Bennett Sousa
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
+0.8
WAR
Age 31
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA3.35
FIP3.69
xFIP3.31
SIERA2.95
K%27.2%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%18.9%
IP43
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
STUF7070
CTRL5555
CMD6565
K†6565
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p9036.8%
K%
p9029.6%
xwOBA vs
p900.266
SL+9.3 (58%)
FB+0.8 (42%)
SI (1%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 20 | 0 | 35 | 134 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 20.0% | 9.3% | 0.0% | 1.27 | 2.59 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 43 | 0 | 65 | 266 | 74 | 12 | 7 | 20.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.49 | 3.93 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 41 | 0 | 47 | 200 | 71 | 20 | 7 | 29.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | 3.61 | 3.97 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 53 | 0 | 48 | 212 | 47 | 20 | 7 | 20.2% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 5.85 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Houston Astros | 27 | 0 | 29 | 121 | 39 | 11 | 3 | 30.0% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 3.45 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 30 | MLB | Houston Astros | 48 | 0 | 56 | 216 | 64 | 15 | 4 | 29.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 2.59 | 2.69 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | HOU | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 54 | 13 | 5 | 29.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 2.95 | 3.38 | +0.8 |
| 2026 Total | 31 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 45 | 189 | 58 | 14 | 5 | 30.9% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 2.82 | 3.23 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 50 | 13 | 5 | 28.7% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 3.37 | 3.59 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 46 | 13 | 5 | 27.6% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 3.63 | 3.77 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 37 | — | 37 | 158 | 42 | 13 | 5 | 26.7% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 3.83 | 3.94 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | HOU | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 38 | 12 | 5 | 25.9% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 3.99 | 4.10 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 33 | — | 33 | 139 | 35 | 12 | 5 | 25.1% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.15 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 37 | MLB | HOU | 30 | — | 30 | 129 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.32 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 38 | MLB | HOU | 28 | — | 28 | 119 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 234 | 0 | 282 | 1156 | 289 | 98 | 31 | 25.0% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 3.28 | 3.53 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 0 | 200 | 819 | 205 | 69 | 22 | 25.0% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 3.28 | 3.53 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bennett Sousa (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.38 | 29.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | — | 3.76 | 27.7% | 19.9% | 118 | +0.38 | — | — | — |
| Boone Logan L 2026 · 2.64 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.64 | 30.5% | 8.0% | 2.0% | .207 | 3.79 | 28.5% | 17.9% | 32 | +1.15 | 2.64 | 113 | 76 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.62 | 29.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 113 | 73 |
| Tony Sipp L 2027 · 2.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 2.68 | 28.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | .267 | 4.36 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 120 | +1.68 | 2.19 | 195 | 73 |
| Brooks Raley L 2027 · 3.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.28 | 32.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | .208 | 2.78 | 28.4% | 20.4% | 157 | -0.50 | 1.74 | 203 | 73 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.56 | 22.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | .353 | 3.79 | 14.1% | 9.5% | 56 | +0.23 | 3.42 | 152 | 70 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2027 · 2.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.66 | 29.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.68 | 26.9% | 16.5% | 124 | +1.02 | 2.66 | 166 | 69 |
| James Paxton L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 28.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% | .358 | 4.65 | 24.2% | 14.5% | 118 | +1.19 | 2.40 | 924 | 67 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.70 | 21.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .311 | 4.62 | 22.4% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.92 | 3.70 | 181 | 66 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2029 · 2.57 FIP | 34 | SU | 2.57 | 24.2% | 9.2% | 0.6% | .307 | 3.31 | 22.6% | 14.3% | 71 | +0.74 | 2.57 | 109 | 66 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.63 | 24.0% | 7.6% | 2.9% | .273 | 3.65 | 25.8% | 18.9% | 283 | +0.02 | 2.58 | 922 | 65 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 3.39 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.39 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 2.98 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.41 | 1.81 | 421 | 65 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.70 | 25.3% | 10.4% | 2.6% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 223 | 65 |
| Tony Watson L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.48 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .227 | 3.50 | 21.4% | 16.9% | 187 | -0.98 | 2.22 | 405 | 64 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.27 | 27.2% | 11.9% | 1.7% | .312 | 3.37 | 31.7% | 18.8% | 144 | +0.10 | 2.32 | 455 | 64 |
| Tyler Lyons L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.65 | 27.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65 | 376 | 64 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.68 | 20.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .281 | 2.38 | 23.3% | 21.0% | 44 | -1.30 | 2.38 | 306 | 63 |
| Danny Coulombe L 2026 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.00 | 26.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | .315 | 2.71 | 26.9% | 20.1% | 93 | -0.29 | 2.48 | 461 | 63 |
| Sam Freeman L 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.43 | 26.9% | 13.9% | 1.5% | .304 | 5.61 | 16.8% | 5.5% | 59 | +2.18 | 3.06 | 299 | 62 |
| Aaron Loup L 2025 · 3.15 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.15 | 24.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .364 | 2.52 | 25.1% | 18.8% | 82 | -0.63 | 2.07 | 363 | 62 |
| Jared Koenig L 2026 · 3.00 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.00 | 25.4% | 7.1% | 2.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 455 | 62 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.