Wade Miley

PosP

B/TL/L

Born1986-11-13

Age (2026)39

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	28	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	32	32	194	831	147	64	17	100%	6.1	17.7%	7.7%	10.0%	2.1%	4.46	3.73	+2.7
2015	28	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	32	32	194	831	147	64	17	100%	6.1	17.7%	7.7%	10.0%	2.0%	4.46	3.71	+2.8
2016	29	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	166	711	137	48	25	100%	5.5	19.3%	6.8%	12.5%	3.2%	5.37	4.07	+1.6
2016	29	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	166	711	137	48	25	100%	5.5	19.3%	6.8%	12.5%	3.5%	5.37	4.27	+1.2
2017	30	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	32	32	157	728	142	92	25	100%	4.9	19.5%	12.6%	6.9%	3.1%	5.61	4.76	+0.3
2017	30	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	32	32	157	728	142	92	25	100%	4.9	19.5%	12.6%	6.9%	3.4%	5.61	5.11	-0.4
2018	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	106	436	78	30	6	100%	4.6	16.7%	7.0%	9.7%	1.4%	2.80	3.36	+2.0
2018	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	106	436	78	30	6	100%	4.6	17.9%	6.9%	11.0%	1.4%	2.80	3.21	+2.2
2019	32	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	33	33	167	720	140	61	23	100%	5.1	19.4%	8.5%	11.0%	3.3%	3.98	4.33	+1.1
2019	32	MLB RAW	Houston Astros	33	33	167	720	140	61	23	100%	5.1	19.4%	8.5%	11.0%	3.2%	3.98	4.31	+1.2
2020	33	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	6	4	14	67	12	9	1	67%	2.4	17.9%	13.4%	4.5%	1.4%	5.65	4.05	+0.1
2020	33	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	6	4	14	67	12	9	1	67%	2.4	17.9%	13.4%	4.5%	1.5%	5.65	4.22	+0.1
2021	34	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	28	28	163	690	125	50	17	100%	5.8	18.1%	7.2%	10.9%	2.3%	3.37	3.74	+2.3
2021	34	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	28	28	163	690	125	50	17	100%	5.8	18.1%	7.2%	10.9%	2.5%	3.37	3.84	+2.1
2022	35	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	14	59	253	43	19	4	93%	3.9	17.3%	8.2%	9.1%	1.9%	3.66	3.71	+0.8
2022	35	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	14	59	253	43	19	4	93%	3.9	17.0%	7.5%	9.5%	1.6%	3.66	3.49	+1.0
2023	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	125	510	84	39	16	100%	5.2	16.1%	7.8%	8.4%	3.1%	3.02	4.43	+0.7
2023	36	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	24	125	510	84	39	16	100%	5.2	16.1%	7.8%	8.4%	3.1%	3.02	4.43	+0.7
2023	36	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	24	125	510	84	39	16	100%	5.2	16.5%	7.6%	8.8%	3.1%	3.02	4.35	+0.8
2024	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	10	43	5	6	1	100%	3.3	11.6%	14.0%	-2.3%	2.3%	5.40	5.16	-0.0
2024	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	3	3	10	43	5	6	1	100%	3.3	11.6%	14.0%	-2.3%	2.3%	5.40	5.16	-0.0
2024	37	MIX RAW	2 levels	3	3	10	43	5	6	1	100%	3.3	11.6%	14.0%	-2.3%	2.3%	5.40	5.20	-0.0
2025	38	MIX MLE	4 levels	11	10	33	157	24	12	8	91%	3.0	10.9%	8.1%	2.7%	2.4%	7.91	4.51	+0.2
2025	38	MIX MLE	4 levels	11	10	33	157	24	12	8	91%	3.0	10.9%	8.1%	2.7%	2.4%	7.91	4.51	+0.2
2025	38	MIX RAW	4 levels	11	10	33	157	24	12	8	91%	3.0	15.3%	7.6%	7.6%	5.1%	7.91	5.89	-0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			214	210	1119	4819	869	412	134	98%	5.2	18.0%	8.5%	9.5%	2.8%	4.26	4.21	+9.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	39	MLB	CIN	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	100%	1.0	12.0%	8.6%	3.4%	3.0%	4.67	5.20	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	40	MLB MLE	CIN	3	3	20	84	9	8	3	100%	6.7	10.8%	9.3%	1.5%	3.4%	5.25	5.63	-0.2
2027	40	MLB CTX	CIN	3	3	20	84	9	8	3	100%	6.7	10.8%	9.3%	1.5%	3.7%	5.40	5.78	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		217	213	1139	4903	878	420	137	98%	5.2	17.9%	8.6%	9.3%	2.8%	4.28	4.21	+9.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		38	37	200	861	154	74	24	98%	5.2	17.9%	8.6%	9.3%	2.8%	4.28	4.21	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		237	233	1195	5146	924	433	134	98%	5.0	17.9%	8.4%	9.5%	2.6%	4.30	4.08	+8.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		40	39	200	861	155	73	23	98%	5.0	17.9%	8.4%	9.5%	2.6%	4.30	4.08	+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wade Miley (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.20	12.0%	8.6%	3.0%	—	5.63	10.8%	1.5%	20	+0.43	—	—	—
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	53
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	53
Barry Zito L 2015 · 4.52 FIP	37	SP	4.52	13.6%	10.7%	2.2%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	138	45
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	34
Kyle Lohse R 2016 · 4.97 FIP	37	SP	4.97	14.8%	6.0%	4.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	211	32
CC Sabathia L 2019 · 5.19 FIP	39	SP	5.19	22.9%	8.3%	5.4%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	756	32
Francisco Campos R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	42	SP	4.77	11.5%	7.9%	3.0%	.303	4.08	12.2%	7.0%	197	-0.69	4.06	332	31
Jeremy Guthrie R 2016 · 4.85 FIP	37	SP	4.85	11.6%	8.6%	3.0%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	4.85	235	31
Walter Silva R 2016 · 4.22 FIP	39	SP	4.22	10.3%	5.5%	2.4%	.294	4.35	10.0%	1.8%	235	+0.13	3.67	428	31
Tim Hudson R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	40	SP	4.41	12.2%	6.9%	2.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	124	27
Pablo Ortega R 2016 · 4.01 FIP	39	SP	4.01	8.9%	4.8%	1.9%	.262	4.49	13.3%	7.1%	148	+0.48	4.01	375	27
Sergio Mitre R 2019 · 4.54 FIP	38	SP	4.54	11.8%	6.5%	2.9%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	156	26
Ryan Vogelsong R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	39	SP-	4.79	16.7%	10.4%	3.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	217	22
Mark Buehrle L 2015 · 4.08 FIP	36	SP	4.08	11.0%	3.5%	2.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	199	16
Aaron Harang R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	37	SP	4.47	14.4%	6.4%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	172	12
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	10
John Lackey R 2017 · 5.05 FIP	38	SP	5.05	20.4%	6.8%	5.1%	.260	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	577	4
R.A. Dickey R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	40	SP	4.31	14.3%	6.8%	2.8%	.253	4.63	17.0%	8.7%	360	+0.32	4.31	574	0