Garrett Cleavinger
P
Tampa Bay Rays
Age 32
LHP
6'1" / 225 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7484vR 93
ERA3.17
FIP3.18
K%32.5%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%23.7%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p8196.7
Whiff%
p6227.1%
K%
p9032.5%
xwOBA vs
p750.288
SL+0.8 (58%)
SI (28%)
FB-1.7 (42%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 76 | 314 | 102 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 24.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 2.0% | 3.07 | 3.63 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 76 | 314 | 102 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 32.5% | 10.2% | 22.3% | 1.6% | 3.07 | 2.54 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 38 | 0 | 54 | 256 | 59 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.7% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 6.00 | 4.10 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 38 | 0 | 54 | 256 | 59 | 31 | 5 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 2.0% | 6.00 | 3.84 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 13 | 71 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 7.42 | 3.10 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 0 | 13 | 71 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.4% | 16.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 7.42 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 34 | 0 | 52 | 228 | 83 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 29.5% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 0.8% | 3.66 | 3.11 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 34 | 0 | 52 | 228 | 83 | 34 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 36.4% | 14.9% | 21.5% | 0.9% | 3.66 | 2.36 | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 13.50 | 14.71 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 13.50 | 19.60 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 30 | 131 | 46 | 16 | 4 | 3% | 0.9 | 25.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 5.0% | 2.43 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 1 | 30 | 131 | 46 | 16 | 4 | 3% | 0.9 | 35.1% | 12.2% | 22.9% | 3.1% | 2.43 | 3.37 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 1 | 61 | 249 | 96 | 27 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 35.5% | 11.2% | 24.2% | 2.5% | 2.95 | 2.90 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 1 | 61 | 249 | 96 | 27 | 6 | 2% | 1.3 | 38.6% | 10.8% | 27.7% | 2.4% | 2.95 | 2.56 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 15 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.2% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 4.2% | 3.00 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 15 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.8 | 29.2% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 4.2% | 3.00 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 68 | 0 | 60 | 266 | 71 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 2.4% | 3.75 | 3.63 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 68 | 0 | 60 | 266 | 71 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 0.9 | 26.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 2.3% | 3.75 | 3.58 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 67 | 0 | 61 | 243 | 82 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 33.7% | 7.4% | 26.3% | 3.9% | 2.35 | 3.34 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 31 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 67 | 0 | 61 | 243 | 82 | 18 | 9 | 0% | 0.9 | 33.7% | 7.4% | 26.3% | 3.7% | 2.35 | 3.21 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | Tampa Bay Rays | 37 | 0 | 32 | 138 | 43 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 0.9 | 32.5% | 9.4% | 23.1% | 2.6% | 4.22 | 2.96 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 50 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.5% | 8.8% | 23.7% | 3.1% | 3.17 | 3.18 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 49 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 32.5% | 8.8% | 23.7% | 3.1% | 3.17 | 3.18 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | TB | — | — | 68 | 290 | 93 | 29 | 9 | — | — | 31.9% | 10.1% | 21.8% | 3.0% | 3.66 | 3.07 | +1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | TB | — | — | 64 | 269 | 93 | 29 | 9 | — | — | 34.4% | 10.9% | 23.5% | 3.2% | 3.91 | 3.36 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | TB | 56 | 0 | 58 | 247 | 78 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.7% | 9.2% | 22.5% | 3.4% | 3.72 | 3.83 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | TB | 51 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 69 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 9.8% | 21.1% | 3.7% | 3.97 | 4.14 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | TB | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 74 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.7% | 9.2% | 22.5% | 3.4% | 3.72 | 3.83 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | TB | 46 | 0 | 48 | 203 | 62 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 9.8% | 21.1% | 3.7% | 3.97 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 354 | 1 | 342 | 1443 | 445 | 139 | 47 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.9% | 9.6% | 21.2% | 3.3% | 3.41 | 3.51 | +7.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 207 | 1 | 200 | 843 | 260 | 81 | 27 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.9% | 9.6% | 21.2% | 3.3% | 3.41 | 3.51 | +4.4 | ||
