Joey Wentz
P
Atlanta Braves
Age 28
LHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
MLB
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION88 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.74
FIP4.53
xFIP4.51
SIERA4.44
K%21.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%11.9%
IP89
K†5055
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p3723.5%
K%
p4120.8%
xwOBA vs
p350.329
CT+2.7 (27%)
CU (18%)
SL-2.1 (7%)
FB-2.6 (44%)
CH-3.2 (3%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | Danville Braves | 12 | 12 | 44 | 185 | 53 | 25 | 0 | 19.5% | 16.9% | 0.0% | 3.68 | 3.59 | +0.5 |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | 26 | 26 | 132 | 527 | 152 | 46 | 4 | 21.3% | 10.3% | 1.9% | 2.60 | 3.67 | +2.7 |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | 16 | 16 | 67 | 266 | 53 | 24 | 3 | 15.3% | 10.4% | 1.5% | 2.28 | 3.94 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 25 | 25 | 129 | 534 | 137 | 48 | 16 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 4.20 | 3.84 | +2.3 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 18 | 18 | 72 | 317 | 82 | 41 | 12 | 20.4% | 14.4% | 4.7% | 4.50 | 5.80 | -0.8 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 21 | 20 | 86 | 350 | 84 | 35 | 8 | 22.2% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 3.03 | 3.93 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 31 | 25 | 134 | 620 | 135 | 59 | 28 | 21.1% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 6.36 | 5.32 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 46 | 0 | 67 | 304 | 73 | 32 | 8 | 24.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 3.86 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 39 | 13 | 98 | 442 | 92 | 40 | 11 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 5.60 | 3.85 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 60 | — | 60 | 252 | 54 | 24 | 8 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.74 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 15 | 15 | 85 | 358 | 74 | 35 | 11 | 20.7% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.71 | 4.70 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 14 | 14 | 80 | 336 | 74 | 31 | 11 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 4.66 | 4.63 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 13 | 13 | 74 | 313 | 67 | 30 | 11 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 4.78 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 12 | 12 | 69 | 290 | 59 | 29 | 11 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 4.98 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 52 | 27 | 11 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 5.23 | 5.40 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 57 | — | 57 | 242 | 45 | 26 | 11 | 18.7% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 5.51 | 5.70 | -0.8 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 38 | 25 | 10 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 5.83 | 6.04 | -0.9 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 45 | — | 45 | 192 | 32 | 23 | 10 | 16.7% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 6.18 | 6.41 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 234 | 155 | 829 | 3545 | 738 | 379 | 101 | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.26 | +11.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 37 | 200 | 855 | 178 | 91 | 24 | 20.8% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 4.22 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joey Wentz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.73 | 21.3% | 11.9% | 238 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 67 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 66 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 66 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 64 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.98 | 22.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 122 | 64 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.80 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 3.4% | .242 | 4.63 | 23.2% | 12.6% | 96 | +0.83 | 3.80 | 158 | 63 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 63 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 62 |
| Derek Holland L 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.87 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.62 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.25 | 3.76 | 686 | 62 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.20 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .329 | 4.44 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.24 | 2.66 | 230 | 62 |
| Mike Dunn L 2028 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 61 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 200 | 61 |
| Kyle Hunter L 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.47 | 14.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 188 | 61 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 61 |
| Christian Friedrich L 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.55 | 16.7% | 8.5% | 1.4% | .355 | 4.08 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 129 | +0.53 | 3.55 | 188 | 61 |
| Marlon Arias L 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 61 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 60 |
| Josh Osich L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.01 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 3.8% | .328 | 4.42 | 21.1% | 14.1% | 143 | -0.59 | 3.47 | 315 | 60 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.88 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 160 | 60 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.92 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.70 | 2.22 | 286 | 60 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.