Austin Riley

3B Atlanta Braves
Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs MLB Svc 6.802 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202427MLBATL469.256/.323/.4611901202.2
202528MLBATL447.260/.309/.4281621061.5
202629MLBATL630.219/.293/.364199850.6
2027PROJ30MLBATL550.235/.303/.399197971.1
2028PROJ31MLBATL617.230/.297/.388214920.6
2029PROJ32MLBATL516.224/.290/.37417387-0.0
Last 3 seasons WAR 4.3  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 1.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2032Service6.802First FA2028Options2
2027Ext$21M2028Ext$21M2029Ext$21M2030Ext$21M2031Ext$21M2032Ext$21M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Avg EV90
Chase%90
Barrel%89
Bat Spd83
Whiff%79
xwOBA67
Form.228/.294/.387 ▼ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .235/.300/.399
CompsAderlin Rodríguez (age 30) · Brandon Dixon (age 30) · Jose Leon (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 10197vR 86
AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .303 / .399
PA550
HR19
SB7
K%30
BB%7
BABIP309
ISO163
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -1.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +11.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +1.30+1.3WAR
0.01.53.01.30.60.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$70M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 46 / POW 59
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT46
Whiff%
798.0%
xAVG
340.238
POWER59
Barrel%
8914.0
Avg EV
9092.2
Bat Spd
8374.9
EYE43
Chase%
9018.7%
SPEED45
Sprint
6328.0
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%32%▼33% over 63 PA (45d) · proj 30%
BB%7%·7% over 110 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.159·.152 over 99 AB (60d) · proj .164
HR/BB5.9%·6.2% over 64 BBE (60d) · proj 5.7%
BABIP.306·.267 over 60 BIP (60d) · proj .309
SLASH.228/.294/.387▼proj .235/.300/.399
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1032 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
258
774
—
wRC+
123
104
◀◀L
wOBA
350
322
◀L
ISO
186
180
◀L
BABIP
301
319
▶R
K%
19.8%
28.3%
◀◀L
BB%
9.3%
6.6%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2019
Service   6.802 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$21M+1.3$10M-$11M
2028Ext$21M+0.6$2M-$17M
2029Ext$21M———
2030Ext$21M———
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $85M $11M -$62M
Options · projected decision
2033CLUB OPT$21.2M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2034CLUB OPT$20.0M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$62M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201518 ROKDanville Braves — 252217 6614112 26656 22 304394544937 240378 2610 406 79 — — — — — —
201619 ARome Braves — 543495 13439220 391473 33 271328479807 208341 277 351 68 — — — — — —
201720 AAMississippi Braves — 203178 56918 20503 20 315393511904 197393 2510 396 114 — — — — — —
201720 A+Florida Fire Frogs — 339306 7710112 23745 02 252314408723 157289 227 319 65 — — — — — —
201720 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 7770 21516 4213 11 3003646571.021 357349 275 437 182 — — — — — —
201821 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 324291 8217012 26954 10 282349464813 182374 298 358 83 — — — — — —
201821 AAMississippi Braves — 10999 331036 8282 00 3333946771.071 343415 267 458 146 — — — — — —
201821 ROKGCL Braves — 2218 5301 361 00 2784096111.020 333364 2714 439 80 — — — — — —
201922 MLBAtlanta Braves — 297274 6211118 161085 02 226281471752 245293 365 327 102 +1 -1 -2 -5 +6 -0.1
201922 AAAGwinnett Stripers — 194174 5113015 20390 00 293366626992 333300 2010 426 127 — — — — — —
202023 MLBAtlanta Braves — 206188 45718 16491 00 239302415717 176280 248 317 99 -0 +0 -2 +1 +4 0.3
202124 MLBAtlanta Braves — 662590 17933133 5216812 01 303372531902 227368 258 391 150 +39 -0 -3 +2 +14 5.4
202225 MLBAtlanta Braves — 693615 16839238 5716817 20 273351528880 255315 248 383 144 +37 +0 -4 +2 +15 5.2
202326 MLBAtlanta Braves — 715636 17932337 591729 31 281351516867 234324 248 374 137 +31 +0 +1 +3 +15 5.1
202427 MLBAtlanta Braves — 469425 10926219 371185 00 256323461785 205310 258 345 120 +11 +0 -1 +2 +10 2.2
202528 MLBAtlanta Braves — 447416 10820116 271283 21 260309428737 168337 296 326 106 +3 +0 +0 +2 +10 1.5
202629 MLBAtlanta Braves — 630566 12421219 4820111 92 219293364657 145299 328 294 85 -11 +1 +0 +2 +14 0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 41193710 97418913188 312111263 167 263330473803 210322 278 351 124 +117 +0 -10 +8 +89 20.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201518 ROK MLEDanville Braves — 252227 48919 16926 22 211281379660 167293 376 285 79 — — — — — —
201619 A MLERome Braves — 543508 10831216 262053 33 213255376631 163305 385 268 68 — — — — — —
201720 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 203184 51917 14633 20 277338451789 174368 317 337 114 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLEFlorida Fire Frogs — 339312 678111 171095 02 215266353619 138272 325 264 65 — — — — — —
201821 AAA MLEGwinnett Stripers — 324299 6913010 181204 10 231283375658 144340 376 291 83 — — — — — —
201821 AA MLEMississippi Braves — 109103 29925 4352 00 282321553874 272382 324 384 146 — — — — — —
201821 ROK MLEGCL Braves — 2220 4201 191 00 200273450723 250261 415 287 80 — — — — — —
201922 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 297277 6211118 131085 02 224271466737 242293 364 320 102 +1 -1 -2 -5 +6 -0.1
201922 AAA MLEGwinnett Stripers — 194180 4511014 14490 00 250304544849 294264 257 356 127 — — — — — —
202023 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 206189 45718 15491 00 238298413710 175280 247 314 99 -0 +0 -2 +1 +4 0.3
202124 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 662592 17933133 5016812 01 302369529897 226368 258 389 150 +39 -0 -3 +2 +14 5.4
202225 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 693616 16839238 5616817 20 273350528877 255315 248 382 144 +37 +0 -4 +2 +15 5.2
202326 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 715640 17932337 551729 31 280345512858 233324 248 370 137 +31 +0 +1 +3 +15 5.1
202427 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 469425 10926219 371185 00 256323461785 205310 258 345 120 +11 +0 -1 +2 +10 2.2
202528 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 447417 10820116 261283 21 259307427734 168337 296 325 106 +3 +0 +0 +2 +10 1.5
202629 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 630567 12421219 4720111 92 219291363655 145299 327 293 85 -11 +1 +0 +2 +14 0.6
201518 ROK MLEDanville Braves — 252227 48919 16926 22 211281379660 167302 376 285 79 — — — — — —
201518 ROK RAWDanville Braves — 252217 6614112 26656 22 304394544937 240378 2610 406 79 — — — — — —
201619 A MLERome Braves — 543508 10831216 262053 33 213255376631 163314 385 268 68 — — — — — —
201619 A RAWRome Braves — 543495 13439220 391473 33 271328479807 208341 277 351 68 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLE3 teams — 619566 13319220 3519711 33 235292382674 147317 326 291 83 — — — — — —
201720 A+ RAW3 teams — 619554 15424326 4714511 33 278346473819 195328 238 359 83 — — — — — —
201821 AAA MLE3 teams — 455421 10224216 241637 10 242294423717 181351 365 313 98 — — — — — —
201821 AAA RAW3 teams — 455408 12030319 371297 10 294363522885 228384 288 385 98 — — — — — —
201922 MLB MLE2 teams — 491457 10722132 271575 02 234284497781 263278 325 334 112 +7 -1 -2 -5 +11 1.0
201922 MLB RAW2 teams — 491448 11324133 361475 02 252315531846 279296 307 366 112 +7 -1 -2 -5 +11 1.0
202023 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 206189 45718 15491 00 238298413710 175278 247 314 99 -0 +0 -2 +1 +4 0.3
202023 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 206188 45718 16491 00 239302415717 176280 248 317 99 -0 +0 -2 +1 +4 0.3
202124 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 662592 17933133 5016812 01 302369529897 226366 258 389 150 +39 -0 -3 +2 +14 5.4
202124 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 662590 17933133 5216812 01 303372531902 227368 258 391 150 +39 -0 -3 +2 +14 5.4
202225 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 693616 16839238 5616817 20 273350528877 255314 248 382 144 +37 +0 -4 +2 +15 5.2
202225 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 693615 16839238 5716817 20 273351528880 255315 248 383 144 +37 +0 -4 +2 +15 5.2
202326 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 715640 17932337 551729 31 280345512858 233321 248 370 137 +31 +0 +1 +3 +15 5.1
202326 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 715636 17932337 591729 31 281351516867 234324 248 374 137 +31 +0 +1 +3 +15 5.1
202427 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 469425 10926219 371185 00 256323461785 205310 258 345 120 +11 +0 -1 +2 +10 2.2
202427 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 469425 10926219 371185 00 256323461785 205310 258 345 120 +11 +0 -1 +2 +10 2.2
202528 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 447417 10820116 261283 21 259307427734 168336 296 325 106 +3 +0 +0 +2 +10 1.5
202528 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 447416 10820116 271283 21 260309428737 168337 296 326 106 +3 +0 +0 +2 +10 1.5
202629 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 630567 12421219 4720111 92 219291363655 145298 327 293 85 -11 +1 +0 +2 +14 0.6
202629 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 630566 12421219 4820111 92 219293364657 145299 328 294 85 -11 +1 +0 +2 +14 0.6
201518 ROK MLEDanville Braves — 252228 48919 16926 22 211281377658 167293 376 285 79 — — — — — —
201619 A MLERome Braves — 543509 10831216 262053 33 212255375630 163305 385 268 68 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLE3 teams — 619568 13319220 3519711 33 234292380673 146308 326 291 83 — — — — — —
201821 AAA MLE3 teams — 455421 10224216 241637 10 242294423717 181346 365 313 98 — — — — — —
201922 MLB MLE2 teams — 491456 10722132 271575 02 235284498782 263282 325 334 112 — — — — — —
202023 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 206188 45718 15491 00 239298415712 176280 247 314 99 — — — — — —
202124 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 662595 17933133 5016812 01 301369526895 225368 258 389 150 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 693615 16839238 5616817 20 273350528878 255315 248 382 144 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 715645 17932337 551729 31 278345509854 231324 248 370 137 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 469424 10926219 371185 00 257323462786 205310 258 345 120 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 447415 10820116 261283 21 260307429736 169337 296 325 106 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 630567 12421219 4720111 92 219291363655 145299 327 293 85 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 469424 10926219 371185 00 257323462786 205310 258 345 120 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 447415 10820116 261283 21 260307429736 169337 296 325 106 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 630567 12421219 4720111 92 219291363655 145299 327 293 85 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLEATL 100% 550497 11720219 401668 72 235303399702 164309 307 311 97 -2 +1 -2 +2 +12 1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXATL 100% 550497 11720219 401668 72 235303399702 164309 307 311 97 -2 +1 -2 +2 +12 1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLEATL 100% 617559 12922221 441889 41 230297388685 158304 307 305 92 -6 +0 -5 +2 +13 0.6
202932 MLB MLEATL 100% 516468 10517117 361607 31 224290374664 149298 317 296 87 -8 +0 -5 +2 +11 -0.0
203033 MLB MLEATL 100% 486443 9615115 341536 21 216281356638 140291 317 285 79 -12 +0 -6 +2 +11 -0.6
202831 MLB CTXATL 100% 617559 12922221 441889 41 230297388685 158304 307 305 92 -6 +0 -5 +2 +13 0.6
202932 MLB CTXATL 100% 516468 10517117 361607 31 224290374664 149298 317 296 87 -8 +0 -5 +2 +11 -0.0
203033 MLB CTXATL 100% 486443 9615115 341536 21 216281356638 140291 317 285 79 -12 +0 -6 +2 +11 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 57385180 130424317241 426161385 2510 252319445764 193316 287 336 105 +92 +1 -26 +14 +124 20.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 14828227 4818310 31 252320445765 193317 287 336 105 +10 +0 -3 +2 +14 2.4
Career— MLE — 83517592 185735726335 5682485120 4120 245307431738 186315 307 323 105 +89 +2 -28 +16 +136 22.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650591 14528226 441939 32 245307431739 186316 307 323 105 +9 +0 -3 +2 +14 2.3