Seth Beer

1B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 30 L/R 6'2" / 225 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

AAROOKIEArb-3FA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	27	AAAPIT	177	.272/.343/.475	8	0	74	—	.216/.274/.364
2024	27	AAPIT	228	.281/.366/.397	4	1	77	—	.238/.308/.330
2025	28	AAPHI	120	.190/.286/.314	3	0	31	—	.157/.235/.241
2027PROJ2% MLB	30	MLBPHI	4	.233/.295/.366	0	0	84	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	31	MLBPHI	42	.229/.290/.358	1	0	81	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028

2027Arb-3$0.7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

Chase%94

K%59

ISO55

Whiff%45

BB%43

Z-Con%43

CompsCarlos Ibarra (age 30) · Jordan Lennerton (age 29) · Jason Conti (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .295 / .366

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP292

ISO137

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractPOW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2022

CONTACT—

Whiff%

3712.5%

xAVG

200.226

POWER40

Barrel%

133.4

Avg EV

1186.1

EYE48

Chase%

3734.2%

SPEED27

Sprint

1024.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2022

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A+	Buies Creek Astros	—	114	107	28	4	0	5	4	22	3	0	1	262	307	439	746	178	287	19	4	331	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	132	112	39	7	0	3	15	17	4	1	0	348	439	491	930	143	391	13	11	416	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	Jackson Generals	—	381	322	88	16	0	17	32	83	24	0	1	273	381	481	862	208	316	22	8	382	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	152	128	42	8	0	9	14	30	7	0	3	328	423	602	1.024	273	359	20	9	438	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	80	73	23	5	1	1	5	14	2	1	0	315	375	452	827	137	379	18	6	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	435	362	104	33	0	16	39	76	30	0	0	287	401	511	912	224	321	17	9	402	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	126	111	21	3	0	1	11	31	3	0	0	189	280	243	523	54	250	25	9	248	48	-8	+0	-1	-9	+3	-1.6
2022	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	402	331	80	20	1	14	44	68	21	0	1	242	366	435	801	193	259	17	11	356	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	79	70	14	2	0	2	6	23	1	0	0	200	273	314	587	114	255	29	8	262	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	359	307	89	20	0	13	34	81	16	0	0	290	389	482	871	192	353	23	9	387	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	177	158	43	8	0	8	13	38	4	0	0	272	343	475	818	203	307	21	7	358	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	Altoona Curve	—	228	199	56	7	2	4	18	48	9	1	0	281	366	397	763	116	351	21	8	345	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	105	20	4	0	3	11	27	3	0	0	190	286	314	600	124	224	22	9	275	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	126	111	21	3	0	1	11	31	3	0	0	189	280	243	523	54	250	25	9	248	54	-7	+0	-1	-9	+3	-1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A+ MLE	Buies Creek Astros	—	114	108	22	3	0	4	3	32	3	0	1	204	246	343	588	139	255	28	3	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	132	117	35	6	0	2	11	24	4	1	0	299	379	402	780	103	358	18	8	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	Jackson Generals	—	381	336	79	13	0	15	18	99	24	0	1	235	320	408	728	173	275	26	5	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	152	133	35	6	0	8	9	43	7	0	3	263	342	489	831	226	297	28	6	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	435	373	85	25	0	12	28	92	30	0	0	228	332	391	723	164	262	21	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	126	112	21	3	0	1	10	31	3	0	0	188	272	241	513	54	250	25	8	239	48	-8	+0	-1	-9	+3	-1.6
2022	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	402	345	74	18	1	11	30	81	21	0	1	214	316	368	684	154	234	20	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	79	72	12	2	0	1	4	29	1	0	0	167	221	236	457	69	222	37	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	359	318	66	15	0	6	23	98	16	0	0	208	294	311	605	104	277	27	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	177	162	35	6	0	6	9	48	4	0	0	216	274	364	638	148	260	27	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	228	206	49	6	2	3	12	61	9	1	0	238	308	330	638	92	316	27	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	108	17	3	0	2	8	32	3	0	0	157	235	241	476	83	195	27	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	246	226	59	9	0	7	13	56	7	1	1	261	321	394	715	133	319	23	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	246	219	67	11	0	8	19	39	7	1	1	306	378	466	844	160	343	16	8	376	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	613	543	130	22	0	26	31	163	33	1	4	239	320	424	743	184	289	27	5	326	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	613	523	153	29	1	27	51	127	33	1	4	293	390	507	897	214	336	21	8	394	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	435	373	85	25	0	12	28	92	30	0	0	228	332	391	723	164	267	21	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	435	362	104	33	0	16	39	76	30	0	0	287	401	511	912	224	321	17	9	402	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	528	457	94	20	1	12	40	112	24	0	1	206	303	333	636	127	241	21	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	528	442	101	23	1	15	55	99	24	0	1	229	345	387	732	158	257	19	10	330	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	438	390	78	17	0	7	27	127	17	0	0	200	281	297	579	97	273	29	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	438	377	103	22	0	15	40	104	17	0	0	273	369	451	820	178	336	24	9	364	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	405	368	85	12	2	9	21	109	13	1	0	231	296	348	644	117	300	27	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	405	357	99	15	2	12	31	86	13	1	0	277	356	431	787	154	332	21	8	351	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	108	17	3	0	2	8	32	3	0	0	157	235	241	476	83	200	27	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	105	20	4	0	3	11	27	3	0	0	190	286	314	600	124	224	22	9	275	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	246	224	59	9	0	7	13	56	7	1	1	263	321	397	718	134	310	23	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	613	544	130	22	0	26	31	163	33	1	4	239	320	423	742	184	281	27	5	326	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	435	374	85	25	0	12	28	92	30	0	0	227	332	390	722	163	262	21	6	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	528	459	94	20	1	12	40	112	24	0	1	205	303	331	634	126	238	21	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	438	391	78	17	0	7	27	127	17	0	0	199	281	297	578	97	267	29	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	405	368	85	12	2	9	21	109	13	1	0	231	296	348	644	117	292	27	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	108	17	3	0	2	8	32	3	0	0	157	235	241	476	83	195	27	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	405	368	85	12	2	9	21	109	13	1	0	231	296	348	644	117	292	27	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	120	108	17	3	0	2	8	32	3	0	0	157	235	241	476	83	195	27	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PHI	2%	200	182	43	8	1	5	12	50	4	3	1	231	293	360	653	129	291	25	6	293	84	-4	+0	-0	-4	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	PHI	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	233	295	366	661	133	292	25	0	295	84	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	PHI	23%	185	168	38	7	1	4	12	47	3	1	1	227	289	352	641	125	287	25	6	287	81	-4	-0	-3	-3	+4	-0.7
2028	31	MLB CTX	PHI	23%	42	38	9	2	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	229	290	358	648	129	288	26	7	290	81	-1	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	168	149	30	5	0	2	14	42	4	0	0	201	287	275	563	74	264	25	8	258	85	-8	+0	-1	-10	+4	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	116	19	0	8	54	162	15	0	0	201	286	276	562	75	263	25	8	258	85	-31	+0	-6	-39	+14	-6.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3170	2815	629	123	5	84	192	788	134	7	8	223	304	360	664	137	277	25	6	293	85	-15	+0	-4	-16	+11	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	129	25	1	17	39	162	27	1	2	224	303	359	662	135	277	25	6	293	85	-19	+0	-5	-21	+14	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seth Beer (OGILVIE)	30	—	40	27	48	229/291/357	128	291	5	3	25%	6%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Ibarra 2014 · AAA	30	46	48→50	37→40	38	238/271/375	137	289	17	4	25%	4%	80	-0.2	213/250/306	93	270	9	4	24%	4%	55	-1.9	198/233/260	62	254	5	1	23%	4%	37	-1.1
✕Jordan Lennerton 2015 · AAA	29	46→51	46→45	36→30	48	228/299/358	130	300	14	2	28%	9%	86	+0.3	215/277/327	112	286	11	5	27%	8%	71	-0.8	190/247/277	87	252	7	0	26%	7%	46	-1.4
✕Jason Conti 2005 · MLB	30	47→40	44→45	40→50	45	230/289/355	124	303	11	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	213/263/330	117	281	12	6	28%	6%	66	-1.1	203/250/309	106	268	11	4	28%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Mike Costanzo 2014 · MLB	30	41→50	46→50	40	43	208/268/341	133	284	14	4	31%	7%	71	-0.8	207/265/334	127	304	14	7	34%	7%	68	-1.0	151/205/242	91	238	13	0	41%	6%	25	-1.0
✕Eric Aguilera 2019 · AA	29	40→50	45→50	37→45	39	204/258/325	121	287	14	4	33%	6%	63	-1.3	229/285/357	128	329	14	5	33%	6%	81	-0.1	231/287/356	125	332	15	1	33%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Baltazar Lopez 2014 · AAA	30	46	49→50	40→45	40	229/281/374	145	317	17	4	32%	6%	84	+0.1	220/275/336	116	325	12	6	34%	6%	72	-0.7	201/270/244	43	352	4	2	40%	7%	51	-0.4
✕Mike Vento 2007 · MLB	29	51	45	38→30	46	252/306/375	123	298	12	5	20%	6%	93	+0.8	232/279/356	124	285	12	6	22%	5%	78	-0.3	217/255/338	121	266	12	2	23%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Norel González 2023 · AAA	29	44	49→50	40	42	227/281/372	145	285	17	6	26%	6%	83	+0.1	218/279/345	127	285	14	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	193/264/302	109	251	12	2	27%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2023 · MLB	31	42→41	49→50	39→30	52	216/299/359	143	271	18	2	27%	10%	87	+0.4	224/310/364	140	307	16	7	30%	11%	93	+0.8	208/312/349	140	296	16	5	32%	12%	87	+0.2
✕Wes Bankston 2014 · AAA	30	46→56	47→50	37→40	48	234/297/372	138	268	15	3	19%	7%	89	+0.5	231/294/355	124	287	12	7	23%	7%	84	+0.1	214/275/276	62	285	3	0	24%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Leslie Anderson 2012 · AAA	30	51→55	44→45	40→30	42	252/285/367	115	279	13	4	15%	4%	83	+0.1	250/291/365	115	278	12	3	15%	4%	85	+0.2	252/296/361	109	279	12	1	14%	4%	84	+0.2
✕Michael Ryan 2007 · MLB	30	44→46	42→50	38→30	43	217/260/318	101	264	10	5	22%	6%	62	-1.4	224/263/374	150	271	17	4	24%	5%	77	-0.3	226/264/388	162	267	19	2	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Abraham Valencia 2010 · AAA	30	51→50	45	37→45	44	253/308/378	124	285	13	6	17%	4%	95	+0.9	243/299/370	127	273	14	6	17%	5%	90	+0.6	236/292/364	128	273	16	2	19%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Cory Aldridge 2009 · AAA	30	44→47	45→55	43→45	45	220/280/351	131	291	12	7	28%	8%	78	-0.3	233/280/395	162	307	19	4	30%	6%	88	+0.5	205/268/370	165	274	26	5	35%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Larry Broadway 2009 · AAA	28	46→49	46→50	39→40	46	228/287/358	131	294	13	4	26%	8%	82	-0.0	221/274/352	131	301	14	6	30%	6%	76	-0.4	192/237/318	126	265	17	0	34%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Guillermo Heredia 2020 · MLB	29	48→58	44→45	37→45	49	233/308/351	118	278	11	6	20%	8%	89	+0.5	224/301/365	141	283	14	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	217/302/349	133	278	9	0	23%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Blake Lalli 2013 · MLB	30	49→59	42→45	37→30	44	239/279/344	104	280	10	2	19%	5%	75	-0.5	219/257/316	97	275	10	3	23%	5%	60	-1.6	213/251/292	79	266	8	0	23%	4%	51	-1.2
✕Brian Barden 2011 · MLB	30	51→53	43→45	39→45	43	245/296/353	108	309	10	6	24%	6%	84	+0.1	253/301/368	115	312	10	6	21%	6%	89	+0.5	252/301/351	99	306	7	2	19%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Dee Brown 2008 · AAA	30	45→49	47→50	43→45	43	231/277/363	131	273	16	5	22%	5%	79	-0.2	228/288/363	135	259	15	9	18%	7%	84	+0.1	221/286/355	134	246	14	9	16%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2014 · AAA	30	47	41→40	41→45	46	225/302/321	96	297	8	7	26%	8%	80	-0.2	212/273/311	99	274	10	6	25%	6%	66	-1.1	182/237/256	74	228	9	0	24%	5%	39	-0.8