Nick Fortes

C Tampa Bay Rays

Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 198 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 3.866 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	27	MLBMIA	335	.227/.263/.318	4	0	63	1.2
2025	28	MLBTB	242	.229/.297/.349	5	1	77	1.1
2026	29	MLBTB	323	.258/.305/.376	6	0	90	1.0
2027PROJ	30	MLBTB	322	.225/.279/.329	5	2	71	0.4
2028PROJ82% MLB	31	MLBTB	244	.221/.273/.319	4	1	67	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 3.3 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.866First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.9M2028Arb-2$0.9M2029Ext$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Bat Spd54

Speed37

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

Form.217/.274/.348 ▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .223/.275/.330

CompsMichel Hernandez (age 30) · Mike Nickeas (age 30) · Cody Clark (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7171vR 68

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .279 / .329

PA322

HR5

K%16

BB%5

BABIP254

ISO104

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

904.2%

xAVG

200.227

POWER35

Barrel%

102.6

Avg EV

1085.6

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE45

Chase%

9022.0%

SPEED45

Sprint

3726.9

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%20%▼▼26% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 16%

BB%5%▲7% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 5%

ISO.131▲.231 over 39 AB (60d) · proj .106

BABIP.252·.269 over 26 BIP (60d) · proj .251

SLASH.217/.274/.348▲proj .223/.275/.330

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 650 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

250

400

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

248

295

▶▶R

ISO

086

116

▶▶R

BABIP

239

280

▶R

15.2%

14.8%

—

BB%

4.4%

4.0%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.866 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.9M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	20	17	2	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	118	250	118	368		125	5	15	195	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	GCL Marlins	—	45	35	7	2	0	0	6	4	1	0	0	200	333	257	590	57	206	9	13	267	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	263	57	11	2	3	25	49	5	1	1	217	297	308	605	91	251	16	8	275	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	34	31	9	0	0	4	3	8	0	1	0	290	353	677	1.030	387	263	24	9	439	194	+4	+0	-2	+7	+1	1.0
2021	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	152	135	32	7	0	4	10	18	7	0	0	237	322	378	700	141	248	12	7	319	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	226	195	49	10	1	3	22	36	5	5	2	251	341	359	700	108	289	16	10	316	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	240	217	50	6	1	9	18	45	5	5	3	230	304	392	696	161	252	19	8	313	104	+1	-0	+7	+6	+5	2.0
2022	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	120	105	27	4	0	3	11	17	3	1	0	257	345	381	725	124	279	14	9	328	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	60	10	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	204	264	299	563	95	234	18	5	254	63	-14	+0	+15	+6	+7	1.4
2024	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	70	16	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	263	318	581	91	246	12	3	253	63	-15	-0	+13	+6	+7	1.2
2025	28	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	50	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	229	297	349	646	119	269	19	6	290	77	-7	+0	+8	+4	+5	1.1
2026	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	323	298	77	17	0	6	12	45	8	0	0	258	305	376	681	117	286	14	4	302	90	-4	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1497	1366	316	58	2	34	75	245	31	11	6	231	287	351	638	120	257	16	5	284	78	-39	-0	+41	+36	+32	7.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	20	18	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		122	5	10	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	GCL Marlins	—	45	37	7	2	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	189	286	243	529	54	160	13	9	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	269	47	10	1	3	19	69	5	1	1	175	242	253	495	78	216	23	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	34	31	9	0	0	4	3	8	0	1	0	290	353	677	1.030	387	263	24	9	454	194	+4	+0	-2	+7	+1	1.0
2021	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	152	139	30	6	0	3	6	22	7	0	0	216	283	324	607	108	240	14	4	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	226	203	43	8	1	2	15	45	5	5	2	212	283	291	573	79	255	20	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	240	217	52	7	1	9	18	45	5	5	3	240	312	406	718	166	252	19	8	322	104	+1	-0	+7	+6	+5	2.0
2022	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	120	108	24	4	0	2	8	21	3	1	0	222	294	315	609	93	255	18	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	62	11	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	211	270	310	580	99	234	18	5	262	63	-14	+0	+15	+6	+7	1.4
2024	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	72	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	234	269	328	597	94	246	12	3	262	63	-15	-0	+13	+6	+7	1.2
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	48	8	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	220	289	335	624	115	269	19	6	282	77	-7	+0	+8	+4	+5	1.1
2026	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	323	298	76	17	0	6	12	45	8	0	0	255	302	372	674	117	286	14	4	301	90	-4	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.0
2018	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	65	55	9	2	0	0	6	7	1	0	0	164	258	200	458	36	176	11	9	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	65	52	9	2	0	0	9	5	1	0	0	173	306	212	518	38	180	8	14	245	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	269	47	10	1	3	19	69	5	1	1	175	242	253	495	78	219	23	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	263	57	11	2	3	25	49	5	1	1	217	297	308	605	91	251	16	8	275	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	412	372	84	15	1	10	25	75	12	6	2	226	296	352	648	126	255	18	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	412	361	90	17	1	11	35	62	12	6	2	249	335	393	728	144	271	15	8	327	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	360	325	76	10	1	12	26	66	8	6	3	234	306	382	688	148	258	18	7	306	93	-3	+0	+7	+6	+8	1.9
2022	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	360	322	77	10	1	12	29	62	8	6	3	239	318	388	706	149	261	17	8	318	93	-3	+0	+7	+6	+8	1.9
2023	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	62	11	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	211	270	310	580	99	242	18	5	262	63	-14	+0	+15	+6	+7	1.4
2023	26	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	323	294	60	10	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	204	264	299	563	95	234	18	5	254	63	-14	+0	+15	+6	+7	1.4
2024	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	72	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	234	269	328	597	94	254	12	3	262	63	-15	-0	+13	+6	+7	1.2
2024	27	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	335	308	70	16	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	263	318	581	91	246	12	3	253	63	-15	-0	+13	+6	+7	1.2
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	48	8	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	220	289	335	624	115	257	19	6	282	77	-7	+0	+8	+4	+5	1.1
2025	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	218	50	9	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	229	297	349	646	119	269	19	6	290	77	-7	+0	+8	+4	+5	1.1
2026	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	323	298	76	17	0	6	12	45	8	0	0	255	302	372	674	117	282	14	4	301	90	-4	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.0
2026	29	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	—	323	298	77	17	0	6	12	45	8	0	0	258	305	376	681	117	286	14	4	302	90	-4	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.0
2018	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	65	58	9	2	0	0	6	7	1	0	0	155	258	190	448	34	148	11	9	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	297	271	47	10	1	3	19	69	5	1	1	173	242	251	493	77	216	23	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	412	372	84	15	1	10	25	75	12	6	2	226	296	352	648	126	250	18	6	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	360	323	76	10	1	12	26	66	8	6	3	235	306	384	690	149	253	18	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	323	296	62	11	0	6	17	59	7	4	2	209	270	307	578	98	234	18	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	335	317	72	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	269	319	588	91	246	12	3	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	219	48	8	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	219	289	333	622	114	269	19	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	323	300	76	17	0	6	12	45	8	0	0	253	302	370	672	117	286	14	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	335	317	72	17	0	4	11	41	4	0	1	227	269	319	588	91	246	12	3	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	242	219	48	8	1	5	14	47	7	1	0	219	289	333	622	114	269	19	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	323	300	76	17	0	6	12	45	8	0	0	253	302	370	672	117	286	14	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	TB	100%	322	297	66	14	1	5	15	51	7	2	0	224	277	330	607	106	251	16	5	273	71	-11	+0	+2	+6	+7	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	TB	100%	322	297	67	14	1	5	15	51	7	2	0	225	279	329	608	104	254	16	5	274	71	-11	+0	+2	+6	+7	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	TB	82%	298	276	60	13	0	5	13	48	7	1	0	219	272	319	591	100	248	16	4	267	67	-12	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	TB	82%	244	226	49	10	0	4	11	40	5	1	0	221	273	319	592	98	250	16	5	267	67	-10	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1741	1592	365	68	2	38	86	285	36	12	6	229	284	346	630	117	256	16	5	281	71	-49	+0	+40	+40	+38	7.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	136	25	1	14	32	106	13	4	2	229	283	345	628	116	255	16	5	281	71	-18	+0	+15	+15	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2977	2712	600	117	5	56	158	508	66	21	9	221	281	330	611	109	251	17	5	273	71	-62	+0	+42	+47	+46	7.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	131	26	1	12	34	111	14	5	2	221	279	329	609	108	251	17	5	273	71	-19	+0	+13	+14	+14	2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Al Spohrer'28-'35 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,383 PA	3.6	2,383	6	13	230*	282*	337*	+43	+0	2.6	2.9
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.1	2,029	39	13	227	278	338	+36	+48	2.9	2.9
/162	664	13	4	+11.9	+15.7	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Fortes (OGILVIE)	30	45	35	45	45	222/275/327	105	251	5	2	16%	5%	71	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michel Hernandez 2009 · MLB	30	50	40	40	47	238/280/325	87	266	7	4	14%	5%	71	-0.8	231/282/312	81	263	7	6	14%	6%	69	-0.9	231/290/293	62	261	4	4	13%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Mike Nickeas 2013 · MLB	30	46	40	42→40	48	222/281/312	89	263	8	3	19%	7%	69	-0.9	195/252/283	88	243	8	5	22%	6%	52	-2.2	158/217/219	61	199	6	1	23%	6%	23	-1.4
✕Cody Clark 2012 · AAA	30	43	43→45	44→40	45	213/262/328	114	247	11	5	19%	5%	65	-1.2	184/228/267	83	233	8	4	24%	5%	38	-3.2	150/189/202	52	192	5	0	25%	4%	7	-2.0
✕Carlos Maldonado 2009 · MLB	30	46→50	42→40	44→40	46	225/280/329	104	273	10	5	22%	7%	72	-0.7	209/267/308	99	264	10	6	23%	7%	63	-1.4	177/248/266	90	233	9	2	27%	8%	45	-0.8
✕Luis Ordaz 2006 · AAA	30	50	41→40	48→50	45	240/276/338	99	270	8	7	15%	5%	72	-0.7	249/278/346	97	285	7	10	15%	4%	75	-0.5	255/280/337	82	298	6	10	16%	3%	73	-0.3
✕Humberto Sosa 2016 · AAA	30	45→48	42→45	45	42	224/262/321	98	271	11	4	22%	5%	63	-1.3	212/258/303	91	269	10	6	24%	6%	58	-1.7	203/254/315	112	253	14	2	25%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Jose Montenegro 2006 · AAA	30	48	42→40	40→30	52	231/290/332	101	251	10	5	13%	8%	76	-0.4	229/292/328	99	267	9	7	17%	8%	77	-0.3	233/305/303	70	281	6	0	18%	9%	72	-0.2
✕Jesús Sucre 2019 · MLB	31	46	43→40	48→40	44	229/269/331	103	258	12	6	17%	4%	69	-0.9	223/270/311	88	267	7	6	18%	5%	64	-1.3	217/258/270	53	269	0	0	18%	4%	47	-1.1
✕Austin Wynns 2021 · MLB	30	45→51	42→45	46→40	45	223/276/318	95	270	11	4	22%	6%	68	-1.0	235/299/348	113	288	13	5	22%	7%	84	+0.2	233/301/333	100	289	11	3	22%	7%	80	-0.0
✕John McDonald 2005 · MLB	30	46	41→40	46→50	46	221/266/322	101	247	8	7	14%	5%	65	-1.2	235/282/324	89	267	6	13	14%	6%	72	-0.7	235/265/358	123	252	13	4	13%	3%	74	-0.2
✕Jhonatan Solano 2016 · MLB	30	42	41→45	46→40	43	205/243/298	93	230	10	4	16%	4%	51	-2.2	209/251/289	80	236	7	5	14%	4%	52	-2.2	199/237/249	49	224	3	0	12%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Xorge Carrillo 2019 · AAA	30	44	42→40	45→30	41	219/266/319	100	282	10	5	26%	5%	65	-1.2	239/298/357	118	280	12	7	19%	6%	86	+0.3	251/312/356	105	283	10	2	15%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Jason Hill 2007 · AAA	30	45→54	45	45→30	44	223/267/345	122	254	12	4	18%	5%	71	-0.8	241/280/350	109	281	10	5	18%	5%	77	-0.3	259/293/365	105	299	9	1	16%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Graterol 2018 · MLB	29	48	38→40	46→30	42	230/263/308	78	266	6	6	16%	3%	60	-1.6	233/267/305	72	258	5	4	12%	3%	61	-1.5	235/271/284	48	260	3	0	10%	3%	55	-0.7
✕Darwin Barney 2016 · MLB	30	46→56	40	45→50	46	222/267/314	91	246	8	7	14%	5%	63	-1.3	238/284/340	102	275	10	9	17%	6%	76	-0.4	244/291/341	97	283	9	8	17%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Cam Gallagher 2023 · MLB	30	44	43→45	47→30	46	217/274/329	112	274	10	4	24%	7%	70	-0.8	195/244/294	99	266	8	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	124/153/165	41	182	0	0	31%	3%	-14	-1.7
✕Andy Cannizaro 2009 · AAA	30	50→53	39→40	43→45	49	238/293/325	88	267	7	5	14%	6%	76	-0.4	228/282/315	87	262	7	6	15%	6%	70	-0.9	222/276/277	55	257	2	0	13%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Chris Stewart 2011 · AAA	29	48	41→45	46→45	49	233/298/332	100	262	9	4	15%	6%	80	-0.1	216/282/308	92	244	8	7	15%	7%	69	-0.9	260/323/305	45	309	1	0	15%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Wil Nieves 2008 · MLB	30	49→56	39→40	48→40	45	232/263/319	87	253	7	5	12%	4%	63	-1.4	233/280/313	80	275	6	5	17%	6%	68	-1.0	264/287/344	79	323	6	2	20%	3%	78	-0.1
✕Steve Holm 2010 · MLB	30	45	44→50	43→40	47	220/282/336	116	262	11	4	20%	7%	75	-0.5	200/264/298	98	252	8	4	23%	7%	60	-1.6	183/252/262	79	234	5	1	23%	7%	47	-1.0

Nick Fortes

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps