Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 24 | 0 | 35 | 142 | 26 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.5% | 17.6% | -5.2% | 1.0% | 1.56 | 4.82 | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 24 | 0 | 35 | 142 | 26 | 20 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 14.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 1.56 | 3.71 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 31 | 147 | 51 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.6% | 19.5% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 2.61 | 4.56 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 31 | 147 | 51 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 34.7% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 1.4% | 2.61 | 3.07 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 38 | 4 | 57 | 266 | 88 | 46 | 3 | 11% | 1.5 | 26.8% | 19.0% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 4.89 | 3.92 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 38 | 4 | 57 | 266 | 88 | 46 | 3 | 11% | 1.5 | 33.1% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 1.1% | 4.89 | 3.12 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 57 | 270 | 102 | 48 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.6% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 1.3% | 4.89 | 3.48 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 57 | 270 | 102 | 48 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 37.8% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 1.5% | 4.89 | 2.96 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 27 | 1 | 30 | 146 | 45 | 22 | 4 | 4% | 1.1 | 27.1% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 7.28 | 4.41 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 27 | 1 | 30 | 146 | 45 | 22 | 4 | 4% | 1.1 | 30.8% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 7.28 | 4.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 29 | 0 | 36 | 154 | 68 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.0% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 1.1% | 3.50 | 3.18 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | NYM | 12 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | NYM | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 49 | 208 | 82 | 32 | 3 | — | — | 39.3% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 1.2% | 3.77 | 3.53 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 5 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 25.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.14 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 17 | 70 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.25 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 205 | 109 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 3.1% | 4.58 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 188 | 5 | 245 | 1125 | 302 | 204 | 17 | 3% | 1.3 | 26.9% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 4.22 | 3.98 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 153 | 4 | 200 | 917 | 246 | 166 | 14 | 3% | 1.3 | 26.9% | 18.1% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 4.22 | 3.98 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jefry Yan (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 25.3% | 12.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.67 | 24.8% | 12.4% | 20 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 81 |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 81 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 78 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 76 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 76 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 76 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 75 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 75 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 74 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 73 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 73 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 1.1% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 160 | 72 |
| Wandy Peralta L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .253 | 3.69 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 161 | -0.35 | 2.69 | 703 | 72 |
| Sam Moll L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.76 | 26.5% | 13.5% | 4.0% | .310 | 2.93 | 25.1% | 16.8% | 143 | -1.83 | 2.39 | 490 | 72 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 72 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 72 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 72 |
| Adam Loewen L 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.90 | 25.1% | 15.9% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 98 | -0.32 | 2.96 | 176 | 72 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.98 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.53 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.55 | 3.94 | 470 | 71 |
| Dan Runzler L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 71 |