Jordan Balazovic

Jordan Balazovic P Toledo Mud Hens

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.79

FIP4.87

K%18.7%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5895.1

Whiff%

p1018.1%

p1015.7%

xwOBA vs

p150.353

SL+1.5

FB-1.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	17	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	8	6	32	133	16	5	0	75%	4.0	8.2%	4.7%	3.5%	0.0%	1.97	3.00	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	8	6	32	133	16	5	0	75%	4.0	12.0%	3.8%	8.3%	0.0%	1.97	2.57	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	10	3	40	183	29	18	5	30%	4.0	10.8%	12.3%	-1.5%	3.8%	4.91	5.85	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	10	3	40	183	29	18	5	30%	4.0	15.8%	9.8%	6.0%	2.7%	4.91	4.61	—
2018	19	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	12	11	62	254	78	18	5	92%	5.1	22.7%	8.4%	14.4%	2.2%	3.94	3.45	—
2018	19	A RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	12	11	62	254	78	18	5	92%	5.1	30.7%	7.1%	23.6%	2.0%	3.94	2.50	—
2019	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	94	381	129	25	4	95%	4.9	25.8%	7.6%	18.2%	1.1%	2.69	2.46	—
2019	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	18	94	381	129	25	4	95%	4.9	33.9%	6.6%	27.3%	1.0%	2.69	1.70	—
2021	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	20	20	97	429	102	38	9	100%	4.8	19.3%	9.7%	9.5%	2.3%	3.62	3.96	—
2021	22	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	20	20	97	429	102	38	9	100%	4.8	23.8%	8.9%	14.9%	2.1%	3.62	3.38	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	21	73	356	77	37	21	91%	3.2	19.5%	10.7%	8.8%	7.3%	7.68	6.80	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	21	73	356	77	37	21	91%	3.2	21.6%	10.4%	11.2%	5.9%	7.68	6.27	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	3	70	318	71	44	10	8%	1.8	19.4%	12.8%	6.6%	3.3%	5.01	4.88	-0.3
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	3	70	318	71	44	10	8%	1.8	19.4%	12.8%	6.6%	3.3%	5.01	4.88	-0.3
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	3	70	318	71	44	10	8%	1.8	22.3%	13.8%	8.5%	3.1%	5.01	4.81	-0.2
2024	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	24	1	35	163	49	15	3	4%	1.5	25.0%	8.3%	16.7%	1.9%	5.60	3.11	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	24	1	35	163	49	15	3	4%	1.5	25.0%	8.3%	16.7%	1.9%	5.60	3.11	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	St. Paul Saints	24	1	35	163	49	15	3	4%	1.5	30.1%	9.2%	20.9%	1.8%	5.60	2.70	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	8	58	250	53	23	8	22%	1.6	17.0%	8.8%	8.1%	3.8%	3.75	4.85	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	8	58	250	53	23	8	22%	1.6	17.0%	8.8%	8.1%	3.8%	3.75	4.85	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	8	58	250	53	23	8	22%	1.6	21.2%	9.2%	12.0%	3.2%	3.75	4.26	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			18	0	24	108	17	12	5	0%	1.4	15.7%	11.1%	4.6%	4.6%	4.44	5.85	-0.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	DET	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	18.7%	9.7%	9.0%	3.2%	4.79	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	DET	61	0	64	269	51	26	9	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.8%	9.2%	3.3%	4.83	4.90	-0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	DET	58	0	61	257	48	26	9	0%	1.0	18.8%	10.0%	8.8%	3.4%	4.92	5.02	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	DET	26	0	27	114	22	11	4	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.8%	9.2%	3.3%	4.83	4.90	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	DET	34	0	36	152	29	15	5	0%	1.1	18.8%	10.0%	8.8%	3.4%	4.92	5.02	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		78	0	87	374	67	38	14	0%	1.1	18.0%	10.3%	7.7%	3.7%	4.76	4.91	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		179	0	200	856	153	87	32	0%	1.1	18.0%	10.3%	7.7%	3.7%	4.76	4.91	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		193	91	560	2467	484	235	75	47%	2.9	19.6%	9.5%	10.1%	3.1%	4.34	4.33	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	32	200	881	173	84	27	47%	2.9	19.6%	9.5%	10.1%	3.1%	4.34	4.33	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Balazovic (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	18.7%	9.7%	3.2%	—	4.96	18.9%	9.0%	124	+0.09	—	—	—
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	85
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	82
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	81
Logan Bawcom R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	27	SW	3.73	16.6%	9.2%	1.6%	.251	4.85	16.0%	6.7%	234	+1.12	3.73	399	80
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	79
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	78
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	78
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	78
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2017 · 4.61 FIP	27	SW	4.61	18.2%	10.5%	3.1%	.304	4.70	15.8%	3.2%	11	+0.09	3.22	221	77
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	77
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	77
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	76
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	75
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	75
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	75
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	75
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	63	18.8%	9.8%	1.26	4.84
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38