Mike Ruff prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Mike Ruff P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 212 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.11

FIP5.11

K%19.0%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%7.4%

ROS IP50

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	17	17	75	332	83	35	5	100%	4.4	18.5%	12.4%	6.1%	1.6%	4.34	4.00	—
2021	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	17	17	75	332	83	35	5	100%	4.4	25.0%	10.5%	14.5%	1.5%	4.34	3.15	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	113	495	107	41	18	100%	4.9	16.9%	9.4%	7.5%	3.8%	4.92	4.94	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	113	495	107	41	18	100%	4.9	21.6%	8.3%	13.3%	3.6%	4.92	4.36	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	26	12	72	337	61	42	18	46%	2.8	14.7%	13.7%	1.0%	6.2%	7.75	6.98	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	26	12	72	337	61	42	18	46%	2.8	14.7%	13.7%	1.0%	6.2%	7.75	6.98	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	26	12	72	337	61	42	18	46%	2.8	18.1%	12.5%	5.6%	5.3%	7.75	6.41	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	COL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.0%	11.6%	7.4%	3.2%	5.11	5.11	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	COL	8	8	48	201	39	23	7	100%	6.0	19.2%	11.6%	7.6%	3.3%	5.11	5.16	-0.1
2028	30	MLB MLE	COL	7	7	45	189	36	22	7	100%	6.4	19.2%	11.7%	7.4%	3.5%	5.19	5.28	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	COL	2	2	15	63	12	7	2	100%	7.5	19.2%	11.6%	7.6%	3.3%	5.11	5.16	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	COL	4	4	23	97	19	11	3	100%	5.8	19.2%	11.7%	7.4%	3.5%	5.19	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	6	38	160	31	19	6	100%	6.3	19.2%	11.7%	7.5%	3.4%	5.16	4.85	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	163	100	32	100%	6.0	19.2%	11.7%	7.5%	3.4%	5.16	4.85	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		66	52	260	1164	194	134	45	79%	3.9	16.7%	11.5%	5.2%	3.8%	5.54	5.26	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	40	200	895	149	103	34	79%	3.9	16.7%	11.5%	5.2%	3.8%	5.54	5.26	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mike Ruff (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.11	19.0%	11.6%	3.2%	—	5.22	19.2%	7.5%	92	+0.11	—	—	—
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	80
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	79
Vanny Valenzuela R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	28	SP	4.54	16.3%	11.3%	2.5%	.380	6.25	10.9%	1.2%	25	+1.71	3.26	118	78
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	77
Ariel Peña R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SP	3.99	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.08	3.74	223	74
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.83 FIP	27	SP-	5.83	14.2%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	73
Brady Rodgers R 2019 · 5.44 FIP	28	SP-	5.44	14.7%	9.0%	4.4%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	1.98	354	72
Zach Stewart R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	28	SP-	4.43	14.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.322	5.17	11.7%	2.1%	51	+0.74	4.27	194	72
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	72
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	72
Omar Bencomo R 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP-	4.50	18.9%	6.3%	4.0%	.333	4.48	14.9%	10.1%	186	-0.02	3.70	381	71
Tim Corcoran R 2006 · 4.67 FIP	28	SP-	4.67	14.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.291	5.29	7.6%	-3.8%	17	+0.62	4.10	130	71
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.90	12.7%	5.3%	173	-0.43	4.40	412	70
Chris Ellis R 2021 · 5.41 FIP	28	SP	5.41	19.6%	11.5%	4.6%	.274	6.15	12.2%	-0.9%	64	+0.74	3.84	780	70
Brandon Beachy R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	28	SP	4.58	16.1%	11.2%	2.6%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	1.97	364	69
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	68
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	68
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	68
Luke Hudson R 2005 · 5.54 FIP	28	SP	5.54	13.9%	12.6%	3.7%	.260	3.81	14.5%	6.1%	102	-1.73	3.81	235	68
Colin Rea R 2018 · 5.61 FIP	28	SP	5.61	17.6%	11.3%	4.7%	.344	4.14	17.7%	9.8%	198	-1.47	2.57	1,116	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	47	19.1%	11.7%	1.30	5.14
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19