Kyle Hurt
P
Los Angeles Dodgers
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 240 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 8 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10798vR 88
ERA3.83
FIP3.83
K%28.9%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%15.5%
ROS IP8
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p9034.4%
K%
p8228.1%
xwOBA vs
p700.293
FB+1.6 (55%)
SL (10%)
CH (35%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 4 | 21 | 92 | 36 | 10 | 2 | 33% | 1.8 | 28.8% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 1.9% | 5.57 | 3.81 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 4 | 21 | 92 | 36 | 10 | 2 | 33% | 1.8 | 39.1% | 10.9% | 28.3% | 2.2% | 5.57 | 2.34 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 19 | 72 | 333 | 109 | 59 | 4 | 76% | 2.9 | 25.7% | 19.8% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 5.27 | 4.24 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 19 | 72 | 333 | 109 | 59 | 4 | 76% | 2.9 | 32.7% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 1.2% | 5.27 | 3.25 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 16 | 94 | 394 | 155 | 44 | 10 | 59% | 3.5 | 32.5% | 12.3% | 20.2% | 2.7% | 3.83 | 3.40 | +2.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 16 | 94 | 394 | 155 | 44 | 10 | 59% | 3.5 | 39.3% | 11.2% | 28.2% | 2.5% | 3.83 | 2.59 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 3 | 21 | 92 | 25 | 13 | 0 | 19% | 1.3 | 29.8% | 19.4% | 10.4% | 0.0% | 2.53 | 3.04 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 3 | 21 | 92 | 25 | 13 | 0 | 19% | 1.3 | 27.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 2.53 | 2.58 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 7 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 2.60 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 7 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 1.93 | 2.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 38 | 1 | 36 | 161 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 3% | 0.9 | 28.1% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 2.2% | 5.00 | 3.35 | +0.5 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 2.7% | 3.83 | 3.83 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAD | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 2.7% | 3.83 | 3.83 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 44 | 196 | 56 | 25 | 4 | — | — | 28.6% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 2.0% | 4.78 | 3.44 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 40 | 167 | 56 | 25 | 4 | — | — | 33.6% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 2.4% | 5.35 | 3.43 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 54 | 0 | 56 | 237 | 67 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 61 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 47 | 0 | 49 | 208 | 56 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 63 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | LAD | 48 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 58 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.5% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | LAD | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 53 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 187 | 2 | 199 | 837 | 229 | 105 | 23 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 2 | 200 | 844 | 231 | 106 | 23 | 1% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 125 | 43 | 253 | 1114 | 323 | 170 | 21 | 34% | 2.0 | 29.0% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 1.9% | 4.37 | 3.62 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 99 | 34 | 200 | 879 | 255 | 135 | 16 | 34% | 2.0 | 29.0% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 1.9% | 4.37 | 3.62 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Hurt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 29.4% | 14.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.52 | 27.6% | 14.3% | 158 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Lucas Erceg R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 25.8% | 14.3% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.10 | 22.2% | 14.8% | 160 | -0.52 | 2.09 | 339 | 72 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 72 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 71 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 70 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 69 |
| Greg Holland R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.21 | 25.4% | 13.0% | 1.1% | .316 | 3.35 | 26.4% | 14.2% | 104 | +0.14 | 1.97 | 268 | 69 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.71 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.19 | 24.0% | 17.4% | 119 | +0.48 | 2.82 | 363 | 69 |
| JT Chargois R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.68 | 27.2% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 3.61 | 23.1% | 15.8% | 76 | -0.07 | 2.59 | 362 | 68 |
| Liam Hendriks R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.23 | 28.6% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 1.67 | 35.2% | 30.1% | 160 | -1.56 | 0.60 | 495 | 67 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 67 |
| Parker Markel R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 29.7% | 16.5% | 3.9% | .250 | 4.08 | 28.9% | 11.6% | 97 | -0.73 | 3.16 | 266 | 67 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.68 | 27.1% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .389 | 4.81 | 29.1% | 19.7% | 116 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 220 | 67 |
| Michael Tonkin R 2025 · 3.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.33 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .309 | 6.08 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 22 | +2.75 | 2.33 | 480 | 67 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.01 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .261 | 4.52 | 30.7% | 16.5% | 88 | -0.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 67 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 66 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .271 | 2.99 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.51 | 544 | 66 |
| Brad Brach R 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 27.5% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .259 | 3.16 | 25.6% | 17.1% | 210 | -0.09 | 2.73 | 410 | 66 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 66 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2029 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 66 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 25.6% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 272 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 49 | 28.0% | 13.5% | 1.17 | 4.41 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |