Wade Miley
PosP
B/TL/L
Born1986-11-13
Age (2026)39
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 32 | 32 | 194 | 831 | 147 | 64 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 3.69 | +3.9 |
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 32 | 32 | 194 | 831 | 147 | 64 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 3.71 | +3.8 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 30 | 30 | 166 | 711 | 137 | 48 | 25 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.3% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 5.37 | 4.12 | +2.5 |
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 30 | 30 | 166 | 711 | 137 | 48 | 25 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.3% | 6.8% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 5.37 | 4.27 | +2.2 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 32 | 32 | 157 | 728 | 142 | 92 | 25 | 100% | 4.9 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.61 | 4.81 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 32 | 32 | 157 | 728 | 142 | 92 | 25 | 100% | 4.9 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 5.61 | 5.11 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 106 | 436 | 78 | 30 | 6 | 100% | 4.6 | 16.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 2.80 | 3.36 | +2.5 |
| 2018 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 106 | 436 | 78 | 30 | 6 | 100% | 4.6 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 1.4% | 2.80 | 3.21 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 33 | 33 | 167 | 720 | 140 | 61 | 23 | 100% | 5.1 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 3.98 | 4.19 | +2.4 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB | Houston Astros | 33 | 33 | 167 | 720 | 140 | 61 | 23 | 100% | 5.1 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 3.98 | 4.31 | +2.1 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 6 | 4 | 14 | 67 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 67% | 2.4 | 17.9% | 13.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 5.65 | 4.07 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 6 | 4 | 14 | 67 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 67% | 2.4 | 17.9% | 13.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 5.65 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 34 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 28 | 28 | 163 | 690 | 125 | 50 | 17 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 3.37 | 3.77 | +3.1 |
| 2021 | 34 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 28 | 28 | 163 | 690 | 125 | 50 | 17 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.1% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 3.37 | 3.84 | +3.0 |
| 2022 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 14 | 59 | 253 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 93% | 3.9 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 1.8% | 3.66 | 3.67 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 35 | MIX | 3 levels | 15 | 14 | 59 | 253 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 93% | 3.9 | 17.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 3.66 | 3.49 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 125 | 510 | 84 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 3.02 | 4.59 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 24 | 125 | 510 | 84 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 3.02 | 4.35 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 37 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 11.6% | 14.0% | -2.3% | 2.3% | 5.40 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 37 | MIX | 2 levels | 3 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 11.6% | 14.0% | -2.3% | 2.3% | 5.40 | 5.20 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 38 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 10 | 33 | 157 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 91% | 3.0 | 11.2% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 7.91 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 38 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 10 | 33 | 157 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 91% | 3.0 | 15.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.91 | 5.89 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 3 | 16 | 69 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.4 | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.69 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 11.0% | 9.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.28 | 5.68 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | CIN | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 11.0% | 9.5% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.33 | 5.73 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 217 | 213 | 1139 | 4903 | 878 | 420 | 137 | 98% | 5.2 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +15.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 37 | 200 | 861 | 154 | 74 | 24 | 98% | 5.2 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 237 | 233 | 1195 | 5146 | 924 | 434 | 135 | 98% | 5.0 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.30 | 4.09 | +18.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 39 | 200 | 861 | 155 | 73 | 23 | 98% | 5.0 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.30 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wade Miley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.24 | 12.1% | 8.8% | 3.1% | — | 5.68 | 11.0% | 1.5% | 20 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2023 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 53 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 53 |
| Barry Zito L 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 45 |
| CC Sabathia L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 39 | SP | 5.17 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 756 | 41 |
| Jason Lane L 2025 · 5.79 FIP | 38 | SP | 5.79 | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.79 | 164 | 33 |
| Francisco Campos R 2029 · 4.67 FIP | 42 | SP | 4.67 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .303 | 3.91 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.85 | 332 | 31 |
| Walter Silva R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 39 | SP | 4.32 | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | .294 | 4.23 | 10.0% | 1.8% | 235 | -0.09 | 3.68 | 428 | 31 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2024 · 5.00 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.00 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 235 | 29 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2024 · 5.53 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.53 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.98 | 211 | 29 |
| Tim Hudson R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.42 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 124 | 27 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.48 | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.48 | 156 | 26 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 217 | 21 |
| Mark Buehrle L 2023 · 4.08 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.08 | 11.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 199 | 15 |
| Aaron Harang R 2024 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 12 |
| John Lackey R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.88 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 577 | 8 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.31 | 14.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .253 | 4.63 | 17.0% | 8.7% | 360 | +0.32 | 4.31 | 574 | 0 |