Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 0 | 30 | 141 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 2.7 | 9.6% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.73 | 3.84 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 11 | 0 | 30 | 141 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0% | 2.7 | 14.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 0.7% | 2.73 | 3.10 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 13 | 2 | 20 | 93 | 13 | 16 | 0 | 15% | 1.5 | 9.5% | 21.5% | -12.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 5.02 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 13 | 2 | 20 | 93 | 13 | 16 | 0 | 15% | 1.5 | 14.0% | 17.2% | -3.2% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 4.20 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 14 | 9 | 58 | 236 | 58 | 17 | 0 | 64% | 4.1 | 16.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 2.50 | 2.83 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 14 | 9 | 58 | 236 | 58 | 17 | 0 | 64% | 4.1 | 24.6% | 7.2% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 2.50 | 1.97 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 10 | 6 | 36 | 160 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 60% | 3.6 | 14.0% | 14.1% | -0.0% | 3.5% | 4.54 | 5.62 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Marlins | 10 | 6 | 36 | 160 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 60% | 3.6 | 20.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.54 | 4.22 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 13 | 3 | 40 | 163 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 23% | 3.1 | 20.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 1.0% | 2.48 | 3.44 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 13 | 3 | 40 | 163 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 23% | 3.1 | 27.0% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 0.6% | 2.48 | 2.42 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 28 | 0 | 41 | 160 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 2.63 | 4.33 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 28 | 0 | 41 | 160 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.0% | 8.1% | 16.9% | 1.9% | 2.63 | 3.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.03 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.38 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 89 | 20 | 224 | 953 | 146 | 109 | 13 | 22% | 2.5 | 15.4% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 3.05 | 4.02 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 18 | 200 | 851 | 131 | 98 | 12 | 22% | 2.5 | 15.4% | 11.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 3.05 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yeremin Lara (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.41 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 24 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 79 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 76 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 75 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 75 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 75 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 74 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 74 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 74 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 74 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 74 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 73 |
| Wil Jensen R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 73 |
| Dylan King R 2024 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 73 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 73 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 72 |
| Brayden Spears R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 72 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | .281 | 4.83 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | -0.13 | 3.23 | 179 | 72 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 72 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 72 |
| DJ Baxendale R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 18.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .355 | 5.84 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 49 | +2.16 | 2.81 | 426 | 72 |