Luis Moreno P Brooklyn Cyclones
+0.2 WAR
Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 174 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
xFIP
SIERA
K%22.3%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.4%
IP31
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201718ROKDSL Giants131364271381949.5%8.8%2.1%3.234.54+0.3
201819ROKAZL Giants Black139592495813215.8%6.5%1.1%2.913.21+1.2
201920ROKAZL Giants Orange7027116188010.6%8.6%0.0%3.333.30+0.5
202122ASan Jose Giants204522156122519.6%12.4%2.9%3.984.63+0.2
202223ROKACL Giants Orange160231062410215.4%11.8%2.6%4.374.71+0.1
202324ASan Jose Giants300652797024518.6%10.2%2.5%4.184.21+0.6
202425A+Brooklyn Cyclones120271242516215.5%14.8%1.6%5.334.54+0.1
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBNYM31311312913422.3%9.9%2.9%4.454.45+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202728MLBNYM30301292913422.4%9.9%3.0%4.454.46+0.2
202829MLBNYM30301262812422.3%9.9%3.0%4.474.50+0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career1112631613602071362615.2%10.0%1.9%3.764.15+4.1
/ 200 IP7016200861131861615.2%10.0%1.9%3.764.15+2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Luis Moreno (OGILVIE) 4.45 22.3%9.9%2.9% 4.48 22.4%12.5%60 +0.03
Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 27 SU 4.12 18.9%7.8%3.0%.339 3.39 23.5%12.8%29 -0.73 3.11 166 85
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 27 SU 4.30 20.4%12.1%2.5%.315 3.24 113 84
Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.33 FIP 29 SU 4.33 21.3%8.5%3.6%.241 3.99 18.5%11.9%118 -0.34 3.47 149 84
Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 27 SU 3.37 24.2%9.0%2.1%.237 2.63 33.1%24.9%88 -0.74 2.40 362 83
Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 27 SW 3.48 24.2%8.9%2.4%.309 4.33 22.5%12.7%108 +0.85 2.36 309 82
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2025 · 4.46 FIP 26 SU 4.46 21.3%8.3%3.8%.243 3.46 24.8%17.1%57 -1.00 3.46 198 82
Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.29 FIP 27 SU 3.29 22.9%9.1%1.8%.276 6.26 27.5%9.3%50 +2.97 2.80 155 82
Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.75 FIP 28 SU 3.75 16.9%7.7%2.0%.288 3.35 17.9%10.1%171 -0.40 3.08 201 82
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 27 SU 4.57 20.5%12.6%2.9%.355 4.49 16.5%6.1%39 -0.08 3.70 187 82
Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 27 SU 3.60 21.6%9.7%2.0%.340 3.98 21.8%13.6%94 +0.38 2.68 177 82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 5.00 FIP 27 SU 5.00 22.2%11.4%4.2%.256 4.51 23.3%9.7%39 -0.49 2.65 315 81
Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.30 FIP 27 SU 4.30 22.7%9.4%3.5%.417 2.29 18.7%12.7%59 -2.01 1.94 131 81
Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 27 SU 3.60 18.8%11.2%1.2%.328 3.47 20.6%11.3%170 -0.13 3.16 254 81
Trevin Michael R 2026 · 3.82 FIP 27 SW 3.82 23.0%9.1%2.8%.230 2.68 149 81
Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.34 FIP 28 SW 3.34 21.6%8.5%1.8%.276 4.07 20.3%11.3%85 +0.73 3.25 150 81
Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP 28 SU 4.85 19.8%13.5%3.1%.265 3.87 18.2%10.2%272 -0.98 3.45 315 81
Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 27 SW 3.80 22.9%8.0%3.0%.295 3.70 12.4%5.2%127 -0.10 3.17 269 80
Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP 27 SU 5.16 21.1%13.8%3.8%.281 2.84 153 80
Jack Dallas R 2025 · 3.58 FIP 26 SU 3.58 18.9%6.8%2.2%.292 3.03 169 80
Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 27 SW 3.54 22.6%10.2%1.9%.321 2.87 28.2%18.4%140 -0.67 2.39 509 80

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.