Luis Moreno — OGILVIE

Luis Moreno P Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 174 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%21.8%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants	13	13	64	271	38	19	4	100%	4.9	9.5%	8.8%	0.8%	2.1%	3.23	4.54	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants	13	13	64	271	38	19	4	100%	4.9	14.0%	7.0%	7.0%	1.5%	3.23	3.62	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	13	9	59	249	58	13	2	69%	4.5	15.8%	6.5%	9.3%	1.1%	2.91	3.21	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Black	13	9	59	249	58	13	2	69%	4.5	23.3%	5.2%	18.1%	0.8%	2.91	2.23	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Orange	7	0	27	116	18	8	0	0%	3.9	10.6%	8.6%	1.9%	0.0%	3.33	3.30	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Orange	7	0	27	116	18	8	0	0%	3.9	15.5%	6.9%	8.6%	0.0%	3.33	2.66	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	4	52	215	61	22	5	20%	2.6	19.6%	12.4%	7.1%	3.0%	3.98	4.69	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	4	52	215	61	22	5	20%	2.6	28.4%	10.2%	18.1%	2.3%	3.98	3.27	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Orange	16	0	23	106	24	10	2	0%	1.4	15.4%	11.8%	3.6%	2.6%	4.37	4.72	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Orange	16	0	23	106	24	10	2	0%	1.4	22.6%	9.4%	13.2%	1.9%	4.37	3.45	—
2023	24	A MLE	San Jose Giants	30	0	65	279	70	24	5	0%	2.2	18.6%	10.2%	8.4%	2.6%	4.18	4.25	—
2023	24	A RAW	San Jose Giants	30	0	65	279	70	24	5	0%	2.2	25.1%	8.6%	16.5%	1.8%	4.18	3.05	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	12	0	27	124	25	16	2	0%	2.2	15.5%	14.8%	0.7%	1.5%	5.33	4.49	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	12	0	27	124	25	16	2	0%	2.2	15.5%	14.8%	0.7%	1.5%	5.33	4.49	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	12	0	27	124	25	16	2	0%	2.2	20.2%	12.9%	7.3%	1.6%	5.33	3.99	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	NYM	15	0	16	68	15	7	2	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.9%	10.9%	3.0%	4.65	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	11.0%	10.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.75	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	NYM	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	11.0%	10.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	26	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	11.0%	10.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	99	33	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.0%	10.8%	3.1%	4.70	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		111	26	316	1360	207	136	27	23%	2.8	15.2%	10.0%	5.2%	2.0%	3.76	4.17	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	16	200	861	131	86	17	23%	2.8	15.2%	10.0%	5.2%	2.0%	3.76	4.17	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Moreno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	21.8%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.75	21.7%	10.8%	20	+0.10	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	76
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	75
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	74
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	72
Jorge Campillo R 2007 · 4.84 FIP	28	SU	4.84	14.3%	9.5%	3.2%	.348	3.93	16.3%	10.8%	159	-0.91	3.93	172	71
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	71
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	71
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	70
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	70
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	70
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	70
Cody Poteet R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	28	SW	4.79	18.4%	9.6%	3.7%	.244	3.73	21.1%	13.3%	68	-1.06	3.52	619	70
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	69
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	69
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	69
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	69
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	69
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	68
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	68
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	68