Spencer Steer

LF Cincinnati Reds

Age 29 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 3.203 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBD6040-MANArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	26	MLBCIN	656	.225/.320/.402	20	25	100	0.5
2025	27	MLBCIN	568	.238/.313/.411	21	7	99	0.0
2026	28	MLBCIN	384	.238/.319/.421	16	3	103	0.5
2027PROJ	29	MLBCIN	289	.240/.322/.422	11	5	105	0.6
2028PROJ	30	MLBCIN	557	.236/.318/.412	21	8	102	0.6
2029PROJ	31	MLBCIN	546	.230/.312/.399	20	4	97	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.203First FA2030

2027Arb-1$2M2028Arb-2$4M2029Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Chase%90

Whiff%81

Speed76

xwOBA57

Barrel%51

Bat Spd48

CompsPat O'Sullivan (age 29) · Izzy Alcantara (age 29) · Sean Bouchard (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 108105vR 97

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .322 / .422

PA289

HR11

SB5

K%22

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO180

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

817.8%

xAVG

260.232

POWER45

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

3788.2

Bat Spd

4871.2

EYE55

Chase%

9021.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

7628.5

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1315 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

325

990

—

wRC+

101

103

—

wOBA

318

321

—

ISO

180

176

—

BABIP

259

273

▶R

21.8%

22.4%

—

BB%

10.8%

9.4%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.203 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-3	$4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	201	173	45	12	2	2	19	28	8	5	1	260	360	387	747	127	299	14	9	339	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	280	249	60	11	2	14	20	73	5	4	0	241	310	470	780	229	274	26	7	336	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	208	168	46	7	1	10	35	32	4	4	4	274	411	506	917	232	283	15	17	404	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	108	95	20	5	0	2	11	26	2	0	1	211	306	326	632	116	269	24	10	292	80	-3	-0	-1	+2	+2	0.1
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	336	290	75	17	1	15	37	66	7	3	0	259	356	479	836	221	284	20	11	368	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	156	137	42	13	1	8	14	23	4	1	3	307	387	591	978	285	318	15	9	422	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	665	582	158	37	3	23	68	139	11	15	3	271	359	464	822	192	318	21	10	363	127	+22	+2	-14	-12	+14	1.2
2024	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	656	574	129	34	4	20	72	137	8	25	3	225	320	402	722	178	260	21	11	323	100	-0	+4	-6	-7	+14	0.5
2025	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	568	509	121	21	2	21	51	129	5	7	1	238	313	411	724	173	277	23	9	322	99	-1	+1	-2	-10	+12	0.0
2026	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	384	340	81	14	0	16	35	86	6	3	0	238	319	421	740	182	271	22	9	329	103	+1	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2381	2100	509	111	9	82	237	517	32	50	8	242	328	421	749	179	283	22	10	334	112	+34	+7	-25	-31	+52	3.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	201	178	38	9	2	2	14	39	8	5	1	213	300	320	620	107	253	19	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	280	255	51	9	2	10	14	90	5	4	0	200	255	369	624	169	238	32	5	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	208	179	40	6	1	9	24	43	4	4	4	223	329	419	747	196	235	21	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	108	95	20	5	0	2	11	26	2	0	1	211	306	326	632	116	269	24	10	287	80	-3	-0	-1	+2	+2	0.1
2022	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	336	302	65	15	1	8	25	83	7	3	0	215	290	351	641	136	265	25	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	156	141	34	10	1	6	10	29	4	1	3	241	310	454	764	213	260	19	6	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	665	582	157	38	3	21	68	139	11	15	3	270	357	454	811	184	318	21	10	357	127	+22	+2	-14	-12	+14	1.2
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	656	575	129	35	4	19	71	137	8	25	3	224	318	398	716	174	260	21	11	316	100	-0	+4	-6	-7	+14	0.5
2025	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	568	509	119	21	2	19	51	129	5	7	1	234	310	395	705	161	277	23	9	315	99	-1	+1	-2	-10	+12	0.0
2026	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	384	341	80	14	0	15	35	86	6	3	0	235	317	408	724	173	271	22	9	321	103	+1	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.5
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	201	178	38	9	2	2	14	39	8	5	1	213	300	320	620	107	261	19	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	201	173	45	12	2	2	19	28	8	5	1	260	360	387	747	127	299	14	9	339	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	488	434	89	14	3	19	38	133	9	8	4	205	283	382	665	177	242	27	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	488	417	106	18	3	24	55	105	9	8	4	254	353	484	838	230	278	22	11	365	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	600	538	121	31	2	17	46	138	13	4	4	225	302	385	686	160	269	23	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	600	522	137	35	2	25	62	115	13	4	4	262	355	481	836	218	291	19	10	368	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	665	582	157	38	3	21	68	139	11	15	3	270	357	454	811	184	319	21	10	357	127	+22	+2	-14	-12	+14	1.2
2023	25	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	665	582	158	37	3	23	68	139	11	15	3	271	359	464	822	192	318	21	10	363	127	+22	+2	-14	-12	+14	1.2
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	656	575	129	35	4	19	71	137	8	25	3	224	318	398	716	174	261	21	11	316	100	-0	+4	-6	-7	+14	0.5
2024	26	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	656	574	129	34	4	20	72	137	8	25	3	225	320	402	722	178	260	21	11	323	100	-0	+4	-6	-7	+14	0.5
2025	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	568	509	119	21	2	19	51	129	5	7	1	234	310	395	705	161	275	23	9	315	99	-1	+1	-2	-10	+12	0.0
2025	27	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	568	509	121	21	2	21	51	129	5	7	1	238	313	411	724	173	277	23	9	322	99	-1	+1	-2	-10	+12	0.0
2026	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	384	341	80	14	0	15	35	86	6	3	0	235	317	408	724	173	269	22	9	321	103	+1	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.5
2026	28	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	384	340	81	14	0	16	35	86	6	3	0	238	319	421	740	182	271	22	9	329	103	+1	+1	-1	-4	+8	0.5
2019	21	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	201	177	38	9	2	2	14	39	8	5	1	215	300	322	622	107	253	19	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	488	438	89	14	3	19	38	133	9	8	4	203	283	379	662	176	237	27	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	600	536	121	31	2	17	46	138	13	4	4	226	302	386	688	160	264	23	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	665	581	157	38	3	21	68	139	11	15	3	270	357	454	811	184	318	21	10	357	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	656	572	129	35	4	19	71	137	8	25	3	226	318	400	718	175	260	21	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	568	507	119	21	2	19	51	129	5	7	1	235	310	396	706	162	277	23	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	384	340	80	14	0	15	35	86	6	3	0	235	317	409	726	174	271	22	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	656	572	129	35	4	19	71	137	8	25	3	226	318	400	718	175	260	21	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	568	507	119	21	2	19	51	129	5	7	1	235	310	396	706	162	277	23	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	384	340	80	14	0	15	35	86	6	3	0	235	317	409	726	174	271	22	9	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	429	380	89	17	1	15	41	95	5	8	2	237	319	409	729	173	273	22	10	324	105	+3	+1	-0	-5	+9	0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	289	256	61	11	1	11	27	64	4	5	1	240	322	422	744	182	274	22	9	330	105	+2	+1	-0	-3	+6	0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	557	492	114	22	1	19	53	125	7	8	2	233	315	400	715	167	270	22	10	318	102	+1	+1	-2	-6	+12	0.6
2029	31	MLB MLE	CIN	100%	546	484	110	21	1	18	51	124	6	4	1	227	309	388	697	160	265	23	9	311	97	-2	+0	-3	-6	+12	0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	557	492	116	21	1	21	53	125	7	8	2	236	318	412	729	176	271	22	10	324	102	+1	+1	-2	-6	+12	0.6
2029	31	MLB CTX	CIN	100%	546	484	112	20	1	20	51	124	6	4	1	230	312	399	711	169	267	23	9	317	97	-2	+0	-3	-6	+12	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3484	3076	737	152	11	123	341	766	45	62	11	240	324	416	740	177	279	22	10	329	99	+33	+8	-31	-43	+75	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	137	28	2	23	64	143	8	12	2	239	324	415	738	176	277	22	10	329	99	+6	+1	-6	-8	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4954	4389	1017	216	19	159	454	1114	77	84	20	232	315	398	713	167	273	22	9	315	99	+35	+9	-31	-46	+82	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	133	28	2	21	60	146	10	11	3	231	315	396	711	165	271	22	9	315	99	+6	+1	-5	-8	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	6.5	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.8
/162	664	24	17	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#2Al Martin'92-'03 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,688 PA	7.1	4,688	132	173	264*	325*	435*	-46	-46	9.5	9.6
/162	664	19	25	-6.5	-6.4	1.3	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,805	131	67	240	321	415	-49	-54	9.3	9.4
/162	664	23	12	-8.5	-9.4	1.6	pk7: 9
#3Jonny Gomeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,978 PA	6.0	3,978	162	50	243	335	438	-43	-67	8.3	9.2
/162	664	27	8	-7.1	-11.1	1.4	pk7: 10
#4Nick Esasky'83-'90 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,064 PA	4.6	3,064	122	18	248*	329*	480*	-33	-30	6.9	7.1
/162	664	26	4	-7.2	-6.5	1.5	pk7: 7
#5Greg Walker'82-'90 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,177 PA	4.8	3,177	113	19	257*	326*	467*	-59	-36	4.1	5.0
/162	664	24	4	-12.4	-7.5	0.9	pk7: 6
#6Logan Morrisonlast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,713 PA	5.6	3,713	137	23	239	325	427	-58	-79	1.7	2.6
/162	664	24	4	-10.4	-14.1	0.3	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spencer Steer (OGILVIE)	29	45	45	55	55	235/317/406	171	273	11	6	22%	10%	105	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pat O'Sullivan 2006 · AAA	29	48→49	53→50	50	44	248/303/427	179	304	20	13	25%	7%	104	+1.6	267/316/413	146	316	16	13	20%	6%	105	+1.7	284/331/418	134	330	15	12	18%	5%	110	+0.9
✕Izzy Alcantara 2002 · MLB	29	50	52→55	51→45	48	255/315/415	160	306	20	10	24%	8%	105	+1.7	249/302/416	167	295	21	10	23%	7%	101	+1.4	222/298/378	155	256	20	4	22%	9%	89	+0.2
✕Sean Bouchard 2024 · MLB	28	46→48	54→55	53→50	51	236/322/422	187	304	21	14	28%	11%	110	+2.1	212/300/358	146	304	15	15	32%	10%	87	+0.4	191/284/326	134	282	13	15	34%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Alex Call 2023 · MLB	28	46→47	49→50	49→50	54	234/323/386	152	268	17	14	19%	10%	103	+1.5	225/321/357	132	265	13	15	19%	11%	95	+1.0	235/338/356	121	285	11	12	20%	12%	102	+0.8
●Connor Joe 2022 · MLB	29	48→51	52→50	45	55	246/336/415	169	291	20	4	22%	11%	114	+2.4	239/330/385	146	295	14	6	22%	11%	105	+1.7	233/329/375	143	289	12	5	22%	11%	103	+1.2
✕Luis Lopez 2004 · MLB	30	48	49→45	49→30	51	243/303/391	148	267	17	9	17%	8%	95	+1.0	242/306/371	129	288	13	7	20%	8%	92	+0.7	244/312/354	110	276	10	1	15%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Jared Young 2024 · MLB	29	45→49	52→55	49→50	45	232/301/399	167	292	19	9	27%	7%	97	+1.1	241/317/412	171	292	19	10	23%	8%	106	+1.8	245/321/413	168	289	18	9	21%	8%	106	+1.0
●Bubba Trammell 2001 · MLB	29	51→49	54→55	54→40	55	260/337/443	183	288	21	10	18%	10%	120	+2.8	252/326/437	185	266	23	4	15%	10%	115	+2.4	249/326/437	188	257	25	2	15%	10%	116	+2.1
✕Chris Heisey 2014 · MLB	29	48→53	50→55	51→55	42	243/291/399	156	287	18	9	22%	5%	93	+0.8	214/279/378	164	255	20	9	25%	7%	84	+0.2	193/268/364	171	224	23	8	26%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Jeff Bailey 2009 · MLB	30	45→48	53→55	45	49	234/313/409	175	278	21	7	24%	9%	104	+1.6	222/299/365	143	271	16	6	23%	8%	88	+0.5	206/285/332	126	256	13	4	24%	8%	74	-0.5
✕David Bote 2021 · MLB	28	46→50	54→50	48→45	50	236/321/414	178	295	22	9	27%	10%	108	+1.9	217/291/360	143	276	16	7	26%	8%	84	+0.2	218/284/358	140	283	14	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Trenton Brooks 2024 · AAA	29	48→52	49→50	52→45	54	239/317/391	153	271	16	6	19%	10%	101	+1.4	232/311/362	130	270	14	9	19%	10%	92	+0.7	222/305/338	116	261	12	8	19%	10%	84	+0.1
✕Casper Wells 2013 · MLB	28	45→44	55→60	48→50	47	232/306/425	193	286	21	8	27%	8%	105	+1.7	205/273/323	118	285	12	7	30%	8%	69	-0.9	126/186/148	22	188	0	0	30%	7%	-4	-1.1
✕Shane Spencer 2002 · MLB	30	51→50	52→50	48→45	49	260/318/429	169	290	19	7	18%	7%	110	+2.1	251/319/394	143	295	15	6	19%	8%	102	+1.5	250/322/382	132	297	13	5	19%	9%	101	+0.8
✕Jason Rogers 2016 · MLB	28	51→52	51→55	49→45	49	258/319/419	161	302	18	4	21%	8%	108	+1.9	247/307/373	126	299	14	5	21%	8%	93	+0.8	242/301/351	108	294	12	3	21%	7%	82	+0.0
✕David Cook 2010 · AAA	29	44→49	53→55	45→50	50	230/304/408	179	270	21	10	24%	9%	100	+1.3	213/282/346	133	285	14	9	29%	8%	78	-0.3	198/270/313	115	277	11	8	31%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Mike Brosseau 2023 · MLB	29	46→56	50→55	52→45	46	230/315/382	152	304	19	8	29%	9%	99	+1.2	210/279/338	128	266	17	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	188/254/293	105	233	15	5	26%	6%	53	-1.0
✕Rafael Alvarez 2006 · AAA	29	49	54→45	49→45	51	254/321/438	184	288	21	12	20%	8%	113	+2.3	233/299/346	113	320	10	8	28%	8%	83	+0.1	226/296/313	86	326	6	5	30%	9%	73	-0.3
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2013 · MLB	29	48	51→55	49→50	45	245/296/403	159	288	19	9	22%	6%	96	+1.0	224/287/385	161	270	18	6	23%	8%	88	+0.5	204/272/364	160	244	17	5	24%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Mike Wilson 2012 · MLB	29	46→53	51→55	47→50	46	234/306/396	162	307	20	10	29%	8%	98	+1.2	222/286/373	151	301	18	7	31%	7%	86	+0.3	203/263/335	132	288	17	4	34%	6%	65	-0.4

Spencer Steer

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps