Tommy Milone
P
Tacoma Rainiers
Age 39
LHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 147 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108118vR 127
ERA4.55
FIP4.76
K%19.5%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%10.2%
ROS IP148
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 147 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1086.6
Whiff%
p1014.4%
K%
p107.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.361
SL+0.9
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 28 | 167 | 683 | 138 | 38 | 19 | 97% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 5.6% | 13.8% | 2.8% | 3.17 | 3.72 | +3.3 |
| 2015 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 28 | 167 | 683 | 138 | 38 | 19 | 97% | 5.8 | 20.2% | 5.6% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 3.17 | 3.61 | +3.5 |
| 2016 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 19 | 118 | 499 | 90 | 23 | 19 | 73% | 4.5 | 17.1% | 4.6% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 4.04 | 4.42 | +1.4 |
| 2016 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 19 | 118 | 499 | 90 | 23 | 19 | 73% | 4.5 | 18.0% | 4.6% | 13.4% | 3.8% | 4.04 | 4.25 | +1.6 |
| 2017 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 13 | 70 | 316 | 52 | 14 | 23 | 59% | 3.2 | 15.2% | 4.3% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 6.94 | 6.03 | -1.0 |
| 2017 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 13 | 70 | 316 | 52 | 14 | 23 | 59% | 3.2 | 16.5% | 4.4% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 6.94 | 6.49 | -1.4 |
| 2018 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 25 | 138 | 575 | 138 | 26 | 18 | 96% | 5.3 | 21.6% | 4.6% | 17.0% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 3.37 | +3.3 |
| 2018 | 31 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 25 | 138 | 575 | 138 | 26 | 18 | 96% | 5.3 | 24.0% | 4.5% | 19.5% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 3.36 | +3.3 |
| 2019 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 14 | 161 | 664 | 137 | 33 | 31 | 44% | 5.0 | 19.9% | 5.1% | 14.8% | 4.9% | 4.47 | 4.73 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 32 | 14 | 161 | 664 | 137 | 33 | 31 | 44% | 5.0 | 20.6% | 5.0% | 15.7% | 4.7% | 4.47 | 4.52 | +1.7 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 9 | 9 | 39 | 181 | 40 | 6 | 9 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.1% | 3.3% | 18.8% | 5.0% | 6.69 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 9 | 9 | 39 | 181 | 40 | 6 | 9 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.1% | 3.3% | 18.8% | 5.0% | 6.69 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2021 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 8 | 33 | 147 | 36 | 11 | 6 | 47% | 1.9 | 22.9% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 4.0% | 6.06 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 8 | 33 | 147 | 36 | 11 | 6 | 47% | 1.9 | 24.5% | 7.5% | 17.0% | 4.1% | 6.06 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 10 | 57 | 225 | 43 | 17 | 7 | 56% | 3.2 | 17.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 3.47 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 35 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 10 | 57 | 225 | 43 | 17 | 7 | 56% | 3.2 | 19.1% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 3.47 | 4.08 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 105 | 453 | 93 | 44 | 23 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 5.06 | 5.15 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 36 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 105 | 453 | 93 | 44 | 23 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 5.06 | 5.43 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | MLB | SEA | 28 | 28 | 165 | 697 | 136 | 65 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.76 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | SEA | 24 | 24 | 142 | 599 | 110 | 60 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 4.93 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 41 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 122 | 515 | 88 | 55 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.34 | 5.62 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 42 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 17 | 105 | 443 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.0% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.77 | 6.05 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | SEA | 24 | 24 | 142 | 600 | 110 | 60 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 4.93 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 41 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 122 | 515 | 88 | 55 | 21 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.34 | 5.62 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 42 | MLB | SEA | 18 | 18 | 105 | 443 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.0% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.77 | 6.05 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 173 | 126 | 832 | 3558 | 629 | 274 | 158 | 73% | 4.8 | 17.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 5.25 | 5.01 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 30 | 200 | 856 | 151 | 66 | 38 | 73% | 4.8 | 17.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 5.25 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 202 | 149 | 888 | 3743 | 721 | 214 | 150 | 74% | 4.4 | 19.3% | 5.7% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 4.52 | 4.40 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 34 | 200 | 843 | 162 | 48 | 34 | 74% | 4.4 | 19.3% | 5.7% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 4.52 | 4.40 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Milone (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 19.5% | 9.3% | 3.2% | — | 5.58 | 17.3% | 6.6% | 369 | +0.82 | — | — | — |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2023 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 70 |
| CC Sabathia L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 39 | SP | 5.17 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 756 | 55 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2023 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 54 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2024 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 52 |
| Mark Buehrle L 2023 · 4.08 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.08 | 11.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 199 | 51 |
| Barry Zito L 2024 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 50 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.73 | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.5% | .301 | 4.73 | 12.3% | 5.5% | 111 | +1.00 | 3.57 | 444 | 44 |
| Jason Lane L 2025 · 5.79 FIP | 38 | SP | 5.79 | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.79 | 164 | 41 |
| Tim Hudson R 2027 · 4.42 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.42 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 124 | 33 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 39 | SP | 3.83 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | .264 | 3.90 | 21.6% | 13.5% | 322 | +0.07 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 30 |
| Aaron Harang R 2024 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 30 |
| John Lackey R 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.88 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 577 | 29 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.31 | 14.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .253 | 4.63 | 17.0% | 8.7% | 360 | +0.32 | 4.31 | 574 | 27 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 217 | 25 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2029 · 3.68 FIP | 42 | SP | 3.68 | 16.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | .302 | 4.62 | 14.5% | 10.2% | 481 | +0.94 | 3.68 | 676 | 24 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.67 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 152 | 23 |
| Francisco Campos R 2029 · 4.67 FIP | 42 | SP | 4.67 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .303 | 3.91 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.85 | 332 | 21 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.48 | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.48 | 156 | 19 |
| Walter Silva R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 39 | SP | 4.32 | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | .294 | 4.23 | 10.0% | 1.8% | 235 | -0.09 | 3.68 | 428 | 19 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2024 · 5.00 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.00 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 235 | 19 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 133 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 1.46 | 5.07 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |