Austin Hays

LF San Diego Padres
Age 32 R/R 5'10" / 200 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 6.331 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202429MLBPHI255.255/.306/.3965294-0.4
202530MLBCIN416.266/.320/.4531571060.9
202631MLBSD105.280/.308/.4003095-0.2
2027PROJ32MLBSD303.243/.286/.410114950.3
2028PROJ33MLBSD273.235/.277/.3929187-0.5
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service6.331First FA2028Options4
2027Ext / FA-deal$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Bat Spd53
Barrel%51
Chase%45
Avg EV44
Speed42
xwOBA40
Form.254/.291/.418 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .245/.287/.413
CompsMatt Carson (age 32) · Ryan Mulhern (age 32) · Christian Bethancourt (age 32)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 10095vR 79
AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .286 / .410
PA303
HR11
K%25
BB%5
BABIP290
ISO170
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: -3.2 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +6.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.3-0.52728
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
3113.1%
xAVG
350.239
POWER50
Barrel%
518.3
Avg EV
4488.7
Bat Spd
5371.7
EYE40
Chase%
4532.7%
SPEED50
Sprint
4227.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▲▲19% over 36 PA (60d) · proj 25%
BB%4%▼3% over 36 PA (60d) · proj 5%
ISO.164·.147 over 34 AB (60d) · proj .168
BABIP.299·.407 over 27 BIP (60d) · proj .296
SLASH.254/.291/.418·proj .245/.287/.413
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 696 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
195
501
—
wRC+
161
80
◀◀L
wOBA
406
287
◀◀L
ISO
209
152
◀◀L
BABIP
447
278
◀◀L
K%
24.6%
25.3%
—
BB%
7.7%
4.0%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2017
Service   6.331 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$2M+0.3$1M-$1M
Totals $2M $1M -$1M
Options · projected decision
2027MUTUAL OPT$2.2M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2028MUTUAL OPT$8.0M / $1.0M buyoutDECLINE
2029MUTUAL OPT$2.2M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2030MUTUAL OPT$12.0M / $1.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201722 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 6360 13301 2160 00 217242317559 100273 253 246 50 -4 +0 -1 -7 +1 -1.0
201722 AABowie Baysox — 283261 8617216 13454 11 330371594964 264345 165 412 128 — — — — — —
201722 A+Frederick Keys — 280262 8615316 12404 46 328367592959 263337 144 413 105 — — — — — —
201823 AABowie Baysox — 288273 6612212 12590 63 242274432706 190263 204 306 59 — — — — — —
201924 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 7568 21604 7130 20 309373574947 265333 179 412 158 +5 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.9
201924 AAANorfolk Tides — 257240 6116110 11616 64 254304454758 200302 244 334 72 — — — — — —
201924 AABowie Baysox — 6156 15503 5110 31 268328518846 250286 188 369 85 — — — — — —
201924 A+Frederick Keys — 4037 6002 1111 00 162205324529 162160 282 230 1 — — — — — —
202025 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 134122 34204 8252 23 279333393727 115316 196 323 100 -0 -1 +1 +0 +3 0.4
202126 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 529488 12526422 281079 43 256309461770 205286 205 336 108 +5 -0 -2 -6 +11 0.9
202227 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 582535 13435216 3411410 24 250307413721 163289 206 319 99 -1 -1 -4 -6 +13 0.1
202328 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 566520 14336216 381413 51 275328444772 169345 257 339 111 +7 +1 +2 -6 +12 1.7
202429 MLBPhiladelphia Phillies — 255235 601805 9598 22 255306396701 140318 234 310 94 -2 -0 -4 -3 +6 -0.4
202429 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 1714 3000 261 00 214353214567 375 3512 285 43 — — — — — —
202429 AABowie Baysox — 1714 5102 340 00 3574718571.328 500375 2418 550 139 — — — — — —
202530 MLBCincinnati Reds — 416380 10116515 291071 70 266320453772 187326 267 336 106 +3 +1 -0 -4 +9 0.9
202631 MLBSan Diego Padres — 105100 28303 4270 01 280308400708 120352 264 312 95 -1 -0 -1 -2 +2 -0.2
202631 AAACharlotte Knights — 7976 19206 2170 00 250269513782 263241 223 334 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 27252508 6591451386 15960933 2414 263315434749 171312 226 329 109 +29 -1 -8 -32 +59 4.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201722 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 6360 13301 2160 00 217242317559 100273 253 242 50 -4 +0 -1 -7 +1 -1.0
201722 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 283265 8014213 9574 11 302335517852 215328 203 357 128 — — — — — —
201722 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 280266 7113211 8574 46 267299455753 188299 203 323 105 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 288277 591029 8750 63 213235361596 148254 263 256 59 — — — — — —
201924 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 7568 21604 7130 20 309373574947 265333 179 401 158 +5 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.9
201924 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 257244 521319 7756 64 213253385638 172265 293 274 72 — — — — — —
201924 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 6158 12402 3140 31 207246379625 172260 235 294 85 — — — — — —
201924 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 4037 4001 1161 00 108154189343 81144 402 170 1 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 134122 34204 8252 23 279333393727 115316 196 315 100 -0 -1 +1 +0 +3 0.4
202126 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 529488 12226420 281079 43 250303443745 193286 205 328 108 +5 -0 -2 -6 +11 0.9
202227 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 582535 13133216 3411410 24 245302404706 159289 206 314 99 -1 -1 -4 -6 +13 0.1
202328 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 566521 14034216 371413 51 269321434755 165345 257 332 111 +7 +1 +2 -6 +12 1.7
202429 MLB MLEPhiladelphia Phillies — 255236 601805 8598 22 254302394696 140318 233 307 94 -2 -0 -4 -3 +6 -0.4
202429 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 1715 3000 171 00 200294200494 348 416 232 43 — — — — — —
202429 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 1715 4101 250 00 267353533886 267298 2912 373 139 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 416382 10016514 271071 70 262312440752 178326 266 325 106 +3 +1 -0 -4 +9 0.9
202631 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 105101 28303 3270 01 277298396694 119352 263 308 95 -1 -0 -1 -2 +2 -0.2
202631 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 7977 15204 1200 00 195205377582 182203 251 244 51 — — — — — —
201722 AA MLE3 teams — 626591 16430425 191308 57 277309469778 191314 213 330 110 — — — — — —
201722 AA RAW3 teams — 626583 18535533 271018 57 317356564920 247334 164 396 110 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 288277 591029 8750 63 213235361596 148255 263 256 59 — — — — — —
201823 AA RAWBowie Baysox — 288273 6612212 12590 63 242274432706 190263 204 306 59 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE4 teams — 433407 9023117 181187 115 221266408674 187267 274 289 82 — — — — — —
201924 AAA RAW4 teams — 433401 10327119 24967 115 257310471782 214293 226 343 82 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 134122 34204 8252 23 279333393727 115316 196 315 100 -0 -1 +1 +0 +3 0.4
202025 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 134122 34204 8252 23 279333393727 115316 196 323 100 -0 -1 +1 +0 +3 0.4
202126 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 529488 12226420 281079 43 250303443745 193282 205 328 108 +5 -0 -2 -6 +11 0.9
202126 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 529488 12526422 281079 43 256309461770 205286 205 336 108 +5 -0 -2 -6 +11 0.9
202227 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 582535 13133216 3411410 24 245302404706 159282 206 314 99 -1 -1 -4 -6 +13 0.1
202227 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 582535 13435216 3411410 24 250307413721 163289 206 319 99 -1 -1 -4 -6 +13 0.1
202328 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 566521 14034216 371413 51 269321434755 165336 257 332 111 +7 +1 +2 -6 +12 1.7
202328 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 566520 14336216 381413 51 275328444772 169345 257 339 111 +7 +1 +2 -6 +12 1.7
202429 MLB MLE3 teams — 289266 661906 11719 22 248301387688 139314 254 306 93 -2 -0 -4 -3 +6 -0.3
202429 MLB RAW3 teams — 289263 681907 14699 22 259318411729 152323 245 323 93 -2 -0 -4 -3 +6 -0.3
202530 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 416382 10016514 271071 70 262312440752 178322 266 325 106 +3 +1 -0 -4 +9 0.9
202530 MLB RAWCincinnati Reds — 416380 10116515 291071 70 266320453772 187326 267 336 106 +3 +1 -0 -4 +9 0.9
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 184178 44507 4470 01 247264393657 146294 262 281 76 -5 -0 -1 -2 +4 -0.5
202631 MLB RAW2 teams — 184176 47509 6440 01 267291449740 182304 243 322 76 -5 -0 -1 -2 +4 -0.5
201722 AA MLE3 teams — 626594 16430425 191308 57 276309466775 190309 213 330 110 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 288278 591029 8750 63 212235360595 147254 263 256 59 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE4 teams — 433405 9023117 181187 115 222266410676 188265 274 289 82 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 134123 34204 8252 23 276333390724 114316 196 315 100 — — — — — —
202126 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 529487 12226420 281079 43 251303444746 193286 205 328 108 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 582533 13133216 3411410 24 246302405707 159289 206 314 99 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 566521 14034216 371413 51 269321434755 165345 257 332 111 — — — — — —
202429 MLB MLE3 teams — 289267 661906 11719 22 247301386686 139319 254 306 93 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 416385 10016514 271071 70 260312436749 177326 266 325 106 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 184178 44507 4470 01 247264393657 146288 262 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202429 MLB MLE3 teams — 289267 661906 11719 22 247301386686 139319 254 306 93 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 416385 10016514 271071 70 260312436749 177326 266 325 106 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLE2 teams — 184178 44507 4470 01 247264393657 146288 262 281 76 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202732 MLB MLESD 100% 303283 7012211 15762 41 246289414703 168296 255 309 95 -2 +0 +1 -3 +7 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202732 MLB CTXSD 100% 303283 6911211 15762 41 243286410697 168290 255 306 95 -2 +0 +1 -3 +7 0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202833 MLB MLESD 100% 273256 601019 13702 11 238280395675 158288 265 297 87 -4 -0 -3 -3 +6 -0.5
202833 MLB CTXSD 100% 273256 59919 13702 11 235277392670 158283 265 295 87 -4 -0 -3 -3 +6 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 29982764 7181541495 17267935 2515 260311429740 169310 236 326 97 +25 -1 -11 -35 +65 4.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650599 15633321 371478 53 260312431743 170310 236 326 97 +5 -0 -2 -8 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 46234306 108022023154 222108153 4931 251296420716 169298 235 312 97 +23 -1 -10 -38 +72 4.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650605 15231322 311527 74 251295421717 170298 235 312 97 +5 -0 -2 -8 +14 0.9