| Career | — | 390 | 2 | 452 | 1948 | 544 | 234 | 47 | 1% | 1.2 | 27.9% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 3.60 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 173 | 1 | 200 | 862 | 241 | 103 | 21 | 1% | 1.2 | 27.9% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Garrett Cleavinger (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.60 | 32.6% | 8.6% | 3.2% | — | 3.98 | 31.3% | 21.8% | 112 | +0.38 | — | — | — |
| Josh Edgin L 2025 · 3.36 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.36 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 113 | 67 |
| Tony Sipp L 2026 · 2.70 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.70 | 28.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 4.25 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 120 | +1.55 | 2.18 | 195 | 66 |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 2.97 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.97 | 30.8% | 9.9% | 2.2% | .346 | 5.55 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 11 | +2.58 | 2.44 | 113 | 66 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 2.90 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.90 | 29.8% | 13.5% | 1.1% | .293 | 3.93 | 31.5% | 18.1% | 140 | +1.03 | 2.33 | 455 | 64 |
| Brooks Raley L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.14 | 32.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | .208 | 2.79 | 28.4% | 20.4% | 157 | -0.35 | 1.74 | 238 | 63 |
| Will Smith L 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.80 | 30.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% | .239 | 3.80 | 22.2% | 15.2% | 158 | -0.00 | 1.76 | 464 | 61 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.73 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 223 | 61 |
| Cam Booser L 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.08 | 26.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .338 | 4.25 | 27.9% | 17.8% | 83 | +1.17 | 2.89 | 290 | 61 |
| Anthony Gose L 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.72 | 30.4% | 14.1% | 4.4% | .234 | 4.93 | 24.4% | 10.8% | 82 | +0.21 | 3.88 | 207 | 61 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.05 | 25.9% | 12.7% | 2.8% | .276 | 4.90 | 17.3% | 2.6% | 35 | +0.85 | 3.72 | 181 | 60 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2028 · 2.56 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.56 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 0.6% | .307 | 3.34 | 22.6% | 14.3% | 71 | +0.78 | 2.56 | 109 | 59 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2026 · 2.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.73 | 29.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.67 | 26.9% | 16.5% | 124 | +0.94 | 2.72 | 166 | 59 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.24 | 25.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | .337 | 2.70 | 30.2% | 22.6% | 143 | -0.54 | 2.22 | 487 | 57 |
| Justin Wilson L 2026 · 2.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.66 | 26.7% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .315 | 4.91 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 34 | +2.25 | 2.48 | 420 | 57 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2024 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 57 |
| Ryan Buchter L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.63 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 4.2% | .286 | 5.07 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 32 | +0.44 | 2.37 | 296 | 56 |
| Rex Brothers L 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.98 | 33.9% | 18.0% | 2.7% | .356 | 4.23 | 31.8% | 17.8% | 53 | +0.25 | 3.10 | 205 | 55 |
| Oliver Pérez L 2027 · 2.78 FIP | 33 | SU | 2.78 | 27.9% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .304 | 2.62 | 28.3% | 21.7% | 119 | -0.16 | 1.56 | 219 | 54 |
| Sean Doolittle L 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.91 | 25.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | .306 | 4.04 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 50 | +0.13 | 1.39 | 259 | 53 |
| Fernando Abad L 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.48 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.2% | .281 | 2.35 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.13 | 2.35 | 306 | 53 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 31.8% | 9.2% | 1.33 | 3.75 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Brad Peacock ('19) | 4 | 80 | 28.7% | 9.2% | 1.18 | 3.48 |
| Diego Castillo ('22) | 5 | 52 | 28.1% | 8.9% | 1.07 | 3.12 |
| Keone Kela ('19) | 5 | 43 | 30.1% | 9.4% | 0.92 | 3.23 |
| Blake Parker ('21) | 4 | 60 | 26.6% | 7.3% | 1.40 | 3.36 |