Dylan Carlson

LF Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 28 S/L 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 5.390 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
AAAArb-3FA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425MLBTB265.209/.290/.2773263-1.7
202526MLBBAL241.203/.279/.3366372-1.1
202627AAAPHI197.180/.297/.3176136—.149/.236/.240
2027PROJ10% MLB28MLBPHI30.213/.295/.3331077-0.1
2028PROJ29MLBPHI331.210/.292/.3257374-0.8
Last 3 seasons WAR -2.8  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.390First FA2028
2027Arb-3$0.6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%81
Speed52
Whiff%46
Barrel%21
Avg EV21
xwOBA16
CompsBrett Carroll (age 28) · Bligh Madris (age 28) · Sergio Alcántara (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7777vR 77
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .295 / .333
PA30
HR1
K%23
BB%10
BABIP262
ISO148
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: -3.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +6.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.82728
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT40
Whiff%
4611.4%
xAVG
100.204
POWER40
Barrel%
214.5
Avg EV
2186.9
Bat Spd
1065.2
EYE60
Chase%
8125.7%
SPEED50
Sprint
5227.6
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 506 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
188
318
—
wRC+
64
69
▶R
wOBA
263
270
—
ISO
078
113
▶▶R
BABIP
273
261
◀L
K%
24.5%
26.1%
◀L
BB%
8.5%
8.5%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2020
Service   5.390 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.0M $-0.2M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201617 ROKGCL Cardinals — 201183 461333 16521 42 251315404719 153333 268 319 34 — — — — — —
201718 APeoria Chiefs — 451383 921817 521169 66 240345347692 107323 2612 315 59 — — — — — —
201819 A+Palm Beach Cardinals — 441376 931939 52787 63 247349386735 138286 1812 330 86 — — — — — —
201819 APeoria Chiefs — 5747 11302 10100 20 234368426794 191257 1818 358 80 — — — — — —
201920 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 7972 26425 6181 21 3614186811.098 319429 238 472 143 — — — — — —
201920 AASpringfield Cardinals — 483417 11724621 52987 187 281370518888 237315 2011 384 98 — — — — — —
202021 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 119110 22713 8350 11 200254364618 164260 297 272 72 -4 -0 -0 +0 +3 -0.2
202122 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 619542 14431418 5715211 21 266348437785 172332 259 346 121 +15 +0 -4 -7 +13 1.8
202223 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 488432 1023048 45947 52 236318380698 144281 199 312 97 -2 +0 +1 +2 +11 1.2
202324 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 255219 48815 26497 30 219321333655 114256 1910 299 91 -3 +1 -1 +1 +6 0.3
202425 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 265235 49703 22755 21 209290277567 68287 288 262 63 -12 +0 -8 -3 +6 -1.7
202425 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 1511 3001 321 00 2734675451.012 273250 1320 448 128 — — — — — —
202526 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 241217 44916 21542 33 203279336616 134241 229 278 72 -8 -1 -3 -4 +5 -1.1
202526 AAANorfolk Tides — 126102 30404 23250 40 294424451875 157351 2018 392 110 — — — — — —
202627 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs — 197167 30506 24404 10 180297317615 138195 2012 283 36 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 19871755 409921143 17945932 168 233315372687 138288 239 308 95 -13 +0 -16 -10 +43 0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201617 ROK MLEGCL Cardinals — 201189 33922 10751 42 175220275495 101272 375 218 34 — — — — — —
201718 A MLEPeoria Chiefs — 451397 801516 381519 66 202286290576 88292 338 255 59 — — — — — —
201819 A+ MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 441391 892039 371077 63 228306363669 136277 248 295 86 — — — — — —
201819 A MLEPeoria Chiefs — 5751 11302 6130 20 216298392690 176230 2311 286 80 — — — — — —
201920 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 7974 22324 4241 21 297342554896 257393 305 379 143 — — — — — —
201920 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 483432 10219516 371217 187 236307414721 178277 258 313 98 — — — — — —
202021 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 119110 22713 8350 11 200254364618 164260 297 274 72 -4 -0 -0 +0 +3 -0.2
202122 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 619544 14430419 5515211 21 265344439784 175332 259 347 121 +15 +0 -4 -7 +13 1.8
202223 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 488433 1022949 44947 52 236316383699 148281 199 312 97 -2 +0 +1 +2 +11 1.2
202324 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 255219 48815 26497 30 219321333655 114256 1910 303 91 -3 +1 -1 +1 +6 0.3
202425 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 265235 48703 22755 21 204286272559 68287 288 261 63 -12 +0 -8 -3 +6 -1.7
202425 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 1512 3001 231 00 250400500900 250230 2013 357 128 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 241217 44916 21542 33 203279336616 134241 229 274 72 -8 -1 -3 -4 +5 -1.1
