Alex Young
P
FCL Nationals
Age 32
LHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
ROK
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION168 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.27
FIP4.57
xFIP4.23
SIERA4.00
K%19.8%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%10.6%
IP168
K†4545
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p1088.7
Whiff%
p9031.7%
K%
p5022.1%
xwOBA vs
p380.326
FB (39%)
SI (38%)
CU (14%)
CH (46%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.29 | +0.0 |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | 21 | 20 | 119 | 500 | 93 | 37 | 11 | 14.1% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 3.56 | 4.23 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Jackson Generals | 27 | 24 | 137 | 594 | 103 | 58 | 12 | 14.0% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 3.68 | 4.65 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | 29 | 21 | 131 | 566 | 109 | 38 | 15 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 5.17 | 4.19 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 37 | 23 | 138 | 607 | 135 | 46 | 20 | 21.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.04 | +2.2 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 15 | 7 | 46 | 204 | 39 | 14 | 11 | 19.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.44 | 5.19 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Indians | 50 | 2 | 65 | 300 | 55 | 27 | 13 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 6.23 | 5.14 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 58 | 1 | 62 | 260 | 71 | 19 | 5 | 25.0% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 2.92 | 3.12 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 29 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 65 | 0 | 56 | 242 | 54 | 20 | 10 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 3.72 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 30 | MLB | New York Mets | 48 | 0 | 48 | 196 | 43 | 18 | 4 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 2.83 | 3.70 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | WSH | 31 | 31 | 168 | 709 | 140 | 65 | 21 | 19.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.57 | +1.6 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 170 | 716 | 142 | 66 | 21 | 19.9% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.52 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 28 | 28 | 154 | 651 | 123 | 63 | 21 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.62 | 4.85 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 25 | 140 | 592 | 107 | 60 | 21 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 4.94 | 5.15 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 23 | 23 | 126 | 531 | 91 | 57 | 20 | 17.1% | 10.7% | 3.8% | 5.27 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 20 | 20 | 111 | 470 | 75 | 53 | 20 | 16.0% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 5.62 | 5.86 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 353 | 99 | 804 | 3479 | 625 | 295 | 104 | 18.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.30 | +10.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 25 | 200 | 866 | 156 | 73 | 26 | 18.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alex Young (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 19.8% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 5.14 | 18.1% | 7.9% | 420 | +0.57 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.20 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 256 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 405 | 76 |
| CC Sabathia L 2029 · 4.30 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.30 | 18.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | .311 | 3.96 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 481 | -0.34 | 3.75 | 756 | 76 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.05 | 19.8% | 10.5% | 2.4% | .298 | 4.12 | 21.8% | 11.6% | 139 | +0.07 | 2.90 | 864 | 75 |
| C.J. Wilson L 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 75 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.57 | 23.0% | 11.5% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.59 | 19.5% | 7.6% | 301 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 650 | 72 |
| Cole Hamels L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.76 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .294 | 4.05 | 21.4% | 12.9% | 480 | +0.29 | 3.22 | 893 | 72 |
| Eric Stults L 2029 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 69 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.30 | 22.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .290 | 6.22 | 8.7% | -4.3% | 12 | +1.92 | 3.72 | 395 | 61 |
| Yusei Kikuchi L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.90 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | .311 | 3.68 | 25.1% | 17.3% | 385 | -0.22 | 3.25 | 1,019 | 60 |
| Duane Below L 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.42 | 14.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 189 | 59 |
| Wade Miley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.19 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .284 | 3.77 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 230 | -0.42 | 3.36 | 1,167 | 59 |
| John Lannan L 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.76 | 8.2% | 7.7% | 2.5% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 284 | 55 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.79 | 24.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | .268 | 3.63 | 23.8% | 16.6% | 181 | -0.16 | 2.65 | 922 | 55 |
| Tommy Milone L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.73 | 19.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | .259 | 4.33 | 20.1% | 13.7% | 129 | -0.40 | 3.37 | 875 | 49 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2028 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 42 |
| Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.03 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .283 | 4.89 | 17.9% | 9.6% | 279 | +0.86 | 2.09 | 1,046 | 41 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 40 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.35 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .264 | 5.50 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +1.15 | 4.35 | 327 | 40 |
| Tanner Roark R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.36 | 21.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | .313 | 4.76 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 94 | +0.40 | 3.13 | 942 | 39 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.3% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | 311 | 39 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.