Mark Leiter Jr.
P
Athletics
+0.5
WAR
Age 35
RHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA3.93
FIP3.72
xFIP4.30
SIERA3.77
K%27.0%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%18.7%
IP39
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p7128.6%
K%
p3820.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.372
FB+0.9 (42%)
SI (25%)
CU (17%)
CT-1.3 (6%)
SL-2.4 (2%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 27 | 21 | 143 | 590 | 121 | 33 | 7 | 16.0% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 3.09 | 3.29 | +3.3 |
| 2016 | 25 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 23 | 17 | 104 | 424 | 94 | 30 | 9 | 18.0% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 3.39 | 3.65 | +1.9 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 34 | 16 | 121 | 519 | 122 | 35 | 23 | 22.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 4.77 | 4.14 | +1.6 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 43 | 0 | 57 | 267 | 61 | 22 | 10 | 19.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 5.08 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 30 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 25 | 19 | 115 | 472 | 145 | 31 | 14 | 26.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 3.77 | 3.48 | +2.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 41 | 10 | 90 | 376 | 105 | 29 | 14 | 26.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 4.32 | 4.00 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 69 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 77 | 24 | 7 | 28.6% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 3.50 | 3.25 | +1.3 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | New York Yankees | 60 | 0 | 58 | 256 | 86 | 21 | 8 | 33.6% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 2.97 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | New York Yankees | 60 | 0 | 49 | 223 | 54 | 18 | 5 | 24.7% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 4.74 | 3.16 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Athletics | 9 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 9.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | PHI | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 25.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 3.89 | 3.86 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 35 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 39 | 171 | 42 | 13 | 6 | 24.4% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 3.07 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | PHI | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 37 | 13 | 5 | 24.0% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.10 | 4.15 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | PHI | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 4.24 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | PHI | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.40 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 391 | 83 | 808 | 3436 | 792 | 255 | 98 | 23.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.04 | 3.67 | +15.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 21 | 200 | 851 | 196 | 63 | 24 | 23.1% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.04 | 3.67 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mark Leiter Jr. (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.86 | 25.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.32 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 102 | +0.46 | — | — | — |
| Josh Lueke R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 76 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 75 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 74 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 74 |
| Manny Acosta R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 73 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 72 |
| Ryan Madson R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | .284 | 2.39 | 27.2% | 22.6% | 112 | -1.59 | 1.43 | 240 | 72 |
| Hector Navarro R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.37 | 15.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | .281 | 2.96 | 15.2% | 9.0% | 81 | -1.41 | 2.30 | 126 | 72 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 71 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.04 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | .303 | 3.25 | 25.5% | 17.9% | 140 | -0.79 | 2.03 | 804 | 71 |
| Luis Ayala R 2028 · 3.03 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.03 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.25 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.22 | 3.01 | 119 | 71 |
| Peter Moylan R 2027 · 3.11 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.11 | 18.4% | 8.2% | 0.9% | .259 | 3.86 | 18.2% | 9.1% | 145 | +0.75 | 3.11 | 174 | 71 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.09 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.6% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 132 | 70 |
| Mark Lowe R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 70 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2029 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 70 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 2.89 FIP | 35 | SW | 2.89 | 22.3% | 7.3% | 1.4% | .248 | 4.29 | 17.8% | 8.8% | 62 | +1.40 | 2.89 | 326 | 69 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.71 | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 244 | 69 |
| Daniel Bard R 2026 · 2.86 FIP | 35 | SU | 2.86 | 25.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.60 | 25.3% | 12.0% | 175 | +0.74 | 2.45 | 200 | 69 |
| Matt Belisle R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.20 | 16.8% | 8.7% | 0.8% | .300 | 3.38 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 141 | +0.18 | 2.49 | 174 | 69 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2024 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.