Nathaniel Lowe

1B Cleveland Guardians
Age 32 L/R 6'4" / 220 lbs MLB Svc 5.843 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-3FA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202429MLBTEX565.265/.364/.4011621151.3
202530MLBBOS609.228/.310/.38118190-1.4
202631MLBCLE429.252/.323/.4441701100.7
2027PROJ32MLBCLE486.250/.325/.4271721111.1
2028PROJ33MLBCLE525.241/.316/.4071821030.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.843First FA2028
2027Arb-3$6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%90
Bat Spd80
xwOBA61
Avg EV50
Barrel%40
Form.248/.316/.410 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .249/.322/.426
CompsYadiel Hernandez (age 32) · Yonder Alonso (age 32) · Ji Man Choi (age 31)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 82111vR 122
AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .325 / .427
PA486
HR17
K%24
BB%9
BABIP297
ISO172
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+6BATRUN: -0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +2.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+3FLDPOS: -8.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-9POSREP: +10.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +1.10+1.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
1.10.32728
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
906.5%
xAVG
440.247
POWER45
Barrel%
407.0
Avg EV
5089.1
Bat Spd
8074.5
EYE60
Chase%
9019.9%
SPEED40
Sprint
1225.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▲22% over 90 PA (60d) · proj 24%
BB%9%▼8% over 90 PA (60d) · proj 9%
ISO.163▼.132 over 76 AB (60d) · proj .178
HR/BB5.2%·4.9% over 61 BBE (60d) · proj 5.4%
BABIP.292▼.224 over 58 BIP (60d) · proj .296
SLASH.248/.316/.410▼proj .249/.322/.426
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1208 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
315
893
—
wRC+
81
115
▶▶R
wOBA
288
338
▶R
ISO
102
166
▶▶R
BABIP
307
305
—
K%
28.3%
22.5%
▶▶R
BB%
11.7%
10.9%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2019
Service   5.843 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-3$6M+1.1$9M+$3M
Totals $6M $9M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201722 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs — 203173 431012 28521 11 249356353709 104342 2614 325 59 — — — — — —
201722 ABowling Green Hot Rods — 269229 671305 36531 01 293391415806 122356 2013 362 84 — — — — — —
201823 AAADurham Bulls — 110100 26614 8272 00 260327460787 200319 257 348 84 — — — — — —
201823 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 225188 6411013 35301 11 3404466061.053 266349 1316 456 158 — — — — — —
201823 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs — 220194 6915010 25331 00 3564325881.019 232391 1511 446 141 — — — — — —
201924 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 169152 40807 13502 00 263329454783 191340 308 343 119 +4 +0 -4 -10 +4 -0.7
201924 AAADurham Bulls — 406329 9524016 72824 10 289422508930 219341 2018 411 116 — — — — — —
202025 MLBTampa Bay Rays — 7667 15204 9280 10 224316433749 209314 3712 333 100 +0 +0 -0 -2 +2 -0.0
202025 INTLLeones del Escogido — 2116 3100 430 00 188350250600 62214 1419 280 76 — — — — — —
202126 MLBTexas Rangers — 642557 14724318 801622 80 264358415773 151339 2512 347 116 +12 +2 -9 -11 +14 0.8
202227 MLBTexas Rangers — 645593 17926327 481474 22 302358492851 191363 237 375 135 +27 -0 -14 -12 +14 1.5
202328 MLBTexas Rangers — 724623 16338317 931655 10 262362414776 152329 2313 349 119 +16 +0 -4 -13 +16 1.6
202429 MLBTexas Rangers — 565486 12916116 711254 20 265364401765 136324 2213 345 115 +10 +0 -0 -10 +12 1.3
202530 MLBBoston Red Sox — 609540 12323318 621592 10 228310381691 154285 2610 309 90 -7 +0 -9 -11 +13 -1.4
202631 MLBCleveland Guardians — 429381 9622017 38992 00 252323444767 192289 239 334 110 +5 +0 +0 -8 +9 0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 38593399 89215913124 41493521 152 262346426772 164325 2411 344 119 +86 +2 -41 -77 +84 5.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201722 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs — 203180 36912 21731 11 200287294582 94307 3610 256 59 — — — — — —
201722 A MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 269241 601004 24741 01 249320340660 91329 289 292 84 — — — — — —
201823 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 110103 24514 5312 00 233282417699 184288 285 292 84 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 225202 6511012 21351 11 322388554943 233332 169 402 158 — — — — — —
201823 A+ MLECharlotte Stone Crabs — 220201 6214010 18481 00 308368527896 219355 228 376 141 — — — — — —
201924 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 169152 40807 13502 00 263329454783 191340 308 344 119 +4 +0 -4 -10 +4 -0.7
201924 AAA MLEDurham Bulls — 406349 8720013 52974 10 249353418771 169306 2413 339 116 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLETampa Bay Rays — 7669 15204 7280 10 217289420710 203314 379 316 100 +0 +0 -0 -2 +2 -0.0
202126 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 642559 14625317 781622 80 261354408762 147339 2512 340 116 +12 +2 -9 -11 +14 0.8
202227 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 645595 17727325 461474 22 297352479831 182363 237 367 135 +27 -0 -14 -12 +14 1.5
202328 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 724625 16340316 911655 10 261359411770 150329 2313 344 119 +16 +0 -4 -13 +16 1.6
202429 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 565487 12917115 701254 20 265362396758 131324 2212 338 115 +10 +0 -0 -10 +12 1.3
202530 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 609542 11920318 601592 10 220300367667 148285 2610 302 90 -7 +0 -9 -11 +13 -1.4
202631 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 429382 9622017 37992 00 251321442763 191289 239 331 110 +5 +0 +0 -8 +9 0.7
201722 A MLE2 teams — 472420 951916 461472 12 226306319625 93328 3110 277 73 — — — — — —
201722 A RAW2 teams — 472402 1102317 641052 12 274376388764 114350 2214 346 73 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLE3 teams — 555506 14829125 441144 11 292354502856 209334 218 370 136 — — — — — —
201823 AA RAW3 teams — 555482 15932127 68904 11 330417568985 239361 1612 430 136 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE2 teams — 575501 12729020 651476 10 253346431777 178318 2611 341 117 — — — — — —
201924 AAA RAW2 teams — 575481 13532023 851326 10 281395491886 210340 2315 391 117 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLE2 teams — 9787 19305 9360 10 218292425717 207298 379 316 100 +0 +0 -0 -2 +2 0.0
202025 MLB RAW2 teams — 9783 18304 13310 10 217323398721 181286 3213 322 100 +0 +0 -0 -2 +2 0.0
202126 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 642559 14625317 781622 80 261354408762 147337 2512 340 116 +12 +2 -9 -11 +14 0.8
202126 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 642557 14724318 801622 80 264358415773 151339 2512 347 116 +12 +2 -9 -11 +14 0.8
202227 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 645595 17727325 461474 22 297352479831 182359 237 367 135 +27 -0 -14 -12 +14 1.5
202227 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 645593 17926327 481474 22 302358492851 191363 237 375 135 +27 -0 -14 -12 +14 1.5
202328 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 724625 16340316 911655 10 261359411770 150329 2313 344 119 +16 +0 -4 -13 +16 1.6
202328 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 724623 16338317 931655 10 262362414776 152329 2313 349 119 +16 +0 -4 -13 +16 1.6
202429 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 565487 12917115 701254 20 265362396758 131325 2212 338 115 +10 +0 -0 -10 +12 1.3
202429 MLB RAWTexas Rangers — 565486 12916116 711254 20 265364401765 136324 2213 345 115 +10 +0 -0 -10 +12 1.3
202530 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 609542 11920318 601592 10 220300367667 148273 2610 302 90 -7 +0 -9 -11 +13 -1.4
202530 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 609540 12323318 621592 10 228310381691 154285 2610 309 90 -7 +0 -9 -11 +13 -1.4
202631 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 429382 9622017 37992 00 251321442763 191288 239 331 110 +5 +0 +0 -8 +9 0.7
202631 MLB RAWCleveland Guardians — 429381 9622017 38992 00 252323444767 192289 239 334 110 +5 +0 +0 -8 +9 0.7
201722 A MLE2 teams — 472421 951916 461472 12 226306318624 93320 3110 277 73 — — — — — —
201823 AA MLE3 teams — 555502 14829125 441144 11 295354506860 211332 218 370 136 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE2 teams — 575499 12729020 651476 10 255346433779 178316 2611 341 117 — — — — — —
202025 MLB MLE2 teams — 9788 19305 9360 10 216292420712 205314 379 316 100 — — — — — —
202126 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 642557 14625317 781622 80 262354409763 147339 2512 340 116 — — — — — —
202227 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 645590 17727325 461474 22 300352483835 183363 237 367 135 — — — — — —
202328 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 724622 16340316 911655 10 262359413772 151329 2313 344 119 — — — — — —
202429 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 565486 12917115 701254 20 265362397759 132324 2212 338 115 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 609542 11920318 601592 10 220300367667 148285 2610 302 90 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 429387 9622017 37992 00 248321437757 189289 239 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202429 MLB MLETexas Rangers — 565486 12917115 701254 20 265362397759 132324 2212 338 115 — — — — — —
202530 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 609542 11920318 601592 10 220300367667 148285 2610 302 90 — — — — — —
202631 MLB MLECleveland Guardians — 429387 9622017 37992 00 248321437757 189289 239 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202732 MLB MLECLE 100% 486435 10722117 461152 21 249325426751 177296 249 332 111 +6 +0 +3 -9 +11 1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202732 MLB CTXCLE 100% 486435 10722117 461152 21 250325427752 177297 249 333 111 +6 +0 +3 -9 +11 1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202833 MLB MLECLE 100% 525469 11222118 491272 21 240315407722 167288 249 320 103 +2 +0 -1 -9 +11 0.3
202833 MLB CTXCLE 100% 525469 11423118 491272 21 241316407723 166289 249 321 103 +2 +0 -1 -9 +11 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 43843868 100618214142 463106223 173 260343425767 164321 2411 341 112 +88 +2 -42 -86 +95 5.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650573 14927221 691573 30 260342424766 164321 2411 341 112 +13 +0 -6 -13 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 63245608 143827517199 641154335 227 256336418754 162317 2410 334 112 +95 +2 -39 -95 +106 7.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 14728220 661594 21 255336415751 160317 2410 334 112 +13 +0 -5 -13 +14 0.9