Jordan Balazovic
P
Toledo Mud Hens
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133123vR 114
ERA4.89
FIP5.04
K%19.5%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%8.5%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p1018.1%
K%
p1015.7%
xwOBA vs
p150.353
SL+1.5
FB-1.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | GCL Twins | 8 | 6 | 32 | 133 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 75% | 4.0 | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 1.97 | 3.00 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | GCL Twins | 8 | 6 | 32 | 133 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 75% | 4.0 | 12.0% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 1.97 | 2.57 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | 10 | 3 | 40 | 183 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 30% | 4.0 | 10.8% | 12.3% | -1.5% | 3.8% | 4.91 | 5.85 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | 10 | 3 | 40 | 183 | 29 | 18 | 5 | 30% | 4.0 | 15.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 4.91 | 4.61 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 12 | 11 | 62 | 254 | 78 | 18 | 5 | 92% | 5.1 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 1.9% | 3.94 | 3.30 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 12 | 11 | 62 | 254 | 78 | 18 | 5 | 92% | 5.1 | 30.7% | 7.1% | 23.6% | 2.0% | 3.94 | 2.50 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 94 | 381 | 129 | 25 | 4 | 95% | 4.9 | 25.8% | 7.6% | 18.2% | 0.9% | 2.69 | 2.38 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 18 | 94 | 381 | 129 | 25 | 4 | 95% | 4.9 | 33.9% | 6.6% | 27.3% | 1.0% | 2.69 | 1.70 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 20 | 20 | 97 | 429 | 102 | 38 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 3.62 | 3.85 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 20 | 20 | 97 | 429 | 102 | 38 | 9 | 100% | 4.8 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 2.1% | 3.62 | 3.38 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 73 | 356 | 77 | 37 | 21 | 91% | 3.2 | 19.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.68 | 7.43 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 21 | 73 | 356 | 77 | 37 | 21 | 91% | 3.2 | 21.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 7.68 | 6.27 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 3 | 70 | 318 | 71 | 44 | 10 | 8% | 1.8 | 20.3% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.01 | 4.99 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 3 | 70 | 318 | 71 | 44 | 10 | 8% | 1.8 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 5.01 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 24 | 1 | 35 | 163 | 49 | 15 | 3 | 4% | 1.5 | 26.5% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 5.60 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 24 | 1 | 35 | 163 | 49 | 15 | 3 | 4% | 1.5 | 30.1% | 9.2% | 20.9% | 1.8% | 5.60 | 2.70 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 8 | 58 | 250 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 22% | 1.6 | 18.0% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.75 | 5.30 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 8 | 58 | 250 | 53 | 23 | 8 | 22% | 1.6 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 3.75 | 4.26 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | DET | 63 | 0 | 66 | 277 | 54 | 31 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.89 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 61 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 53 | 30 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | DET | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 50 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 5.06 | 5.16 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | DET | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 5.06 | 5.16 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 78 | 0 | 87 | 374 | 69 | 41 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.86 | 5.02 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 179 | 0 | 200 | 856 | 158 | 94 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 4.86 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 193 | 91 | 560 | 2467 | 491 | 246 | 79 | 47% | 2.9 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.43 | +6.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 32 | 200 | 881 | 175 | 88 | 28 | 47% | 2.9 | 19.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Balazovic (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.04 | 19.5% | 11.0% | 3.3% | — | 5.10 | 19.6% | 8.6% | 124 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 84 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 80 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 80 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 80 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 79 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 78 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 77 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 76 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 76 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 75 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 75 |
| Jose Pina R 2028 · 5.09 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.09 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 4.1% | .231 | 3.69 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.40 | 3.68 | 424 | 75 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 75 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 74 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 74 |
| Noah Davis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.87 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .368 | 4.57 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 148 | +0.70 | 3.64 | 560 | 74 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 74 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 74 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 20.1% | 13.0% | 2.1% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 378 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 19.6% | 11.0% | 1.31 | 4.97 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |