Pedro González prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Pedro González P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%19.9%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP51

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	12	12	53	243	44	21	2	100%	4.4	12.3%	10.8%	1.5%	1.2%	5.30	4.06	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	12	12	53	243	44	21	2	100%	4.4	18.1%	8.6%	9.5%	0.8%	5.30	3.12	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	12	9	52	216	54	13	5	75%	4.3	17.0%	7.5%	9.5%	3.2%	3.81	4.40	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	12	9	52	216	54	13	5	75%	4.3	25.0%	6.0%	19.0%	2.3%	3.81	3.02	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	8	2	28	123	21	15	1	25%	3.5	11.6%	15.2%	-3.6%	1.1%	3.81	4.68	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	8	2	28	123	21	15	1	25%	3.5	17.1%	12.2%	4.9%	0.8%	3.81	3.66	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	6	43	215	43	28	4	30%	2.1	13.9%	16.0%	-2.1%	2.3%	6.70	5.23	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	6	43	215	43	28	4	30%	2.1	20.0%	13.0%	7.0%	1.9%	6.70	4.26	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	36	165	23	11	2	0%	1.7	9.8%	8.0%	1.7%	1.7%	5.05	4.21	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	36	165	23	11	2	0%	1.7	13.9%	6.7%	7.3%	1.2%	5.05	3.46	—
2023	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	34	0	73	319	50	20	5	0%	2.1	11.6%	7.4%	4.2%	2.2%	4.32	4.28	—
2023	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	34	0	73	319	50	20	5	0%	2.1	11.6%	7.4%	4.2%	2.2%	4.32	4.28	—
2023	23	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	34	0	73	319	50	20	5	0%	2.1	15.7%	6.3%	9.4%	1.6%	4.32	3.44	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	WSH	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.9%	8.2%	11.6%	3.0%	4.48	4.48	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	48	0	50	212	43	18	6	0%	1.0	20.2%	8.4%	11.8%	3.0%	4.49	4.50	+0.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	46	0	49	206	42	18	6	0%	1.1	20.3%	8.6%	11.7%	3.1%	4.53	4.57	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	17	0	18	76	15	6	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	8.4%	11.8%	3.0%	4.49	4.50	+0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	28	0	29	122	25	11	4	0%	1.0	20.3%	8.6%	11.7%	3.1%	4.53	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		45	0	47	198	40	17	6	0%	1.0	20.3%	8.5%	11.7%	3.1%	4.51	4.17	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	72	26	0%	1.1	20.3%	8.5%	11.7%	3.1%	4.51	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		107	29	285	1281	164	133	26	27%	2.7	12.8%	10.3%	2.4%	2.0%	4.81	4.45	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	20	200	900	115	93	18	27%	2.7	12.8%	10.3%	2.4%	2.0%	4.81	4.45	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pedro González (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	19.9%	8.2%	3.0%	—	4.53	20.3%	11.8%	99	+0.05	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	84
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	83
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	83
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	83
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	83
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	82
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	82
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	82
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	82
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	80
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	80
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	79
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	79
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	79
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	78
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	77
Brandon Backe R 2004 · 4.41 FIP	26	SW	4.41	18.4%	7.8%	3.4%	.316	4.77	13.2%	3.4%	221	+0.36	4.41	525	77
Ariel Peña R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SW	3.74	21.3%	9.5%	2.3%	.300	4.92	19.9%	5.6%	92	+1.18	3.74	223	77
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	77
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	50	20.1%	8.4%	1.18	4.50
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Juan Carlos Oviedo ('14)	1.9	56	18.9%	8.0%	1.16	4.28