Brian Howard P Midland RockHounds
Age 31 RHP 6'9" / 213 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.03 (14 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201823MIX2 levels2423139571140361696%5.819.3%7.0%12.3%3.1%2.914.04
201823MIX2 levels2423139571140361696%5.824.5%6.3%18.2%2.8%2.913.36
201924MIX2 levels27271446241344611100%5.317.6%8.1%9.5%2.1%4.303.76
201924MIX2 levels27271446241344611100%5.321.5%7.4%14.1%1.8%4.303.19
202126AAALas Vegas Aviators242111149196392288%4.617.2%8.3%8.9%5.6%5.865.77
202126AAALas Vegas Aviators242111149196392288%4.619.6%7.9%11.6%4.5%5.865.01
202227AAALas Vegas Aviators423703156531147%1.718.2%10.3%7.8%4.2%6.725.21
202227AAALas Vegas Aviators423703156531147%1.720.6%9.8%10.8%4.4%6.725.18
202328AAMidland RockHounds20026115271310%1.319.0%12.4%6.6%1.1%4.213.70
202328AAMidland RockHounds20026115271310%1.323.5%11.3%12.2%0.9%4.213.02
▸ 2026 Season
202631MLBOAK2214601462100%7.123.2%9.4%13.8%3.0%4.344.34+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBOAK3320841983100%6.722.7%9.8%13.0%3.2%4.474.56-0.0
202732MLBOAK11625621100%6.022.7%9.8%13.0%3.2%4.474.56-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11626631100%6.322.7%9.8%13.0%3.2%4.474.18+0.0
/ 200 IP30302008441929632100%6.622.7%9.8%13.0%3.2%4.474.18+2.9
Career1377449021163841787254%3.618.1%8.4%9.7%3.4%4.594.52+5.1
/ 200 IP5630200864157733054%3.618.1%8.4%9.7%3.4%4.594.52+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Brian Howard (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.2%9.4%3.0% 4.56 22.7%13.0%20 +0.22
Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP 30 SP- 4.30 17.0%8.5%2.9%.323 3.16 158 70
Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.10 FIP 31 SW 4.10 23.0%8.5%3.4%.301 7.89 14.7%-1.9%23 +3.79 0.76 348 70
Mitch Lively R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 31 SP- 3.49 17.0%6.4%1.8%.304 2.51 158 65
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2024 · 3.84 FIP 29 SP- 3.84 17.3%10.9%1.5%.305 3.84 272 64
Ricky Nolasco R 2027 · 3.21 FIP 32 SP 3.21 20.2%6.9%1.7%.382 4.52 17.9%11.7%379 +1.31 3.21 425 64
Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 31 SP- 4.98 15.2%7.9%4.0%.344 5.00 18.4%9.4%78 +0.02 2.86 306 64
Steve Johnson R 2024 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.3%8.9%3.2%.321 2.17 152 63
Phil Hughes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 31 SP- 5.03 15.6%4.5%4.9%.328 6.34 21.1%15.2%33 +1.31 4.61 301 62
Jorge Martinez R 2026 · 3.42 FIP 31 SP- 3.42 12.9%5.3%1.4%.266 3.59 16.5%11.5%154 +0.17 3.42 214 62
Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 31 SP- 4.04 25.1%8.1%3.7%.261 4.12 22.8%12.5%96 +0.08 2.88 533 61
Yohan Pino R 2026 · 3.95 FIP 31 SP- 3.95 17.8%5.8%2.9%.312 5.48 15.2%11.6%35 +1.53 3.95 133 60
Mike Bolsinger R 2024 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.2%9.4%3.1%.317 3.55 327 60
Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 31 SW 4.57 20.8%6.4%4.4%.341 3.72 17.4%8.6%59 -0.85 2.71 598 60
Zack Segovia R 2027 · 5.00 FIP 32 SP 5.00 15.0%8.3%3.8%.314 3.41 20.2%14.3%39 -1.59 3.41 144 59
Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP 30 SW 5.41 18.3%10.8%4.5%.334 4.21 265 59
Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 59
David Hale R 2026 · 3.26 FIP 31 SW 3.26 16.4%5.5%1.6%.307 4.29 18.3%12.1%44 +1.03 3.26 493 59
Paul Clemens R 2024 · 4.76 FIP 29 SW 4.76 14.9%11.0%2.8%.264 4.76 247 59
Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 31 SP- 4.96 18.1%7.8%4.4%.313 4.83 13.2%5.6%124 -0.13 4.83 294 59
Paolo Espino R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 31 SW 4.33 18.7%9.6%2.9%.348 4.47 20.4%14.7%202 +0.14 3.45 933 59