18.4%	14.1%	186	+0.23	2.88	727	63
Landon Knack R 2024 · 4.22 FIP	27	SP	4.22	24.2%	8.1%	3.9%	.264	4.78	19.1%	9.5%	191	+0.56	3.64	556	63
Erik Hiljus R 2001 · 3.35 FIP	28	SP-	3.35	23.1%	6.9%	2.4%	.321	6.07	14.1%	4.4%	46	+2.72	3.35	112	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.9	129	19.3%	7.5%	1.34	4.61
Colby Lewis ('16)	6.1	135	18.4%	7.2%	1.32	4.70
Saul Rogovin ('49-'57, 9 WAR*)	4.4	147	19.0%*	7.1%*	1.25*	4.42*
Tyler Anderson ('25)	6.3	126	19.5%	7.8%	1.32	4.30
Max Surkont ('49-'57, 5 WAR*)	6.0	149	20.0%*	8.4%*	1.27*	4.76*
Mike Fiers ('21)	5.8	128	20.5%	7.0%	1.44	4.07
Mike Smithson ('82-'89, 10 WAR*)	6.8	170	17.6%*	6.5%*	1.33*	4.62*