Brian Howard — OGILVIE

Brian Howard P Midland RockHounds

Age 31 RHP 6'9" / 213 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 102

ERA4.50

FIP4.50

K%22.3%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	139	571	140	36	16	96%	5.8	19.3%	7.0%	12.3%	3.2%	2.91	4.11	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	139	571	140	36	16	96%	5.8	24.5%	6.3%	18.2%	2.8%	2.91	3.36	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	144	624	134	46	11	100%	5.3	17.6%	8.1%	9.5%	2.0%	4.30	3.76	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	144	624	134	46	11	100%	5.3	21.5%	7.4%	14.1%	1.8%	4.30	3.19	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	24	21	111	491	96	39	22	88%	4.6	17.2%	8.3%	8.9%	5.2%	5.86	5.58	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	24	21	111	491	96	39	22	88%	4.6	19.6%	7.9%	11.6%	4.5%	5.86	5.01	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	42	3	70	315	65	31	14	7%	1.7	18.2%	10.3%	7.8%	4.5%	6.72	5.37	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	42	3	70	315	65	31	14	7%	1.7	20.6%	9.8%	10.8%	4.4%	6.72	5.18	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	20	0	26	115	27	13	1	0%	1.3	19.0%	12.4%	6.6%	1.1%	4.21	3.67	—
2023	28	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	20	0	26	115	27	13	1	0%	1.3	19.0%	12.4%	6.6%	1.1%	4.21	3.67	—
2023	28	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	20	0	26	115	27	13	1	0%	1.3	23.5%	11.3%	12.2%	0.9%	4.21	3.02	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	OAK	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	22.3%	10.1%	12.2%	3.0%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	OAK	3	3	20	84	19	9	3	100%	6.7	21.9%	10.4%	11.5%	3.2%	4.62	4.71	+0.0
2027	32	MLB CTX	OAK	1	1	6	25	6	3	1	100%	6.0	21.9%	10.4%	11.5%	3.2%	4.62	4.71	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		1	1	6	26	6	3	1	100%	6.3	21.9%	10.4%	11.5%	3.2%	4.62	4.33	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		30	30	200	844	192	96	32	100%	6.6	21.9%	10.4%	11.5%	3.2%	4.62	4.33	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		137	74	490	2116	384	178	72	54%	3.6	18.1%	8.4%	9.7%	3.4%	4.59	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		56	30	200	864	157	73	29	54%	3.6	18.1%	8.4%	9.7%	3.4%	4.59	4.51	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brian Howard (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.50	22.3%	10.1%	3.0%	—	4.71	21.9%	11.5%	20	+0.21	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	72
Robert Stock R 2021 · 4.18 FIP	31	SW	4.18	23.0%	8.5%	3.5%	.301	7.24	13.8%	-0.4%	23	+3.06	2.74	378	70
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	67
Casey Coleman R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	31	SP-	4.79	15.2%	7.9%	3.6%	.344	5.06	18.4%	9.4%	78	+0.27	2.95	306	66
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	66
Jorge Martinez R 2016 · 3.53 FIP	31	SP-	3.53	12.9%	5.3%	1.6%	.266	3.71	16.5%	11.5%	154	+0.18	3.53	214	64
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	63
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	62
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	61
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	61
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	61
Lisalverto Bonilla R 2019 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	15.8%	12.6%	2.5%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	221	61
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	60
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	60
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	60
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	355	60
Paolo Espino R 2018 · 4.51 FIP	31	SW	4.51	18.7%	9.6%	3.2%	.348	4.42	20.4%	14.7%	202	-0.09	3.42	933	60
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	33	SW	4.95	18.3%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.81	11.4%	6.4%	27	-1.14	3.80	284	59
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	59
Matt Cain R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	31	SP-	4.95	18.1%	7.8%	4.4%	.313	4.82	13.2%	5.6%	124	-0.13	4.82	294	59