Jose E. Martinez P Springfield Cardinals
Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 194 lbs AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%21.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.3%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
K: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -0.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.02 (38 IP)-0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201718ROKDSL Dodgers 2131153218308185%4.19.4%4.6%4.8%0.6%2.563.24
201718ROKDSL Dodgers 2131153218308185%4.113.8%3.7%10.1%0.5%2.562.66
201819ROKOgden Raptors11236143447118%3.320.9%6.1%14.8%1.0%2.972.65
201819ROKOgden Raptors11236143447118%3.330.8%4.9%25.9%0.7%2.971.61
201920MIX2 levels271612651011533959%4.716.9%7.6%9.3%2.2%3.283.85
201920MIX2 levels271612651011533959%4.722.5%6.5%16.1%1.8%3.282.99
202122MIX2 levels2415954496926962%4.012.0%6.5%5.5%2.8%5.314.45
202122MIX2 levels2415954496926962%4.015.4%5.8%9.6%2.0%5.313.70
202223MIX2 levels286612744532521%2.212.5%12.3%0.2%2.3%5.164.89
202223MIX2 levels286612744532521%2.216.4%11.7%4.7%1.8%5.164.26
202324MIX2 levels31159288254673%1.97.3%17.2%-10.0%2.7%5.316.16
202324MIX2 levels31159288254673%1.98.7%16.0%-7.3%2.4%5.316.12
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBSTL36038160341650%1.121.5%10.2%11.3%3.0%4.604.60-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBSTL35037156341650%1.121.6%10.3%11.3%3.1%4.624.65-0.0
202728MLBSTL130145913620%1.121.6%10.3%11.3%3.1%4.624.65-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career130145913620%1.121.6%10.3%11.3%3.1%4.624.27+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084418887290%1.121.6%10.3%11.3%3.1%4.624.27+2.6
Career1345143118822451704138%3.213.0%9.0%4.0%2.2%4.164.34+5.4
/ 200 IP6224200874114791938%3.213.0%9.0%4.0%2.2%4.164.34+2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jose E. Martinez (OGILVIE) 4.60 21.5%10.2%3.0% 4.65 21.6%11.3%37 +0.05
Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 27 SP- 3.43 21.0%10.8%1.3%.246 2.10 224 79
Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 78
Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 77
Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 77
Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 76
Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 75
Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP 27 SW 4.27 16.3%9.1%2.5%.384 5.45 13.1%3.2%159 +1.18 3.74 291 75
Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 74
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP 27 SW 4.60 18.2%10.5%3.1%.304 4.88 15.8%3.2%11 +0.28 3.25 221 74
Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 27 SW 3.87 18.9%9.5%2.1%.368 4.57 19.3%8.1%148 +0.70 3.64 560 74
Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 26 SW 4.16 16.1%8.3%2.5%.309 3.28 24.1%13.4%34 -0.88 3.28 252 74
Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP 26 SW 4.75 15.1%8.7%3.3%.264 4.75 175 73
Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 27 SW 3.79 16.6%9.2%1.7%.251 4.85 16.0%6.7%234 +1.06 3.76 399 73
Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 72
Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 72
Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 27 SW 5.25 15.9%8.5%4.4%.307 3.44 14.2%6.2%129 -1.81 3.32 227 72
Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 72
Nolan Sanburn R 2025 · 4.25 FIP 26 SW 4.25 15.0%10.4%2.0%.310 3.91 169 71
Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 71
Ben Lively R 2026 · 4.82 FIP 27 SW 4.82 20.8%9.5%4.2%.312 3.15 20.9%12.1%77 -1.67 3.15 1,049 71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23721.5%10.2%1.174.61
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77