Kyle Hurt
P
Oklahoma City Comets
+0.2
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 240 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.24
FIP4.24
xFIP2.19
SIERA0.99
K%25.6%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%14.7%
IP29
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
OFP—40
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4040
K†6060
FB+1.6 (67%)
SL (3%)
CH (30%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 12 | 4 | 21 | 92 | 36 | 10 | 2 | 28.8% | 16.4% | 1.9% | 5.57 | 3.78 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | 25 | 19 | 72 | 333 | 109 | 59 | 4 | 25.7% | 19.8% | 1.5% | 5.27 | 4.24 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 27 | 16 | 94 | 394 | 155 | 44 | 10 | 32.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 3.45 | +1.9 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 16 | 3 | 21 | 92 | 25 | 13 | 0 | 29.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 2.53 | 3.04 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 7 | 0 | 9 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.93 | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.35 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | LAD | 28 | — | 28 | 117 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 26.0% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 33 | 149 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 27.8% | 12.7% | 2.2% | 4.68 | 3.60 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 28 | — | 28 | 118 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 25.6% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.37 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 94 | 42 | 223 | 985 | 289 | 158 | 18 | 29.3% | 16.0% | 1.8% | 4.32 | 3.63 | +4.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 38 | 200 | 883 | 259 | 142 | 16 | 29.3% | 16.0% | 1.8% | 4.32 | 3.63 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Hurt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 26.0% | 11.9% | 2.8% | — | 4.39 | 25.6% | 13.9% | 28 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Greg Holland R 2027 · 3.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.19 | 25.4% | 13.0% | 1.1% | .316 | 3.45 | 26.4% | 14.2% | 104 | +0.26 | 1.94 | 268 | 83 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 82 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 78 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 78 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .327 | 4.82 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.30 | 2.39 | 676 | 76 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.53 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.28 | 24.0% | 17.4% | 119 | +0.75 | 2.83 | 363 | 76 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.81 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 4.7% | .261 | 4.45 | 30.7% | 16.5% | 88 | -0.36 | 3.04 | 230 | 76 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.39 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 166 | 75 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 74 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.75 | 27.1% | 12.5% | 4.3% | .389 | 4.77 | 29.1% | 19.7% | 116 | +0.02 | 3.10 | 220 | 74 |
| JT Chargois R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 27.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | .311 | 3.58 | 23.1% | 15.8% | 76 | -0.03 | 2.57 | 362 | 73 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.30 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .271 | 2.97 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.54 | 521 | 73 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 73 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 73 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.51 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.0% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65 | 315 | 73 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2024 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 73 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 72 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2025 · 3.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.65 | 25.5% | 12.6% | 2.0% | .272 | 2.48 | 19.9% | 14.3% | 37 | -1.17 | 2.48 | 138 | 72 |
| Brandon Brennan R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 24.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | .228 | 4.19 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.12 | 403 | 72 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.39 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .264 | 2.39 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.00 | 2.39 | 132 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.