Pedro Avila
P
Columbus Clippers
Age 29
RHP
5'11" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.31
FIP4.43
K%22.7%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 125 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p4825.0%
K%
p5523.2%
xwOBA vs
p310.334
CH+5.0 (22%)
SI (12%)
CU (16%)
FB-1.1 (51%)
SL-2.6 (11%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 14 | 13 | 64 | 259 | 92 | 18 | 1 | 93% | 4.5 | 24.2% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 0.5% | 2.12 | 2.46 | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 14 | 13 | 64 | 259 | 92 | 18 | 1 | 93% | 4.5 | 35.5% | 6.9% | 28.6% | 0.4% | 2.12 | 1.26 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 20 | 20 | 93 | 395 | 92 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 4.7 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 3.48 | 4.30 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Hagerstown Suns | 20 | 20 | 93 | 395 | 92 | 38 | 10 | 100% | 4.7 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 2.5% | 3.48 | 3.75 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 129 | 542 | 170 | 33 | 5 | 96% | 5.4 | 23.5% | 7.1% | 16.4% | 1.2% | 3.70 | 2.67 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 129 | 542 | 170 | 33 | 5 | 96% | 5.4 | 31.4% | 6.1% | 25.3% | 0.9% | 3.70 | 1.74 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 24 | 20 | 131 | 568 | 142 | 54 | 8 | 83% | 5.4 | 19.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.27 | 4.29 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 24 | 20 | 131 | 568 | 142 | 54 | 8 | 83% | 5.4 | 25.0% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 1.4% | 4.27 | 2.96 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 7 | 29 | 126 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 88% | 3.7 | 18.8% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.60 | 5.82 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 8 | 7 | 29 | 126 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 88% | 3.7 | 28.6% | 8.7% | 19.8% | 4.0% | 4.60 | 3.99 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 12 | 79 | 347 | 87 | 39 | 6 | 32% | 2.1 | 20.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 2.3% | 4.12 | 4.08 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 12 | 79 | 347 | 87 | 39 | 6 | 32% | 2.1 | 25.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 1.7% | 4.12 | 3.37 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 24 | 116 | 493 | 129 | 50 | 17 | 75% | 3.6 | 23.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.58 | 4.13 | +1.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 24 | 116 | 493 | 129 | 50 | 17 | 75% | 3.6 | 26.2% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 3.4% | 4.58 | 4.07 | +1.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 21 | 106 | 490 | 102 | 56 | 16 | 64% | 3.2 | 19.6% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 6.03 | 4.74 | +0.8 |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 21 | 106 | 490 | 102 | 56 | 16 | 64% | 3.2 | 20.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 6.03 | 4.72 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 54 | 0 | 83 | 353 | 82 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 2.3% | 3.81 | 3.64 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 54 | 0 | 83 | 353 | 82 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 2.3% | 3.81 | 3.64 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | 15 | 13 | 60 | 279 | 49 | 32 | 14 | 87% | 4.0 | 15.5% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.50 | 6.35 | -1.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 62 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CLE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 125 | 553 | 111 | 62 | 21 | — | — | 20.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 5.84 | 5.35 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 6 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 4.31 | 4.05 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 69 | 290 | 64 | 32 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 64 | 271 | 57 | 31 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 10 | 59 | 250 | 51 | 30 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.12 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.50 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 6 | 6 | 35 | 148 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 7 | 7 | 40 | 169 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 4.96 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 90 | 26 | 254 | 1087 | 247 | 118 | 27 | 29% | 2.8 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 4.02 | 3.94 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 21 | 200 | 857 | 195 | 93 | 21 | 29% | 2.8 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 2.5% | 4.02 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 261 | 153 | 889 | 3852 | 798 | 403 | 100 | 59% | 3.4 | 20.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.37 | 4.10 | +13.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 34 | 200 | 867 | 180 | 91 | 22 | 59% | 3.4 | 20.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 4.37 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro Avila (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 2.7% | — | 4.86 | 21.2% | 9.7% | 192 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 73 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 72 |
| Anthony Bass R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.31 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% | .356 | 3.47 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 141 | +0.16 | 2.93 | 432 | 70 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.37 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.49 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.12 | 3.37 | 205 | 67 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 67 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.94 | 22.6% | 12.3% | 2.2% | .271 | 4.11 | 14.9% | 9.0% | 43 | +0.17 | 3.39 | 382 | 66 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 66 |
| Michael Bowden R 2025 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SP- | 3.25 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 1.4% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 141 | 65 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.76 | 19.9% | 7.2% | 2.6% | .347 | 3.99 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 169 | +0.23 | 3.73 | 725 | 64 |
| Kanekoa Texeira R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.12 | 14.5% | 11.2% | 1.5% | .280 | 4.05 | 10.2% | -0.2% | 63 | -0.07 | 4.05 | 165 | 64 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.28 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .316 | 3.71 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.57 | 3.16 | 593 | 64 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 63 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 63 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 63 |
| Kolton Mahoney R 2024 · 3.59 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.59 | 19.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 302 | 62 |
| Jacob Turner R 2024 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.69 | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 340 | 62 |
| Tiago Da Silva R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.30 | 19.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | .278 | 2.36 | 21.4% | 18.5% | 98 | -0.94 | 2.11 | 287 | 62 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 62 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 62 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 66 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 1.16 | 4.60 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |