Garrett Acton
P
Minnesota Twins
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2027
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 40 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113103vR 94
ERA4.10
FIP4.10
K%27.3%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%16.0%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB+1.3 (55%)
SL (45%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 54 | 215 | 87 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.4% | 9.8% | 20.6% | 4.6% | 3.69 | 4.31 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 54 | 215 | 87 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 1.6 | 40.5% | 8.4% | 32.1% | 4.2% | 3.69 | 3.04 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 2 | 70 | 307 | 92 | 25 | 15 | 4% | 1.4 | 25.4% | 8.7% | 16.7% | 5.7% | 5.01 | 5.21 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 2 | 70 | 307 | 92 | 25 | 15 | 4% | 1.4 | 30.0% | 8.1% | 21.8% | 4.9% | 5.01 | 4.33 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 35 | 157 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 6.75 | 5.72 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 35 | 157 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 6.4% | 6.75 | 5.87 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 4 | 60 | 241 | 71 | 29 | 7 | 9% | 1.3 | 26.5% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 1.9% | 3.62 | 3.40 | +0.8 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 4 | 60 | 241 | 71 | 29 | 7 | 9% | 1.3 | 29.5% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 2.9% | 3.62 | 3.70 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 8 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 2.7% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | MIN | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.3% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 2.7% | 4.10 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 51 | 215 | 61 | 25 | 6 | — | — | 28.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 3.24 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 47 | 197 | 61 | 25 | 6 | — | — | 31.0% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 3.65 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 76 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.11 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 69 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 63 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 72 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.0% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.11 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 66 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.4% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.31 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 60 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 4.39 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 218 | 0 | 230 | 981 | 258 | 110 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 3.97 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 189 | 0 | 200 | 852 | 224 | 96 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 3.1% | 4.34 | 3.97 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 166 | 6 | 229 | 966 | 259 | 97 | 43 | 4% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 4.4% | 4.57 | 4.55 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 5 | 200 | 845 | 226 | 85 | 37 | 4% | 1.4 | 26.8% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 4.4% | 4.57 | 4.55 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Garrett Acton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.10 | 27.3% | 11.2% | 2.7% | — | 4.30 | 26.4% | 15.3% | 186 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 83 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 80 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 77 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 76 |
| Greg Holland R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.21 | 25.4% | 13.0% | 1.1% | .316 | 3.35 | 26.4% | 14.2% | 104 | +0.14 | 1.97 | 268 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 75 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 75 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 75 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 74 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.68 | 27.1% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .389 | 4.81 | 29.1% | 19.7% | 116 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 220 | 74 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 74 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.71 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.19 | 24.0% | 17.4% | 119 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 363 | 74 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 73 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.97 | 27.4% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.04 | 27.7% | 19.7% | 22 | +0.07 | 3.97 | 281 | 73 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .271 | 2.99 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.51 | 544 | 73 |
| Michael Tonkin R 2025 · 3.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.33 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .309 | 6.08 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 22 | +2.75 | 2.33 | 480 | 73 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 73 |
| Alex Powers R 2025 · 2.91 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.91 | 27.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .272 | 4.01 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 48 | +1.10 | 2.80 | 264 | 73 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.01 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .261 | 4.52 | 30.7% | 16.5% | 88 | -0.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 73 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 58 | 26.6% | 11.2% | 1.14 | 4.19 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |