Frainyer Chavez

3B Frisco RoughRiders

Age 28 S/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AAATEX	44	.257/.409/.543	3	1	118	—	.216/.341/.405
2025	26	AATEX	395	.254/.348/.333	5	6	60	—	.223/.286/.284
2026	27	AAATEX	52	.289/.360/.333	0	3	76	—	.277/.320/.319
2026	27	AATEX	506	.268/.382/.411	12	25	83	—	.232/.315/.347
2027PROJ2% MLB	28	MLBTEX	5	.219/.292/.314	0	0	72	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	29	MLBTEX	73	.218/.291/.312	1	2	71	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Chase%91

Speed65

K%64

Whiff%61

BB%45

Z-Con%40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRichy Pedroza (age 28) · Skyler Stromsmoe (age 29) · Jonathan Diaz (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .292 / .314

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%8

BABIP277

ISO93

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	19	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	196	173	53	7	2	2	19	37	2	23	6	306	381	405	786	98	375	19	10	353	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	365	93	15	2	1	41	76	2	17	8	255	333	315	648	60	317	18	10	295	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	315	77	13	1	1	46	79	6	10	6	244	351	302	653	57	319	21	12	304	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	22	22	5	1	1	0	0	5	0	0	1	227	227	364	591	136	294	23	0	255	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	61	55	16	3	0	0	5	12	0	2	0	291	350	345	695	55	364	20	8	313	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	268	231	65	9	2	2	30	50	4	13	3	281	374	364	737	82	346	19	11	335	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	118	105	24	4	0	3	10	24	1	0	1	229	302	352	654	124	266	20	8	292	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	170	139	28	3	0	2	26	44	1	3	5	201	331	266	598	65	271	26	15	281	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	137	125	32	7	0	0	9	33	1	5	2	256	311	312	623	56	344	24	7	282	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	297	259	64	8	3	4	34	61	1	15	2	247	337	347	684	100	308	21	11	311	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	44	35	9	1	0	3	8	7	1	1	1	257	409	543	952	286	240	16	18	417	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	395	342	87	12	0	5	46	86	3	6	9	254	348	333	681	79	323	22	12	313	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	52	45	13	2	0	0	5	10	0	3	0	289	360	333	693	44	351	19	10	308	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	506	421	113	24	0	12	70	93	7	25	7	268	382	411	792	143	315	18	14	355	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	196	180	39	5	1	1	12	53	2	23	6	217	273	272	545	56	292	27	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	377	78	11	2	1	29	102	2	17	8	207	267	255	522	48	270	25	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	327	66	10	1	1	34	108	6	10	6	202	289	248	537	46	285	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	22	22	5	1	1	0	0	6	0	0	1	227	227	364	591	136	296	27	0	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	61	56	15	3	0	0	4	15	0	2	0	268	317	321	638	54	335	25	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	268	243	53	7	2	2	18	65	4	13	3	218	283	288	571	70	279	24	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	118	108	21	4	0	2	7	29	1	0	1	194	250	287	537	93	234	25	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	170	150	22	2	0	2	15	59	1	3	5	147	229	200	429	53	216	35	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	137	128	31	6	0	0	6	37	1	5	2	242	281	289	571	47	333	27	4	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	297	271	58	7	3	3	22	74	1	15	2	214	276	295	571	81	272	25	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	44	37	8	1	0	2	6	8	1	1	1	216	341	405	746	189	213	18	14	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	395	359	80	10	0	4	29	108	3	6	9	223	286	284	571	61	298	27	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	52	47	13	2	0	0	3	12	0	3	0	277	320	319	639	43	323	23	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	506	444	103	21	0	10	47	113	7	25	7	232	315	347	662	115	276	22	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	196	180	39	5	1	1	12	53	2	23	6	217	273	272	545	56	297	27	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	196	173	53	7	2	2	19	37	2	23	6	306	381	405	786	98	375	19	10	353	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	377	78	11	2	1	29	102	2	17	8	207	267	255	522	48	279	25	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	365	93	15	2	1	41	76	2	17	8	255	333	315	648	60	317	18	10	295	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	327	66	10	1	1	34	108	6	10	6	202	289	248	537	46	294	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	315	77	13	1	1	46	79	6	10	6	244	351	302	653	57	319	21	12	304	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	351	322	73	11	3	2	21	86	4	15	4	227	282	298	581	71	298	25	6	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	351	308	86	13	3	2	35	67	4	15	4	279	360	360	721	81	346	19	10	326	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	257	43	6	0	4	23	88	2	3	6	167	241	237	478	70	231	31	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	288	244	52	7	0	5	36	68	2	3	6	213	319	303	622	90	269	24	12	285	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	434	399	89	13	3	3	28	111	2	20	4	223	277	293	571	70	300	26	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	434	384	96	15	3	4	43	94	2	20	4	250	329	336	665	86	319	22	10	302	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	439	396	88	11	0	7	35	116	4	7	10	222	292	303	595	81	293	26	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	439	377	96	13	0	8	54	93	4	7	10	255	354	353	707	98	315	21	12	323	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	491	115	22	0	10	50	125	7	28	7	234	314	340	654	106	289	22	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	558	466	126	26	0	12	75	103	7	28	7	270	380	403	783	133	318	18	13	350	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	196	180	39	5	1	1	12	53	2	23	6	217	273	272	545	56	292	27	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	415	381	78	11	2	1	29	102	2	17	8	205	267	252	519	47	270	25	7	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	372	329	66	10	1	1	34	108	6	10	6	201	289	246	535	46	285	29	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	351	323	73	11	3	2	21	86	4	15	4	226	282	297	580	71	290	25	6	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	288	261	43	6	0	4	23	88	2	3	6	165	241	234	475	69	223	31	8	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	434	401	89	13	3	3	28	111	2	20	4	222	277	292	569	70	291	26	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	439	397	88	11	0	7	35	116	4	7	10	222	292	302	594	81	289	26	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	496	115	22	0	10	50	125	7	28	7	232	314	337	651	105	280	22	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	434	401	89	13	3	3	28	111	2	20	4	222	277	292	569	70	291	26	6	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	439	397	88	11	0	7	35	116	4	7	10	222	292	302	594	81	289	26	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	558	496	115	22	0	10	50	125	7	28	7	232	314	337	651	105	280	22	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TEX	2%	380	341	75	13	1	6	32	90	4	11	4	219	292	311	602	92	278	24	8	275	72	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	TEX	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	219	292	314	606	94	277	20	0	276	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	TEX	23%	323	290	63	11	0	5	27	78	3	8	3	218	290	309	599	92	277	24	8	274	71	-11	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.4
