Tyler Beede
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 33
RHP
6'2" / 216 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION19 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.61
FIP4.67
xFIP4.46
SIERA3.98
K%22.1%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%11.5%
IP20
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
FB Velo
p3893.7
Whiff%
p7829.7%
K%
p7326.5%
xwOBA vs
p260.340
SI (8%)
CU (23%)
FB-1.7 (37%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 22 | 22 | 125 | 522 | 86 | 43 | 6 | 13.1% | 9.1% | 1.7% | 3.97 | 4.10 | +1.9 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 24 | 24 | 147 | 612 | 135 | 53 | 9 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 2.81 | 3.81 | +2.7 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 19 | 19 | 109 | 478 | 83 | 39 | 14 | 15.3% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 4.79 | 5.17 | +0.3 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 37 | 13 | 88 | 419 | 90 | 67 | 10 | 18.4% | 16.4% | 3.1% | 6.78 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 31 | 29 | 152 | 664 | 162 | 59 | 25 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 4.45 | 4.49 | +1.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 17 | 16 | 50 | 250 | 52 | 44 | 7 | 18.0% | 18.9% | 3.2% | 7.07 | 5.73 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 32 | 6 | 63 | 291 | 40 | 27 | 7 | 13.7% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 4.97 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 5 | 36 | 183 | 42 | 24 | 7 | 21.4% | 13.6% | 3.8% | 10.16 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 7 | 1 | 9 | 46 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 15.2% | 19.6% | 6.5% | 8.00 | 7.87 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 10 | 1 | 19 | 97 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15.4% | 16.2% | 2.3% | 11.37 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | CHC | 18 | — | 18 | 76 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 4.61 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 33 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 37 | 173 | 34 | 23 | 4 | 19.6% | 13.3% | 2.5% | 8.07 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 21.2% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 4.83 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 224 | 136 | 798 | 3562 | 630 | 400 | 107 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 5.04 | 4.68 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 34 | 200 | 893 | 158 | 100 | 27 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 5.04 | 4.68 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Beede (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.97 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 20 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.02 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 469 | 74 |
| Jason Hammel R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.25 | 20.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .262 | 4.26 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 307 | +0.01 | 3.43 | 645 | 73 |
| Garrett Richards R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.41 | 18.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% | .328 | 3.22 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 43 | -1.19 | 2.34 | 577 | 70 |
| Junior Guerra R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.14 | 22.3% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.22 | 21.2% | 9.1% | 173 | +0.08 | 3.02 | 646 | 70 |
| Yovani Gallardo R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.35 | 14.9% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 577 | 70 |
| Homer Bailey R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.97 | 21.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.49 | 20.0% | 11.0% | 52 | +0.52 | 3.97 | 509 | 69 |
| Miguel González R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.57 | 14.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .285 | 6.83 | 7.6% | -1.5% | 12 | +2.26 | 3.73 | 469 | 69 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.69 | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | .289 | 5.63 | 12.3% | 2.7% | 74 | +0.94 | 4.69 | 261 | 68 |
| Jake Arrieta R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.43 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .308 | 5.32 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 143 | +0.89 | 2.09 | 1,046 | 68 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 277 | 67 |
| Marco Estrada R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.04 | 22.8% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .231 | 4.96 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 353 | +0.92 | 4.04 | 710 | 67 |
| Kyle Davies R 2024 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.72 | 13.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 153 | 65 |
| James Shields R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.36 | 25.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | .292 | 5.12 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 517 | +0.76 | 4.36 | 720 | 65 |
| Jake Peavy R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.09 | 17.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | .278 | 4.36 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 119 | +0.27 | 4.09 | 262 | 64 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.91 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | .279 | 5.13 | 13.6% | 6.6% | 68 | +0.22 | 4.91 | 225 | 64 |
| Cory Riordan R 2023 · 4.19 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.19 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 154 | 64 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.92 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.92 | 22.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 63 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2029 · 4.98 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.98 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | .309 | 5.53 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 59 | +0.55 | 4.98 | 211 | 62 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2029 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 62 |
| Chris Leroux R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.94 | 13.5% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 219 | 61 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.