202526 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 126110 30403 15310 40 273360391751 118342 2512 331 110 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 197175 26404 16484 10 149236240476 91173 248 221 36 — — — — — —
201617 ROK MLEGCL Cardinals — 201189 33922 10751 42 175220275495 101274 375 218 34 — — — — — —
201617 ROK RAWGCL Cardinals — 201183 461333 16521 42 251315404719 153333 268 319 34 — — — — — —
201718 A MLEPeoria Chiefs — 451397 801516 381519 66 202286290576 88305 338 255 59 — — — — — —
201718 A RAWPeoria Chiefs — 451383 921817 521169 66 240345347692 107323 2612 315 59 — — — — — —
201819 A+ MLE2 teams — 498442 9822311 431207 83 222301360661 138275 249 294 85 — — — — — —
201819 A+ RAW2 teams — 498423 10422311 62887 83 246352390742 144283 1812 333 85 — — — — — —
201920 AA MLE2 teams — 562505 12422720 421458 208 246314436749 190300 267 322 104 — — — — — —
201920 AA RAW2 teams — 562489 14328826 581168 208 292377542918 249331 2110 396 104 — — — — — —
202021 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 119110 22713 8350 11 200254364618 164260 297 274 72 -4 -0 -0 +0 +3 -0.2
202021 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 119110 22713 8350 11 200254364618 164260 297 272 72 -4 -0 -0 +0 +3 -0.2
202122 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 619544 14430419 5515211 21 265344439784 175328 259 347 121 +15 +0 -4 -7 +13 1.8
202122 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 619542 14431418 5715211 21 266348437785 172332 259 346 121 +15 +0 -4 -7 +13 1.8
202223 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 488433 1022949 44947 52 236316383699 148278 199 312 97 -2 +0 +1 +2 +11 1.2
202223 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 488432 1023048 45947 52 236318380698 144281 199 312 97 -2 +0 +1 +2 +11 1.2
202324 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 255219 48815 26497 30 219321333655 114256 1910 303 91 -3 +1 -1 +1 +6 0.3
202324 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 255219 48815 26497 30 219321333655 114256 1910 299 91 -3 +1 -1 +1 +6 0.3
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 280247 51704 24786 21 206292283576 77280 289 266 66 -11 +0 -8 -3 +6 -1.6
202425 MLB RAW2 teams — 280246 52704 25776 21 211300289588 77286 289 272 66 -11 +0 -8 -3 +6 -1.6
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 367327 731219 36852 73 223304349653 125272 2310 294 85 -7 +0 -3 -4 +8 -0.6
202526 MLB RAW2 teams — 367319 7413110 44792 73 232329373702 141276 2212 318 85 -7 +0 -3 -4 +8 -0.6
202627 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 197175 26404 16484 10 149236240476 91176 248 221 36 — — — — — —
202627 AAA RAWLehigh Valley IronPigs — 197167 30506 24404 10 180297317615 138195 2012 283 36 — — — — — —
201617 ROK MLEGCL Cardinals — 201188 33922 10751 42 176220277497 101272 375 218 34 — — — — — —
201718 A MLEPeoria Chiefs — 451401 801516 381519 66 200286287573 87292 338 255 59 — — — — — —
201819 A+ MLE2 teams — 498445 9822311 431207 83 220301357658 137272 249 294 85 — — — — — —
201920 AA MLE2 teams — 562507 12422720 421458 208 245314434747 189293 267 322 104 — — — — — —
202021 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 119110 22713 8350 11 200254364618 164260 297 274 72 — — — — — —
202122 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 619548 14430419 5515211 21 263344436780 173332 259 347 121 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 488434 1022949 44947 52 235316382699 147281 199 312 97 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 255220 48815 26497 30 218321332653 114256 1910 303 91 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 280248 51704 24786 21 206292282575 77284 289 266 66 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 367326 731219 36852 73 224304350654 126275 2310 294 85 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 197175 26404 16484 10 149236240476 91173 248 221 36 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 280248 51704 24786 21 206292282575 77284 289 266 66 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLE2 teams — 367326 731219 36852 73 224304350654 126275 2310 294 85 — — — — — —
202627 AAA MLELehigh Valley IronPigs — 197175 26404 16484 10 149236240476 91173 248 221 36 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEPHI 10% 304269 581017 28734 41 212294327621 115262 249 282 77 -8 +0 -1 -3 +7 -0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXPHI 10% 3027 6101 370 00 213295333628 119262 2310 285 77 -1 +0 -0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEPHI 100% 331294 611017 30804 31 209291319610 111260 249 278 74 -10 +0 -2 -4 +7 -0.8
202829 MLB CTXPHI 100% 331294 621017 30804 31 210292325618 115260 249 281 74 -10 +0 -2 -4 +7 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 23182049 4711021250 20953936 199 230312365677 135284 239 304 84 -23 +0 -18 -14 +50 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650575 13229314 5915110 53 230313363676 134284 239 304 84 -6 +0 -5 -4 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 46724151 92018526106 400118570 6629 222301355656 134280 259 293 84 -31 +1 -18 -17 +57 -1.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 12926415 5616510 94 223303360663 137282 259 293 84 -8 +0 -5 -4 +14 -0.2