2028	29	MLB CTX	TEX	23%	73	66	14	2	0	1	6	18	1	2	1	218	291	312	603	94	276	25	8	275	71	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	73	66	14	2	0	1	6	18	1	2	1	212	288	288	576	76	277	25	8	275	60	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	125	18	0	9	53	160	9	18	9	213	288	289	577	77	277	25	8	275	60	-22	+0	-3	+2	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3626	3264	703	109	10	38	280	927	34	138	57	215	284	290	574	74	286	26	8	257	60	-19	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	127	20	2	7	50	166	6	25	10	217	285	294	579	77	288	26	8	257	60	-22	+1	-2	+2	+14	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frainyer Chavez (OGILVIE)	28	45	30	45	50	217/289/308	91	278	4	7	24%	8%	72	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richy Pedroza 2019 · AAA	28	49→54	37→30	46→50	52	229/298/300	71	275	4	15	18%	8%	72	-0.7	242/319/331	89	292	5	19	17%	10%	87	+0.4	249/333/325	77	299	2	23	16%	11%	88	+0.4
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2013 · AAA	29	46	38→40	49→50	47	216/284/296	80	276	5	15	23%	7%	67	-1.1	213/289/285	72	266	3	13	19%	8%	66	-1.1	204/286/259	56	252	1	11	18%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA	28	46→48	36→30	47→50	52	215/297/277	62	266	4	13	20%	9%	68	-1.0	212/286/276	64	265	3	12	20%	8%	63	-1.3	206/280/262	57	257	2	9	19%	8%	55	-1.3
✕Cole Tucker 2024 · MLB	28	46→51	40→45	48→55	47	219/289/313	94	302	7	13	29%	9%	72	-0.7	220/293/319	99	311	8	11	29%	9%	75	-0.5	201/280/278	77	292	5	8	30%	10%	59	-0.8
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	42→48	38→30	50	47	201/268/273	72	266	5	13	25%	8%	55	-1.9	212/280/290	78	297	6	14	28%	8%	63	-1.3	198/277/206	8	292	0	18	29%	9%	45	-0.6
✕Anderson Machado 2009 · AAA	28	41→44	41→40	50→45	49	202/277/300	98	266	8	10	26%	9%	65	-1.2	197/271/283	86	273	5	10	27%	9%	59	-1.7	191/267/264	73	274	1	9	28%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Cesar Crespo 2007 · MLB	28	48→51	40	53→55	48	230/287/325	95	279	8	21	20%	7%	74	-0.6	226/280/312	86	283	7	15	21%	7%	68	-1.0	221/272/283	61	279	4	14	21%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Jax Biggers 2024 · AAA	27	42→52	42→40	49→50	47	209/274/313	104	267	10	13	25%	8%	67	-1.1	208/288/291	83	284	6	14	26%	10%	67	-1.1	195/281/260	66	270	4	16	27%	10%	56	-1.1
✕Brandon Chaves 2008 · AA	28	49	36→30	51→50	46	229/292/299	70	301	3	14	24%	7%	70	-0.9	205/271/268	63	259	4	13	21%	8%	55	-1.9	185/255/231	47	228	3	12	19%	8%	38	-1.9
✕Tyler Krieger 2021 · AAA	27	47→57	41→40	50	44	229/281/328	98	293	8	16	24%	6%	72	-0.7	191/242/277	86	288	7	9	34%	6%	46	-2.6	144/184/193	50	226	4	3	37%	4%	2	-1.8
✕Reegie Corona 2015 · AAA	28	43→53	40	51→55	42	211/257/297	86	268	8	9	24%	6%	56	-1.9	238/300/349	111	288	9	14	19%	8%	84	+0.2	280/353/396	116	320	5	20	13%	9%	112	+0.4
✕Carlos Colmenares 2013 · AAA	27	49→54	38→40	50	45	233/287/316	83	303	5	14	24%	7%	72	-0.7	237/281/378	141	279	15	13	20%	6%	84	+0.1	254/289/386	132	298	9	17	18%	5%	86	+0.1
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2021 · AA	28	43→53	41→45	47→45	46	207/278/304	97	285	8	10	29%	8%	66	-1.1	203/262/322	119	283	11	8	30%	7%	64	-1.3	182/241/304	123	250	12	7	31%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Robi Estrada 2017 · AAA	28	48	41→40	52→50	46	234/285/332	98	287	8	13	21%	6%	75	-0.5	219/270/335	116	291	12	14	28%	6%	70	-0.8	162/204/262	100	218	12	14	32%	5%	26	-0.7
✕Albenis Machado 2008 · AAA	29	40	40→30	45→50	47	195/264/285	90	261	8	9	28%	8%	57	-1.8	229/312/323	94	272	7	11	17%	10%	83	+0.1	241/338/309	68	278	2	10	12%	12%	90	+0.2
✕Jake Palomaki 2022 · AA	27	43	35→30	50	49	200/276/259	59	260	2	18	22%	8%	55	-1.9	241/305/313	72	306	4	14	21%	8%	78	-0.3	273/335/326	53	340	2	14	19%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Gustavo Nunez 2016 · AAA	28	51→58	36→40	48→55	42	244/279/306	62	298	4	19	20%	4%	65	-1.2	243/284/310	67	293	4	16	17%	5%	68	-1.0	249/289/303	54	298	2	15	16%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Anderson Hernandez 2011 · MLB	28	46→56	37→40	46→55	48	219/269/290	71	262	4	11	18%	6%	58	-1.7	243/285/325	82	290	6	14	17%	6%	72	-0.7	249/282/342	93	289	6	11	16%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Rafael Ynoa 2016 · MLB	28	50→55	38→40	46→55	43	239/275/327	87	294	4	9	20%	5%	69	-0.9	212/259/286	74	275	4	9	23%	6%	54	-2.0	199/248/259	60	260	2	8	23%	6%	41	-2.2
✕Hainley Statia 2014 · AAA	28	48→58	37→40	44→50	51	225/286/296	71	269	5	9	18%	8%	67	-1.1	235/308/338	103	276	9	11	17%	9%	85	+0.2	249/333/352	103	282	9	10	14%	11%	95	+0.4