Adam Hall
2B Nashville Sounds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A+/ROK2 orgs | 45 | .158/.289/.263 | 0 | 2 | -9 | — | .119/.200/.214 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAMIL | 208 | .262/.379/.279 | 0 | 10 | 70 | — | .239/.335/.256 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/AAMIL | 283 | .232/.319/.305 | 1 | 25 | 52 | — | .204/.280/.266 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBMIL | 16 | .171/.241/.231 | 0 | 1 | 37 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 29 | MLBMIL | 51 | .172/.242/.233 | 0 | 2 | 38 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 534 | 463 | 138 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 117 | 22 | 33 | 9 | 298 | 387 | 395 | 782 | 97 | 387 | 22 | 8 | 355 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 338 | 294 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 100 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 248 | 337 | 337 | 674 | 88 | 361 | 30 | 7 | 309 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 212 | 182 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 58 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 253 | 355 | 330 | 685 | 77 | 363 | 27 | 8 | 319 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 30 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 385 | 429 | 462 | 890 | 77 | 417 | 13 | 3 | 375 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 22 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 273 | 118 | 390 | 59 | 71 | 14 | 23 | 217 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 23 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 381 | 685 | 143 | 385 | 35 | 9 | 305 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 208 | 172 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 51 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 262 | 379 | 279 | 658 | 17 | 366 | 25 | 11 | 314 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 160 | 144 | 32 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 312 | 613 | 90 | 356 | 35 | 5 | 283 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 123 | 102 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 30 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 245 | 344 | 294 | 638 | 49 | 342 | 24 | 11 | 297 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 534 | 479 | 117 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 155 | 22 | 33 | 9 | 244 | 317 | 322 | 638 | 77 | 339 | 29 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 338 | 301 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 135 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 196 | 278 | 256 | 533 | 60 | 333 | 40 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 212 | 187 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 71 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 235 | 322 | 299 | 622 | 64 | 365 | 33 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 30 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 308 | 357 | 346 | 703 | 38 | 334 | 20 | 3 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 22 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 182 | 105 | 287 | 53 | 56 | 18 | 14 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 23 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 217 | 318 | 536 | 136 | 285 | 52 | 4 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 208 | 180 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 63 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 335 | 256 | 591 | 17 | 352 | 30 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 160 | 146 | 29 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 67 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 199 | 269 | 281 | 550 | 82 | 359 | 42 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 123 | 109 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 211 | 295 | 248 | 543 | 37 | 312 | 32 | 7 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 534 | 479 | 117 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 155 | 22 | 33 | 9 | 244 | 317 | 322 | 638 | 77 | 350 | 29 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 534 | 463 | 138 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 117 | 22 | 33 | 9 | 298 | 387 | 395 | 782 | 97 | 387 | 22 | 8 | 355 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 338 | 301 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 135 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 196 | 278 | 256 | 533 | 60 | 341 | 40 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 338 | 294 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 100 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 248 | 337 | 337 | 674 | 88 | 361 | 30 | 7 | 309 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 213 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 77 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 249 | 331 | 315 | 645 | 66 | 377 | 32 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 242 | 208 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 62 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 269 | 364 | 346 | 710 | 77 | 372 | 26 | 8 | 326 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 45 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 178 | 171 | 349 | 73 | 160 | 36 | 9 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 45 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 158 | 289 | 263 | 552 | 105 | 222 | 24 | 16 | 262 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 208 | 180 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 63 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 335 | 256 | 591 | 17 | 361 | 30 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 208 | 172 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 51 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 262 | 379 | 279 | 658 | 17 | 366 | 25 | 11 | 314 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 256 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 106 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 203 | 277 | 266 | 542 | 62 | 340 | 37 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 283 | 246 | 57 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 86 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 232 | 319 | 305 | 624 | 73 | 350 | 30 | 7 | 289 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 534 | 478 | 117 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 155 | 22 | 33 | 9 | 245 | 317 | 322 | 639 | 77 | 339 | 29 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 338 | 301 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 135 | 16 | 26 | 1 | 196 | 278 | 256 | 533 | 60 | 333 | 40 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 242 | 214 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 77 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 248 | 331 | 313 | 644 | 65 | 361 | 32 | 6 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 45 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 178 | 171 | 349 | 73 | 173 | 36 | 9 | 155 | -9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 208 | 180 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 63 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 335 | 256 | 591 | 17 | 352 | 30 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 255 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 106 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 204 | 277 | 267 | 543 | 63 | 339 | 37 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 208 | 180 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 63 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 239 | 335 | 256 | 591 | 17 | 352 | 30 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 255 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 106 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 204 | 277 | 267 | 543 | 63 | 339 | 37 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 10% | 333 | 302 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 112 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 173 | 243 | 235 | 478 | 61 | 265 | 34 | 5 | 223 | 37 | -25 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 10% | 16 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 241 | 231 | 471 | 60 | 261 | 31 | 6 | 220 | 37 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 27% | 188 | 171 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 63 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 175 | 244 | 237 | 481 | 62 | 265 | 34 | 5 | 224 | 38 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 27% | 51 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 242 | 233 | 475 | 61 | 261 | 33 | 6 | 222 | 38 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 51 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 216 | 170 | 386 | 21 | 233 | 33 | 6 | 222 | 59 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 89 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 217 | 13 | 25 | 0 | 149 | 215 | 170 | 386 | 22 | 233 | 33 | 6 | 222 | 59 | -48 | +5 | -5 | +2 | +14 | -3.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1993 | 1783 | 381 | 58 | 11 | 10 | 113 | 667 | 81 | 125 | 17 | 214 | 291 | 275 | 566 | 62 | 331 | 33 | 6 | 256 | 59 | -25 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 124 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 218 | 26 | 41 | 6 | 213 | 290 | 275 | 565 | 62 | 331 | 34 | 6 | 256 | 59 | -48 | +3 | -3 | +2 | +14 | -3.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAANashville Sounds · 160 PAwOBA .276 → .245 (−31)K% 35.0% → 41.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.00% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 41.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 4.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.983 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 27.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 3.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.73% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .276 → .245; ISO .090 → .079; BABIP .356 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 123 PAwOBA .292 → .245 (−48)K% 24.4% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.39% | ÷0.932 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.57% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 7.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.25% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 2.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 25.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.091 | ×0.910 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.880 | ×1.002 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.170 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .292 → .245; ISO .049 → .040; BABIP .342 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 208 PAwOBA .310 → .272 (−37)K% 24.5% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.52% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.06% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 7.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.81% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 4.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.71% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 33.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.48% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 2.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.019 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.198 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .310 → .272; ISO .017 → .017; BABIP .366 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Orioles · 23 PAwOBA .297 → .168 (−129)K% 34.8% → 51.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.78% | ÷0.972 | ×1.440 | — | — | 51.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.056 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 4.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 17.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.960 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 5.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 5.35% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 98, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .297 → .168; ISO .143 → .077; BABIP .385 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 22 PAwOBA .213 → .142 (−71)K% 13.6% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷0.986 | ×1.310 | — | — | 18.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.73% | ÷0.982 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 13.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 5.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .213 → .142; ISO .059 → .050; BABIP .071 → .056. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABowie Baysox · 212 PAwOBA .313 → .278 (−35)K% 27.4% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.36% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.49% | ÷0.998 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.19% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 4.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.42% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 28.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.87% | ÷1.055 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 7.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.170 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.55% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .313 → .278; ISO .077 → .061; BABIP .363 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Orioles · 30 PAwOBA .391 → .313 (−78)K% 13.3% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.988 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷1.031 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 1.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.36% | ÷0.967 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 29.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.927 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .391 → .313; ISO .077 → .058; BABIP .417 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 338 PAwOBA .304 → .243 (−61)K% 29.6% → 39.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.59% | ÷1.002 | ×1.350 | — | — | 39.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.10% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.73% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 3.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.35% | ÷1.026 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 26.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.70% | ÷0.989 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.041 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 105, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .304 → .243; ISO .088 → .066; BABIP .361 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).