Stevie Emanuels

P Midland RockHounds

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 230 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #750

ETA2029FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	17	18	7.00	6.60	26.2%	16.7%	—	K 21.8% · BB 16.8% · FIP 7.41
2025	26	AAOAK	46	53	2.70	2.67	27.9%	15.4%	—	K 22.6% · BB 17.0% · FIP 3.34
2026	27	MIX2 levels	45	51	5.29	4.77	28.4%	14.2%	—	K 23.3% · BB 14.2% · FIP 5.44
2027PROJ	28	MLBOAK	66	69	5.36	5.36	23.3%	16.4%	-0.6
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBOAK	20	21	5.33	5.38	23.1%	15.9%	-0.2
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBOAK	30	32	5.39	5.48	22.8%	15.7%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff55Command30FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Jeff Ames (age 28) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%23.3%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%7.0%

Proj IP69

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 69 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CMD3030

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	7	28	127	25	14	6	88%	3.5	15.8%	12.3%	3.5%	6.4%	6.04	6.84	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	7	28	127	25	14	6	88%	3.5	19.7%	11.0%	8.7%	4.7%	6.04	5.57	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	15	97	470	105	62	16	65%	4.2	17.0%	15.3%	1.7%	4.5%	6.38	6.06	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	15	97	470	105	62	16	65%	4.2	22.3%	13.2%	9.1%	3.4%	6.38	4.99	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	0	40	163	57	19	3	0%	1.7	25.9%	11.7%	14.2%	2.1%	2.04	3.55	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	0	40	163	57	19	3	0%	1.7	35.0%	11.7%	23.3%	1.8%	2.04	2.65	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	18	84	22	14	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	16.8%	5.0%	7.3%	7.00	7.41	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	18	84	22	14	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	16.8%	5.0%	7.3%	7.00	7.41	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	18	84	22	14	5	0%	1.1	26.2%	16.7%	9.5%	6.0%	7.00	6.60	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	46	0	53	240	67	37	0	0%	1.2	22.6%	17.0%	5.7%	0.0%	2.70	3.34	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	46	0	53	240	67	37	0	0%	1.2	22.6%	17.0%	5.7%	0.0%	2.70	3.34	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	46	0	53	240	67	37	0	0%	1.2	27.9%	15.4%	12.5%	0.0%	2.70	2.67	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	51	225	64	32	9	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.2%	9.1%	4.6%	5.29	5.44	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	51	225	64	32	9	0%	1.1	23.3%	14.2%	9.1%	4.6%	5.29	5.44	—
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	51	225	64	32	9	0%	1.1	28.4%	14.2%	14.2%	4.0%	5.29	4.77	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	OAK	66	0	69	291	68	48	9	0%	1.0	23.3%	16.4%	7.0%	3.2%	5.36	5.36	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	OAK	63	0	66	280	65	44	9	0%	1.1	23.1%	15.9%	7.2%	3.4%	5.33	5.38	-0.6
2029	30	MLB MLE	OAK	59	0	62	263	60	41	9	0%	1.1	22.8%	15.7%	7.1%	3.5%	5.39	5.48	-0.6
2028	29	MLB CTX	OAK	20	0	21	89	20	14	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	15.9%	7.2%	3.4%	5.33	5.38	-0.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	OAK	30	0	32	135	31	21	5	0%	1.1	22.8%	15.7%	7.1%	3.5%	5.39	5.48	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	53	222	51	35	8	0%	1.1	22.9%	15.8%	7.1%	3.5%	5.37	5.06	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	133	30	0%	1.1	22.9%	15.8%	7.1%	3.5%	5.37	5.06	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		163	22	288	1309	267	193	49	13%	1.8	20.4%	14.8%	5.6%	3.7%	4.91	5.30	-1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		113	15	200	910	186	134	34	13%	1.8	20.4%	14.8%	5.6%	3.7%	4.91	5.30	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stevie Emanuels (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	23.3%	16.4%	3.2%	—	5.43	22.9%	7.1%	128	+0.07	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	82
Jeff Ames R 2019 · 4.45 FIP	28	SU	4.45	25.6%	16.8%	2.5%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	272	78
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	77
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	77
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	77
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	77
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	76
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	75
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	75
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	75
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	75
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	75
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	75
Kyle Dowdy R 2021 · 5.16 FIP	28	SU	5.16	20.3%	14.6%	3.5%	.282	3.54	21.6%	9.6%	116	-1.62	2.98	606	75
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	74
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	74
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	74
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	73
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	73
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	23.1%	16.0%	1.30	5.36
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*